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OK0NAG > SOLAR 20.10.11 13:47l 125 Lines 4792 Bytes #999 (0) @ EU
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Subject: GEOALERT SIDC
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:Issued: 2011 Oct 20 1243 UTC
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#--------------------------------------------------------------------#
# GEOALERT message from the SIDC (RWC-Belgium) #
#--------------------------------------------------------------------#
GEOALERT BRU293
UGEOA 30512 11020 1233/ 9930/
11202 20202 30202
99999
PLAIN
NOTE: the above forecasts are valid from 1230UT, 20 Oct 2011 until 22 Oct
2011
PREDICTIONS FOR 20 Oct 2011 10CM FLUX: 149 / AP: 002
PREDICTIONS FOR 21 Oct 2011 10CM FLUX: 149 / AP: 007
PREDICTIONS FOR 22 Oct 2011 10CM FLUX: 152 / AP: 007
COMMENT: Solar activity is expected to be eruptive with risks of
C-class flares from NOAA ARs 1319 and 1324. There is also a slight risk
of M class flares from the very same regions. A M1.6 flare occurred on
Oct. 20th, peaking at 03:25 UT, behind the west limb. It was associated
with a CME observed by the COR2 A coronograph. No geomagnetic effect is
expected from this event. Geomagnetic activity is therefore expected to
be very low for the next 48 hours.
TODAY'S ESTIMATED ISN : 121, BASED ON 12 STATIONS.
99999
UGEOI 30512 11020 1233/ 19///
10171 21470 3006/ 4//// 80109 90900
99999
NOTICEABLE EVENTS SUMMARY
DAY BEGIN MAX END LOC XRAY OP 10CM RADIO BURST TYPES Catania
NOAA NOTE
NONE
END
UGEOR 30512 11020 1233/ 20/07 20112
10005 2//// 3//// 472// 50200 60002 46128 00000
10006 2//// 3//// 4422/ 50050 60009 35211 01000
10007 2//// 3//// 4552/ 50240 60018 45411 15100
10008 2//// 3//// 472// 50040 60001 34024 00000
10017 2//// 3//// 4201/ 50020 60008 30813 01000
10019 2//// 3//// 4622/ 50230 60028 15212 16200
10020 2//// 3//// 4201/ 50020 60008 22020 00000
10021 2//// 3//// 410// 50010 60001 36218 00000
10022 2//// 3//// 4201/ 50010 60004 42415 00000
10023 2//// 3//// 4201/ 50010 60002 30506 00000
10024 2//// 3//// 4311/ 50020 60003 13120 00000
10025 2//// 3//// 4321/ 50060 60008 18117 00000
99999
USSPS 32404 19074 11232 99012 44828 4/801 01007 34013 21406 02005
32627 2/801 04026 44410 34519 07002 20614 11305 11019 16513 21520
USSPS 21305 19150 14332 15026 45128 51302 21039 44711 57514 18014
34412 34409 19011 33327 3/801 25002 20314 01207 28002 23021 01203
27034 16012 37626 29009 18716 3/801
USSPS 81202 20004 17832 90021 45529 47303 92007 34312 21411 93006
33826 2/801 95036 45212 44412 98001 30514 01206 99001 13818 2/801
00036 15511 27534 02016 17814 44304 96001 42216 0/101 01001 22422
04205
USSPS 31405 20070 21242 05020 46128 2/902 06005 35211 25409 07024
45411 54518 08004 34024 2/901 17002 30813 01208 19023 15212 24628
20002 22020 01208 21001 36218 0/101 22001 42415 01204 23001 30506
01202 24002 13120 12303 25006 18117 21308
UMAGF 30503 11020 1004/ 19060 1/009 21221 31121
UMAGF 31523 11020 ///// 1900/ 1/006 22222 32111
#--------------------------------------------------------------------#
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