| |
OK0NAG > SOLAR 26.10.11 23:03l 263 Lines 8754 Bytes #999 (0) @ EU
BID : QALOK0NAG00O
Read: GUEST
Subj: Report of Solar Geophysical Activity (RSGA)
Path: IZ3LSV<IK2XDE<DB0RES<DK0WUE<IK6ZDE<OK0NAG
Sent: 111026/2201z @:OK0NAG.#BOH.CZE.EU [TCP/IP BBS Praha Strahov] bcm2.01e-zia
X-Info: Prijato od 127.0.0.1 za pomoci SMTP gatewaye
X-barracuda-connect: sunkl.asu.cas.cz[147.231.106.1]
X-barracuda-apparent-source-ip: 147.231.106.1
Date: 26 Oct 2011 22:01:33 +0000
X-barracuda-spam-score: 1.34
X-asg-debug-id: 1319665022-03b34832593a420001-dKRjYV
To: solar@eu
X-originalarrivaltime: 26 Oct 2011 22:01:33.0391 (UTC) FILETIME=[D2D985F0:01CC942A]
From: ok0nag <ok0nag>
X-barracuda-bbl-ip: nil
X-barracuda-spam-status: No, SCORE=1.34 using global scores of TAG_LEVEL=1000.0 QUARANTINE_LEVEL=1000.0 KILL_LEVEL=9.0 tests=HTML_MESSAGE, MIME_BASE64_TEXT, MIME_QP_LONG_LINE, MIME_QP_LONG_LINE_2
X-spam-flag: NO
X-spam-score: -0.203
X-barracuda-envelope-from: solar@sunkl.asu.cas.cz
X-barracuda-spam-report: Code version 3.2, rules version 3.2.2.78487Rule breakdown below pts rule name description---- ---------------------- --------------------------------------------------0.00 HTML_MESSAGE BODY: HTML included in message0.52 MIME_BASE64_TEXT RAW: Mes
sage text disguised using base64 encoding0.00 MIME_QP_LONG_LINE RAW: Quoted-printable line longer than 76 chars0.82 MIME_QP_LONG_LINE_2 RAW: Quoted-printable line longer than 76 chars
X-barracuda-url: http://147.231.105.98:8000/cgi-mod/mark.cgi
Subject: Report of Solar Geophysical Activity (RSGA)
X-asg-orig-subj: Report of Solar Geophysical Activity (RSGA)
X-barracuda-start-time: 1319665022
----boundary_121642_38e10a70-9399-4eff-9ffc-cb62059f7be1
Content-Type: text/plain; charset=us-ascii
Content-Transfer-Encoding: quoted-printable
:Product: Report of Solar-Geophysical Activity
:Issued: 2011 Oct 26 2200 UTC
# Prepared jointly by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA,
# Space Weather Prediction Center and the U.S. Air Force.
#
Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity
SDF Number 299 Issued at 2200Z on 26 Oct 2011
IA. Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 25/2100Z
to 26/2100Z: Solar activity was at low levels due to a single C1
x-ray event at 26/1001Z from Region 1324 (N12W38). Associated with
this event was a partial-halo CME, first observed in LASCO C2
imagery lifting off the NW limb at 26/1000Z. GOES-15 SXI imagery
first observed material movement from Region 1324 in a W-NW
direction at about 26/0800Z. Limited imagery prevented a thorough
analysis of the CME's potential geoeffectiveness. The region
exhibited significant decay in area and spot count and was
classified as a beta magnetic configuration. Regions 1325 (N17W12)
and 1327 (S20W67) also indicated decay in both area coverage and
spot count. The remaining regions were unchanged.
IB. Solar Activity Forecast: Solar activity is expected to be low
with a slight chance for M-class activity all three days (27 - 29
October).
IIA. Geophysical Activity Summary 25/2100Z to 26/2100Z:
The geomagnetic field was quiet at all latitudes. Solar wind speeds
decayed through the period from near 550 km/s to about 400 km/s
while the Bz component of the interplanetary magnetic field did not
vary much beyond +/- 4 nT.
IIB. Geophysical Activity Forecast: The geomagnetic field is
expected to be quiet on day one (27 October). Quiet to unsettled
conditions are expected on days two and three (28 - 29 October) as a
recurrent coronal hole high speed stream rotates into a geoeffective
position.
III. Event Probabilities 27 Oct-29 Oct
Class M 10/10/10
Class X 01/01/01
Proton 01/01/01
PCAF Green
IV. Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
Observed 26 Oct 132
Predicted 27 Oct-29 Oct 130/130/130
90 Day Mean 26 Oct 124
V. Geomagnetic A Indices
Observed Afr/Ap 25 Oct 027/033
Estimated Afr/Ap 26 Oct 003/005
Predicted Afr/Ap 27 Oct-29 Oct 005/005-007/007-007/008
VI. Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 27 Oct-29 Oct
A. Middle Latitudes
Active 05/10/10
Minor storm 01/01/01
Major-severe storm 01/01/01
B. High Latitudes
Active 10/15/20
Minor storm 05/10/10
Major-severe storm 01/01/01
Thank you for using the Product Subscription Service. If you would like
to remove a product subscription or update the personal information in
your account, go to: https://pss.swpc.noaa.gov. Please do not use the from
address for correspondence, as it is not monitored. For comments or help,
please contact us: pss.help@noaa.gov.
----boundary_121642_38e10a70-9399-4eff-9ffc-cb62059f7be1
Content-Type: text/html
Content-Transfer-Encoding: base64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----boundary_121642_38e10a70-9399-4eff-9ffc-cb62059f7be1--
Read previous mail | Read next mail
| |
