| |
OK0NAG > SOLAR 15.10.11 23:03l 217 Lines 7221 Bytes #999 (0) @ EU
BID : FALOK0NAG00P
Read: GUEST
Subj: Report of Solar Geophysical Activity (RSGA)
Path: IZ3LSV<IW0QNL<OK0PTU<OK0NAG
Sent: 111015/2202z @:OK0NAG.#BOH.CZE.EU [TCP/IP BBS Praha Strahov] bcm2.01e-zia
X-Info: Prijato od 127.0.0.1 za pomoci SMTP gatewaye
X-barracuda-connect: sunkl.asu.cas.cz[147.231.106.1]
X-barracuda-apparent-source-ip: 147.231.106.1
Date: 15 Oct 2011 22:01:43 +0000
X-barracuda-spam-score: 1.34
X-asg-debug-id: 1318714727-03b348676d106bed0001-dKRjYV
To: solar@eu
X-originalarrivaltime: 15 Oct 2011 22:01:40.0534 (UTC) FILETIME=[04903560:01CC8B86]
From: ok0nag <ok0nag>
X-barracuda-bbl-ip: nil
X-barracuda-spam-status: No, SCORE=1.34 using global scores of TAG_LEVEL=1000.0 QUARANTINE_LEVEL=1000.0 KILL_LEVEL=9.0 tests=HTML_MESSAGE, MIME_BASE64_TEXT, MIME_QP_LONG_LINE, MIME_QP_LONG_LINE_2
X-spam-flag: NO
X-spam-score: -0.21
X-barracuda-envelope-from: solar@sunkl.asu.cas.cz
X-barracuda-spam-report: Code version 3.2, rules version 3.2.2.77441Rule breakdown below pts rule name description---- ---------------------- --------------------------------------------------0.00 HTML_MESSAGE BODY: HTML included in message0.52 MIME_BASE64_TEXT RAW: Mes
sage text disguised using base64 encoding0.00 MIME_QP_LONG_LINE RAW: Quoted-printable line longer than 76 chars0.82 MIME_QP_LONG_LINE_2 RAW: Quoted-printable line longer than 76 chars
X-barracuda-url: http://147.231.105.98:8000/cgi-mod/mark.cgi
Subject: Report of Solar Geophysical Activity (RSGA)
X-asg-orig-subj: Report of Solar Geophysical Activity (RSGA)
X-barracuda-start-time: 1318714727
----boundary_192638_f522c634-e095-4105-9db9-4dd843b4ba7f
Content-Type: text/plain; charset=us-ascii
Content-Transfer-Encoding: quoted-printable
:Product: Report of Solar-Geophysical Activity
:Issued: 2011 Oct 15 2200 UTC
# Prepared jointly by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA,
# Space Weather Prediction Center and the U.S. Air Force.
#
Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity
SDF Number 288 Issued at 2200Z on 15 Oct 2011
IA. Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 14/2100Z
to 15/2100Z: Solar activity was low. There are 8 numbered regions on
the disk producing weak C-class flares.
IB. Solar Activity Forecast: Solar activity is expected to be low
with C-class flares expected and a chance for M-class flares for the
next 3 days (16-18 October).
IIA. Geophysical Activity Summary 14/2100Z to 15/2100Z:
The geomagnetic field was mostly quiet, with the exception of an
isolated period of unsettled conditions 15/00-03Z, due to increased
solar wind speeds combined with a period of southward Bz.
IIB. Geophysical Activity Forecast: The geomagnetic field is
expected to be unsettled to active days 1-2 (16-17 October) due to
CH HSS effects. Conditions are forecast to be mostly quiet on day 3
(18 October) as solar wind speeds wane.
III. Event Probabilities 16 Oct-18 Oct
Class M 40/40/40
Class X 01/01/01
Proton 01/01/01
PCAF green
IV. Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
Observed 15 Oct 138
Predicted 16 Oct-18 Oct 140/140/140
90 Day Mean 15 Oct 117
V. Geomagnetic A Indices
Observed Afr/Ap 14 Oct 001/002
Estimated Afr/Ap 15 Oct 010/010
Predicted Afr/Ap 16 Oct-18 Oct 010/010-008/008-005/005
VI. Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 16 Oct-18 Oct
A. Middle Latitudes
Active 40/30/20
Minor storm 30/10/01
Major-severe storm 01/01/01
B. High Latitudes
Active 50/40/20
Minor storm 40/10/01
Major-severe storm 05/01/01
Thank you for using the Product Subscription Service. If you would like
to remove a product subscription or update the personal information in
your account, go to: https://pss.swpc.noaa.gov. Please do not use the from
address for correspondence, as it is not monitored. For comments or help,
please contact us: pss.help@noaa.gov.
----boundary_192638_f522c634-e095-4105-9db9-4dd843b4ba7f
Content-Type: text/html
Content-Transfer-Encoding: base64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----boundary_192638_f522c634-e095-4105-9db9-4dd843b4ba7f--
Read previous mail | Read next mail
| |
