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OK0NAG > SOLAR 07.10.11 00:04l 215 Lines 7047 Bytes #999 (0) @ EU
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Subj: Report of Solar Geophysical Activity (RSGA)
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Subject: Report of Solar Geophysical Activity (RSGA)
X-asg-orig-subj: Report of Solar Geophysical Activity (RSGA)
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:Product: Report of Solar-Geophysical Activity
:Issued: 2011 Oct 06 2200 UTC
# Prepared jointly by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA,
# Space Weather Prediction Center and the U.S. Air Force.
#
Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity
SDF Number 279 Issued at 2200Z on 06 Oct 2011
IA. Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 05/2100Z
to 06/2100Z: Solar activity has been at low levels for the past 24
hours. The largest flare of the period, a C1 event at 06/0912Z, was
from an unnumbered region in the southeast quadrant. There are
currently 9 numbered regions on the visible disk.
IB. Solar Activity Forecast: Solar activity is expected to be at
low levels with a slight chance for M-class activity for the next
three days (07 - 09 October).
IIA. Geophysical Activity Summary 05/2100Z to 06/2100Z:
The geomagnetic field has been at predominantly quiet levels for the
past 24 hours.
IIB. Geophysical Activity Forecast: The geomagnetic field is
expected to be at quiet levels for the next three days (07 - 09
October).
III. Event Probabilities 07 Oct-09 Oct
Class M 20/20/20
Class X 01/01/01
Proton 01/01/01
PCAF green
IV. Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
Observed 06 Oct 124
Predicted 07 Oct-09 Oct 125/130/130
90 Day Mean 06 Oct 113
V. Geomagnetic A Indices
Observed Afr/Ap 05 Oct 012/020
Estimated Afr/Ap 06 Oct 005/008
Predicted Afr/Ap 07 Oct-09 Oct 008/010-005/008-005/005
VI. Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 07 Oct-09 Oct
A. Middle Latitudes
Active 20/05/05
Minor storm 05/01/01
Major-severe storm 01/01/01
B. High Latitudes
Active 25/15/15
Minor storm 10/05/05
Major-severe storm 01/01/01
Thank you for using the Product Subscription Service. If you would like
to remove a product subscription or update the personal information in
your account, go to: https://pss.swpc.noaa.gov. Please do not use the from
address for correspondence, as it is not monitored. For comments or help,
please contact us: pss.help@noaa.gov.
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