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OK0NAG > SOLAR 23.10.11 14:48l 118 Lines 4543 Bytes #999 (0) @ EU
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Subject: GEOALERT SIDC
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:Issued: 2011 Oct 23 1244 UTC
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#--------------------------------------------------------------------#
# GEOALERT message from the SIDC (RWC-Belgium) #
#--------------------------------------------------------------------#
GEOALERT BRU296
UGEOA 30512 11023 1230/ 9930/
11232 21232 38232
99999
PLAIN
NOTE: the above forecasts are valid from 1230UT, 23 Oct 2011 until 25 Oct
2011
PREDICTIONS FOR 23 Oct 2011 10CM FLUX: 160 / AP: 006
PREDICTIONS FOR 24 Oct 2011 10CM FLUX: 162 / AP: 017
PREDICTIONS FOR 25 Oct 2011 10CM FLUX: 166 / AP: 011
COMMENT: Solar activity is expected to reach eruptive levels (C-class
flares) with a small chance for M class flares. The proton flux observed
by GOES (>10 MeV) is higher than usual but did not reach the threshold
for a proton event per se. This increase is linked to the M1.3 flare of
Oct. 22, which occurred near the west limb. Geomagnetic activity is
expected to be active by the end of Oct. 24th, when the CME of Oct. 22,
linked to a filament eruption reaches the Earth.
TODAY'S ESTIMATED ISN : 082, BASED ON 13 STATIONS.
99999
UGEOI 30512 11023 1230/ 22///
1//// 21640 3002/ 4//// 8//// 9////
99999
NOTICEABLE EVENTS SUMMARY
DAY BEGIN MAX END LOC XRAY OP 10CM RADIO BURST TYPES Catania
NOAA NOTE
22 1000 1110 1309 N25W77 M1.3 SF CTM/1
1314
END
UGEOR 30512 11023 1230/ 20/07 23112
10005 2//// 3//// 472// 50200 60002 46128 04300
10006 2//// 3//// 4422/ 50050 60009 35211 00000
10007 2//// 3//// 4552/ 50240 60018 45411 03100
10008 2//// 3//// 472// 50040 60001 34024 00000
10017 2//// 3//// 4201/ 50020 60008 30813 00000
10019 2//// 3//// 4622/ 50230 60028 15212 15300
10020 2//// 3//// 4201/ 50020 60008 22020 01000
10021 2//// 3//// 410// 50010 60001 36218 00000
10022 2//// 3//// 4201/ 50010 60004 42415 00000
10023 2//// 3//// 4201/ 50010 60002 30506 00000
10024 2//// 3//// 4311/ 50020 60003 13120 01000
10025 2//// 3//// 4321/ 50060 60008 18117 15000
99999
USSPS 32404 22077 14132 99005 48728 2/801 02006 36827 2/801 04002
48012 1/801 11028 12510 37524 12015 15415 54408 14001 10417 01203
15013 30521 21411 17002 34731 1/801 18024 17804 2/801
USSPS 21305 22145 17332 36001 40525 0/101 21003 48211 0/101 19006
37928 0/101 30004 34932 0/103 28017 30821 31315 33001 10219 0/101
27024 12012 37535 29017 14916 34310 34026 17308 3/802 35024 18211
3/804
UMAGF 30503 11023 1004/ 22065 1/003 20110 30000
UMAGF 31523 11023 ///// 2200/ 1/002 22111 31000
#--------------------------------------------------------------------#
# Solar Influences Data analysis Center - RWC Belgium #
# Royal Observatory of Belgium #
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