| |
OK0NAG > SOLAR 25.10.11 14:52l 134 Lines 5177 Bytes #999 (0) @ EU
BID : PALOK0NAG00C
Read: GUEST
Subj: GEOALERT SIDC
Path: IZ3LSV<IK6ZDE<OK0NAG
Sent: 111025/1248z @:OK0NAG.#BOH.CZE.EU [TCP/IP BBS Praha Strahov] bcm2.01e-zia
X-Info: Prijato od 127.0.0.1 za pomoci SMTP gatewaye
X-barracuda-connect: sunkl.asu.cas.cz[147.231.106.1]
X-barracuda-apparent-source-ip: 147.231.106.1
Date: Tue, 25 Oct 2011 12:47:29 GMT
Reply-to: sidctech@oma.be
X-barracuda-spam-score: 0.00
X-asg-debug-id: 1319545453-03b34832590fc10001-dKRjYV
To: solar@eu
From: ok0nag <ok0nag>
X-barracuda-bbl-ip: nil
X-barracuda-spam-status: No, SCORE=0.00 using global scores of TAG_LEVEL=1000.0 QUARANTINE_LEVEL=1000.0 KILL_LEVEL=9.0 tests=
X-spam-flag: NO
X-spam-score: -0.571
X-barracuda-envelope-from: solar@sunkl.asu.cas.cz
X-barracuda-spam-report: Code version 3.2, rules version 3.2.2.78356Rule breakdown below pts rule name description---- ---------------------- --------------------------------------------------
X-barracuda-url: http://147.231.105.98:8000/cgi-mod/mark.cgi
Subject: GEOALERT SIDC
X-asg-orig-subj: GEOALERT SIDC
Precedence: special-delivery
X-authentication-warning: titus.oma.be: sidc set sender to sidctech@oma.be using -f
X-barracuda-start-time: 1319545453
:Issued: 2011 Oct 25 1246 UTC
:Product: documentation at http://www.sidc.be/products/xut
#--------------------------------------------------------------------#
# GEOALERT message from the SIDC (RWC-Belgium) #
#--------------------------------------------------------------------#
GEOALERT BRU298
UGEOA 30512 11025 1152/ 9930/
11252 22252 30252
99999
PLAIN
NOTE: the above forecasts are valid from 1230UT, 25 Oct 2011 until 27 Oct
2011
PREDICTIONS FOR 25 Oct 2011 10CM FLUX: 139 / AP: 041
PREDICTIONS FOR 26 Oct 2011 10CM FLUX: 143 / AP: 010
PREDICTIONS FOR 27 Oct 2011 10CM FLUX: 142 / AP: 011
COMMENT: Solar activity was low, without any C-flares during the last
24 hours. Within the next 24 hours, there is a large probability for
C-flares, with a slight chance for an M-class flare. NOAA Regions 11324
and 11330 are the most likely sources of flare activity.
The ACE spacecraft observed an interplanetary shock passage on October
24 at 17:48 UT, most likely linked to the arrival of a CME that occurred
on October 22 in association with an eruptive filament. ACE registered
increases in wind speed, temperature, and density. Solar wind velocities
increased from a steady 350 km/s to 525 km/s and are currently around
450 km/s. The interplanetary magnetic field (IMF) increased to above 20
nT and its Bz component was negative between 20h and 1h UT, reaching -20
nT a few times. An associated geomagnetic storm lasted from October 24
around 20h UT to October 25 around 6h UT. It reached major storm levels
from 1h to 4h UT, and even one hour of severe storm around 2h UT.
Currently, geomagnetic conditions are quiet, but the IMF is about 22 nT
and Bz is positive, which means that further geomagnetic storms are
possible within the coming hours if Bz goes negative again. From October
26 onwards, quiet geomagnetic conditions are expected.
TODAY'S ESTIMATED ISN : 076, BASED ON 05 STATIONS.
99999
UGEOI 30512 11025 1152/ 24///
1//// 21450 3024/ 4//// 8//// 9////
99999
NOTICEABLE EVENTS SUMMARY
DAY BEGIN MAX END LOC XRAY OP 10CM RADIO BURST TYPES Catania
NOAA NOTE
NONE
END
UGEOR 30512 11025 1152/ 20/07 25112
10005 2//// 3//// 472// 50200 60002 46128 00000
10006 2//// 3//// 4422/ 50050 60009 35211 00000
10007 2//// 3//// 4552/ 50240 60018 45411 17100
10008 2//// 3//// 472// 50040 60001 34024 00000
10017 2//// 3//// 4201/ 50020 60008 30813 00000
10019 2//// 3//// 4622/ 50230 60028 15212 17100
10020 2//// 3//// 4201/ 50020 60008 22020 00000
10021 2//// 3//// 410// 50010 60001 36218 00000
10022 2//// 3//// 4201/ 50010 60004 42415 00000
10023 2//// 3//// 4201/ 50010 60002 30506 00000
10024 2//// 3//// 4311/ 50020 60003 13120 00000
10025 2//// 3//// 4321/ 50060 60008 18117 01000
99999
USSPS 32404 24090 10222 11012 40412 34519 12009 12617 21409 15017
33121 21405 18045 15308 41506 20002 46509 21302 21003 18732 2/801
USSPS 21305 24185 11632 29005 12017 21309 34040 14908 51415 39006
17932 3/801 28012 33722 31405 27006 40912 34323 38003 46907 01203
USSPS 81202 25010 14912 06007 47208 11403 01010 34021 31405 00022
41212 34640 07001 10713 0/101 02010 11715 31514 05049 14308 41515
08007 17231 2/801
UMAGF 30503 11025 1004/ 24067 1/061 21111 35665
UMAGF 31523 11025 ///// 2400/ 1/024 22121 31266
#--------------------------------------------------------------------#
# Solar Influences Data analysis Center - RWC Belgium #
# Royal Observatory of Belgium #
# Fax : 32 (0) 2 373 0 224 #
# Tel.: 32 (0) 2 373 0 491 #
# #
# For more information, see http://sidc.be/products/xut. #
# Please do not reply directly to this message, but send comments #
# and suggestions to 'sidctech@oma.be'. If you are unable to use #
# that address, use 'rvdlinden@spd.aas.org' instead. #
# To unsubscribe, visit http://sidc.be/registration/unsub.php #
#--------------------------------------------------------------------#
Read previous mail | Read next mail
| |
