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OK0NAG > SOLAR 21.09.11 13:37l 121 Lines 4721 Bytes #999 (0) @ EU
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Subject: GEOALERT SIDC
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:Issued: 2011 Sep 21 1133 UTC
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#--------------------------------------------------------------------#
# GEOALERT message from the SIDC (RWC-Belgium) #
#--------------------------------------------------------------------#
GEOALERT BRU264
UGEOA 30512 10921 1126/ 9930/
10212 20212 30212
99999
PLAIN
NOTE: the above forecasts are valid from 1230UT, 21 Sep 2011 until 23 Sep
2011
PREDICTIONS FOR 21 Sep 2011 10CM FLUX: 144 / AP: 007
PREDICTIONS FOR 22 Sep 2011 10CM FLUX: 144 / AP: 007
PREDICTIONS FOR 23 Sep 2011 10CM FLUX: 140 / AP: 017
COMMENT: With the newly numbered Catania 81, we now have seven active
regions on the solar surface. Numerous small C-class flares were
observed during the past 24h. They originated mainly in Catania 72 (NOAA
AR 1295) and Catania 80 (NOAA AR 1301). The strongest of these events
was a C3 flare peaking at 21:42 UT yesterday in Catania 72. No
geo-effective (i.e. earth-directed) CME's were observed with the
SOHO/LASCO or STEREO/COR instruments. More C-class flares are expected,
with a slight possibility for an M-class event.
The solar wind speed has decreased to 370 km/s, while the southward
component of the interplanetary magnetic field is fluctuating between
-4nT and +4nT. As a result, we expect quiet to unsettled geomagnetic
conditions to continue in the coming days, with a possibility for
disturbed conditions due to a coronal hole wind stream on september 23.
TODAY'S ESTIMATED ISN : 071, BASED ON 09 STATIONS.
99999
UGEOI 30512 10921 1126/ 20///
10121 21440 3006/ 4//// 80306 90560
99999
NOTICEABLE EVENTS SUMMARY
DAY BEGIN MAX END LOC XRAY OP 10CM RADIO BURST TYPES Catania
NOAA NOTE
NONE
END
UGEOR 30512 10921 1126/ 21/07 21106
10072 2//// 3//// 4522/ 50220 60024 43823 19100
10074 2//// 3//// 4321/ 50020 60004 43117 04100
10077 2//// 3//// 4321/ 50030 60006 34118 00000
10078 2//// 3//// 472// 50020 60001 47524 00000
10080 2//// 3//// 4422/ 50110 60013 14920 19100
10081 2//// 3//// 410// 50010 60002 22815 00000
99999
USSPS 32404 20111 09822 76029 42822 27516 78002 40827 11305 80002
42814 11403 82003 33320 11405 83004 46625 2/801 84013 16019 21508
USSPS 21305 20152 11242 96012 46923 2/801 89034 43023 27419 91003
41127 0/105 93002 43215 01203 94004 33821 01208 97046 15920 31416
USSPS 81202 21013 12932 73002 34019 11307 75024 15520 24515 69002
41627 21307 72001 43316 01202 68037 43423 47536 74017 47225 21302
USSPS 31405 21073 11032 72022 43823 25524 74002 43117 21304 77003
34118 21306 78002 47524 2/901 80011 14920 24413 81001 22815 0/102
UMAGF 30503 10921 1004/ 20069 1/009 22221 32100
UMAGF 31523 10909 ///// 0800/ 1/002 21201 30000
UMAGF 31523 10910 ///// 0900/ 1/038 20112 35666
UMAGF 31523 10921 ///// 2000/ 1/006 21222 32122
#--------------------------------------------------------------------#
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