| |
OK0NAG > SOLAR 28.09.11 00:06l 233 Lines 7675 Bytes #999 (0) @ EU
BID : R9LOK0NAG00R
Read: GUEST
Subj: Report of Solar Geophysical Activity (RSGA)
Path: IZ3LSV<IK6ZDE<OK0NAG
Sent: 110927/2205z @:OK0NAG.#BOH.CZE.EU [TCP/IP BBS Praha Strahov] bcm2.01e-zia
X-Info: Prijato od 127.0.0.1 za pomoci SMTP gatewaye
X-barracuda-connect: sunkl.asu.cas.cz[147.231.106.1]
X-barracuda-apparent-source-ip: 147.231.106.1
Date: 27 Sep 2011 22:05:01 +0000
X-barracuda-spam-score: 1.34
X-asg-debug-id: 1317159879-03b348676dd1b8c0001-dKRjYV
To: solar@eu
X-originalarrivaltime: 27 Sep 2011 22:05:02.0262 (UTC) FILETIME=[815DF560:01CC7D61]
From: ok0nag <ok0nag>
X-barracuda-bbl-ip: nil
X-barracuda-spam-status: No, SCORE=1.34 using global scores of TAG_LEVEL=1000.0 QUARANTINE_LEVEL=1000.0 KILL_LEVEL=9.0 tests=HTML_MESSAGE, MIME_BASE64_TEXT, MIME_QP_LONG_LINE, MIME_QP_LONG_LINE_2
X-spam-flag: NO
X-spam-score: -0.219
X-barracuda-envelope-from: solar@sunkl.asu.cas.cz
X-barracuda-spam-report: Code version 3.2, rules version 3.2.2.75773Rule breakdown below pts rule name description---- ---------------------- --------------------------------------------------0.00 HTML_MESSAGE BODY: HTML included in message0.52 MIME_BASE64_TEXT RAW: Mes
sage text disguised using base64 encoding0.00 MIME_QP_LONG_LINE RAW: Quoted-printable line longer than 76 chars0.82 MIME_QP_LONG_LINE_2 RAW: Quoted-printable line longer than 76 chars
X-barracuda-url: http://147.231.105.98:8000/cgi-mod/mark.cgi
Subject: Report of Solar Geophysical Activity (RSGA)
X-asg-orig-subj: Report of Solar Geophysical Activity (RSGA)
X-barracuda-start-time: 1317159879
----boundary_767007_eb5bab00-4ac8-48e0-afff-48eb480c1866
Content-Type: text/plain; charset=us-ascii
Content-Transfer-Encoding: quoted-printable
:Product: Report of Solar-Geophysical Activity
:Issued: 2011 Sep 27 2200 UTC
# Prepared jointly by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA,
# Space Weather Prediction Center and the U.S. Air Force.
#
Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity
SDF Number 270 Issued at 2200Z on 27 Sep 2011
IA. Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 26/2100Z
to 27/2100Z: Solar activity was low. Several C-class flares occurred
during the period from Region 1302 (N13E08). The largest of these
was a C6 flare at 27/2058Z.
IB. Solar Activity Forecast: Solar activity is expected to be low,
with a chance for M-class during the period (28-30 September). There
will also be a chance for an X-class flare.
IIA. Geophysical Activity Summary 26/2100Z to 27/2100Z:
The geomagnetic field ranged from quiet to active levels. An isolated
period of major to severe storm levels were observed from
27/0000-0300Z. The greater than 10 MeV proton event began at
23/2300Z, reached a maximum of 35.7 pfu at 26/1155Z, and ended at
27/0430Z. Wind speeds reached 704 km/s at 26/2150Z and decreased to
512 km/s at 27/1703Z.
IIB. Geophysical Activity Forecast: The geomagnetic field is
expected to be at quiet to unsettled levels on day one (28
September). Quiet levels are expected on days two and three (29-30
September).
III. Event Probabilities 28 Sep-30 Sep
Class M 40/40/40
Class X 25/25/25
Proton 10/10/10
PCAF green
IV. Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
Observed 27 Sep 139
Predicted 28 Sep-30 Sep 135/135/130
90 Day Mean 27 Sep 109
V. Geomagnetic A Indices
Observed Afr/Ap 26 Sep 020/067
Estimated Afr/Ap 27 Sep 020/040
Predicted Afr/Ap 28 Sep-30 Sep 008/015-005/005-005/005
VI. Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 28 Sep-30 Sep
A. Middle Latitudes
Active 15/05/05
Minor storm 01/01/01
Major-severe storm 01/01/01
B. High Latitudes
Active 20/05/05
Minor storm 05/01/01
Major-severe storm 01/01/01
Thank you for using the Product Subscription Service. If you would like
to remove a product subscription or update the personal information in
your account, go to: https://pss.swpc.noaa.gov. Please do not use the from
address for correspondence, as it is not monitored. For comments or help,
please contact us: pss.help@noaa.gov.
----boundary_767007_eb5bab00-4ac8-48e0-afff-48eb480c1866
Content-Type: text/html
Content-Transfer-Encoding: base64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----boundary_767007_eb5bab00-4ac8-48e0-afff-48eb480c1866--
Read previous mail | Read next mail
| |
