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OK0NAG > SOLAR 16.10.11 14:13l 117 Lines 4479 Bytes #999 (0) @ EU
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Subject: GEOALERT SIDC
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:Issued: 2011 Oct 16 1210 UTC
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#--------------------------------------------------------------------#
# GEOALERT message from the SIDC (RWC-Belgium) #
#--------------------------------------------------------------------#
GEOALERT BRU289
UGEOA 30512 11016 1206/ 9930/
11162 20162 30162
99999
PLAIN
NOTE: the above forecasts are valid from 1230UT, 16 Oct 2011 until 18 Oct
2011
PREDICTIONS FOR 16 Oct 2011 10CM FLUX: 138 / AP: 010
PREDICTIONS FOR 17 Oct 2011 10CM FLUX: 139 / AP: 012
PREDICTIONS FOR 18 Oct 2011 10CM FLUX: 138 / AP: 007
COMMENT: Solar activity has continued to show only C-class flares, with
a C5 being the strongest one, from NOAA AR 1319 (Catania 7) peaking at
14:13 UT on October 15. M-class flares remain possible but unlikely. The
solar wind stream coming from a coronal hole has only reached mild
speeds (500km/s) and magnetic fields (<10nT) so its geomagnetic effect
has only created unsettled conditions, the Earth is still under its
influence so we can still expect more disturbed periods in the coming
24h.
TODAY'S ESTIMATED ISN : 106, BASED ON 10 STATIONS.
99999
UGEOI 30512 11016 1206/ 15///
1//// 21380 3010/ 4//// 8//// 9////
99999
NOTICEABLE EVENTS SUMMARY
DAY BEGIN MAX END LOC XRAY OP 10CM RADIO BURST TYPES Catania
NOAA NOTE
NONE
END
UGEOR 30512 11016 1206/ 14/06 16112
10004 2//// 3//// 4201/ 50010 60003 43319 00000
10005 2//// 3//// 4341/ 50280 60009 11628 15100
10006 2//// 3//// 4422/ 50280 60020 22611 15100
10007 2//// 3//// 4522/ 50130 60024 12411 17100
10008 2//// 3//// 472// 50020 60001 23826 00000
10010 2//// 3//// 4321/ 50030 60005 42121 00000
10011 2//// 3//// 4201/ 50010 60004 33920 01000
10012 2//// 3//// 410// 50010 60002 13027 00000
10013 2//// 3//// 410// 50010 60002 15613 00000
10093 2//// 3//// 472// 50020 60001 47824 00000
10096 2//// 3//// 474// 50160 60006 44423 00000
10098 2//// 3//// 4321/ 50060 60006 34113 02000
99999
USSPS 21305 15186 14642 10018 46523 4/801 11002 36517 0/101 15036
40129 41303 18041 20712 41410 19009 21926 2/801 21032 10512 34533
22001 35922 0/101 24003 34827 01204 25002 15513 01202
USSPS 81202 16128 13022 87014 46522 4/801 90027 40527 41405 95024
10210 27527 88002 36016 01202 92020 20312 31407 98002 24914 21302
97004 35027 21305 93004 21527 2/801
UMAGF 30503 11016 1004/ 15064 1/011 21222 31122
UMAGF 31523 11015 ///// 1400/ 1/002 20011 31111
UMAGF 31523 11016 ///// 1500/ 1/010 24312 32311
#--------------------------------------------------------------------#
# Solar Influences Data analysis Center - RWC Belgium #
# Royal Observatory of Belgium #
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