| |
OK0NAG > SOLAR 24.09.11 14:13l 135 Lines 4952 Bytes #999 (0) @ EU
BID : O9LOK0NAG00E
Read: GUEST
Subj: GEOALERT SIDC
Path: IZ3LSV<IW0QNL<OK0PTU<OK0NAG
Sent: 110924/1212z @:OK0NAG.#BOH.CZE.EU [TCP/IP BBS Praha Strahov] bcm2.01e-zia
X-Info: Prijato od 127.0.0.1 za pomoci SMTP gatewaye
X-barracuda-connect: sunkl.asu.cas.cz[147.231.106.1]
X-barracuda-apparent-source-ip: 147.231.106.1
Date: Sat, 24 Sep 2011 12:11:19 GMT
Reply-to: sidctech@oma.be
X-barracuda-spam-score: 0.00
X-asg-debug-id: 1316865120-03b348676dcbb560001-dKRjYV
To: solar@eu
From: ok0nag <ok0nag>
X-barracuda-bbl-ip: nil
X-barracuda-spam-status: No, SCORE=0.00 using global scores of TAG_LEVEL=1000.0 QUARANTINE_LEVEL=1000.0 KILL_LEVEL=9.0 tests=
X-spam-flag: NO
X-spam-score: -0.571
X-barracuda-envelope-from: solar@sunkl.asu.cas.cz
X-barracuda-spam-report: Code version 3.2, rules version 3.2.2.75443Rule breakdown below pts rule name description---- ---------------------- --------------------------------------------------
X-barracuda-url: http://147.231.105.98:8000/cgi-mod/mark.cgi
Subject: GEOALERT SIDC
X-asg-orig-subj: GEOALERT SIDC
Precedence: special-delivery
X-authentication-warning: titus.oma.be: sidc set sender to sidctech@oma.be using -f
X-barracuda-start-time: 1316865120
:Issued: 2011 Sep 24 1210 UTC
:Product: documentation at http://www.sidc.be/products/xut
#--------------------------------------------------------------------#
# GEOALERT message from the SIDC (RWC-Belgium) #
#--------------------------------------------------------------------#
GEOALERT BRU267
UGEOA 30512 10924 1205/ 9930/
12242 20242 37242
99999
PLAIN
NOTE: the above forecasts are valid from 1230UT, 24 Sep 2011 until 26 Sep
2011
PREDICTIONS FOR 24 Sep 2011 10CM FLUX: 155 / AP: 005
PREDICTIONS FOR 25 Sep 2011 10CM FLUX: 155 / AP: 017
PREDICTIONS FOR 26 Sep 2011 10CM FLUX: 155 / AP: 007
COMMENT: Active region Catania 82 (NOAA AR 1302) produced an X1.9 flare
this morning with peak time 09:40 UT. This same region was responsible
for the X-flare on thursday and produced two M flares in the past hours:
an M1.6 flare peaking yesterday at 22:15 UT and an M1.9 flare around
midnight with peak time 23:56 UT. The X-flare this morning was
associated with a CME, but very few chronograph images are available at
the time of writing. Radio data from our station in Humain show Type
III's and a Type II radio burst. We can expect more flaring at C and M
level from this region, with a possibility for another X-class event.
The GOES X-ray background is at C-level. Catania 72 (NOAA AR 1295) was
producing C-flares during the past day. We expect more flares at C level
from this region, which is turning over the west limb. NOAA AR 1283,
which produced an X2.1 fare on Sept. 6, is expected to return on the
east limb.
A proton event is ongoing. The GOES curve crossed the >10MeV threshold
around midnight. We do not expect the flux level to rise significantly
anymore, unless there are new contributing events on the Sun during the
day. Geomagnetic conditions are currently quiet, but could become
unsettled to active tomorrow due to a possible glancing blow of the CME
associated with the X flare last thursday.
TODAY'S ESTIMATED ISN : 073, BASED ON 12 STATIONS.
99999
UGEOI 30512 10924 1205/ 23///
10107 21582 3003/ 4//// 80005 90770
99999
NOTICEABLE EVENTS SUMMARY
DAY BEGIN MAX END LOC XRAY OP 10CM RADIO BURST TYPES Catania
NOAA NOTE
23 2154 2215 2234 M1.6 SF 210 VI/1,III/1,CTM/1
82 1302
23 2348 2356 0004 N11E52 M1.9 SF 220 III/3,II/3
82 1302
END
UGEOR 30512 10924 1205/ 23/07 24105
10072 2//// 3//// 4522/ 50240 60014 46423 17000
10074 2//// 3//// 410// 50010 60002 44725 03000
10080 2//// 3//// 4522/ 50130 60023 12320 00000
10081 2//// 3//// 410// 50010 60001 20215 00000
10082 2//// 3//// 4642/ 50380 60017 17013 29500
99999
USSPS 32404 23067 07232 76044 46524 37510 78000 44726 0/101 84008
12220 21611 85064 16613 51610
USSPS 21305 23174 05732 89073 47124 57506 97010 11820 37413 98098
16514 57508
USSPS 81202 24025 06532 75009 11218 21416 76130 16012 47512 68050
47026 27507
UMAGF 30503 10924 1004/ 23060 1/005 21111 30100
UMAGF 31523 10924 ///// 2300/ 1/003 21111 31101
#--------------------------------------------------------------------#
# Solar Influences Data analysis Center - RWC Belgium #
# Royal Observatory of Belgium #
# Fax : 32 (0) 2 373 0 224 #
# Tel.: 32 (0) 2 373 0 491 #
# #
# For more information, see http://sidc.be/products/xut. #
# Please do not reply directly to this message, but send comments #
# and suggestions to 'sidctech@oma.be'. If you are unable to use #
# that address, use 'rvdlinden@spd.aas.org' instead. #
# To unsubscribe, visit http://sidc.be/registration/unsub.php #
#--------------------------------------------------------------------#
Read previous mail | Read next mail
| |
