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OK0NAG > SOLAR 17.09.11 14:35l 129 Lines 5129 Bytes #999 (0) @ EU
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Subject: GEOALERT SIDC
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:Issued: 2011 Sep 17 1232 UTC
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#--------------------------------------------------------------------#
# GEOALERT message from the SIDC (RWC-Belgium) #
#--------------------------------------------------------------------#
GEOALERT BRU260
UGEOA 30512 10917 1203/ 9930/
12172 22172 30172
99999
PLAIN
NOTE: the above forecasts are valid from 1230UT, 17 Sep 2011 until 19 Sep
2011
PREDICTIONS FOR 17 Sep 2011 10CM FLUX: 142 / AP: 039
PREDICTIONS FOR 18 Sep 2011 10CM FLUX: 140 / AP: 021
PREDICTIONS FOR 19 Sep 2011 10CM FLUX: 138 / AP: 003
COMMENT: Eleven active regions are currently reported on the Sun.
C-class flares were frequently observed during the last 24 hours in
Catania sunspot groups 61, 62, 72, 74 and 75 (NOAA ARs 1289, 1290, 1295,
1296 and 1297, respectively). The strongest one was the C9.3 flare
peaking at 11:30 UT yesterday in Catania sunspot group 62 (NOAA AR
1290). More C-flares are expected to occur in these groups, with a good
chance for an M-class flare. After the arrival of the interplanetary
shock (02:55 UT at ACE, 03:05 UT at SOHO), the interplanetary magnetic
field magnitude in the sheath reached 13 nT, with direction alternating
between northward and southward. Currently the IMF is persistently
directed southward, its north-south component Bz is around -6 nT, and
the solar wind speed is around 540 km/s. This resulted in minor
geomagnetic storm that is ongoing (two 1-hour intervals of K = 5 are
reported by Dourbes). The ICME arrival is expected to occur later today,
with K index possibly reaching 6.
TODAY'S ESTIMATED ISN : 111, BASED ON 11 STATIONS.
99999
UGEOI 30512 10917 1203/ 16///
10184 21430 3003/ 4//// 80011 90870
99999
NOTICEABLE EVENTS SUMMARY
DAY BEGIN MAX END LOC XRAY OP 10CM RADIO BURST TYPES Catania
NOAA NOTE
NONE
END
UGEOR 30512 10917 1203/ 16/07 17111
10061 2//// 3//// 474// 50340 60005 44823 02000
10062 2//// 3//// 4201/ 50010 60004 35513 18200
10067 2//// 3//// 4201/ 50010 60002 45317 00000
10070 2//// 3//// 4321/ 50030 60006 31815 00000
10071 2//// 3//// 4321/ 50020 60003 10809 00000
10072 2//// 3//// 4432/ 50190 60016 12723 18100
10073 2//// 3//// 4422/ 50040 60007 13417 01000
10074 2//// 3//// 4331/ 50120 60010 13727 18100
10075 2//// 3//// 4422/ 50040 60005 36617 18100
10076 2//// 3//// 4422/ 50030 60006 47023 01000
10077 2//// 3//// 4321/ 50040 60010 22418 02000
99999
USSPS 32404 16094 16232 69027 44223 51406 70002 36011 01203 72001
10509 1/801 75002 45518 01202 76019 12522 34418 77001 32316 1/801
78012 14025 31406 79006 37018 21402 80007 13215 21405 81009 47523
21303 82002 21921 11305
USSPS 21305 16202 18332 94003 21620 11309 82037 44922 51307 83001
36613 1/805 88009 48121 31403 85002 40108 2/803 95001 45716 0/101
90001 32817 0/101 89024 12223 37417 91014 13526 31317 92006 37619
11403 93005 12717 31407
USSPS 81202 17019 12922 62003 48021 01202 59048 45422 41405 64002
40510 2/801 68021 11622 31417 72004 12316 21403 69013 13224 51310
73005 21120 21406 71008 37014 21405
UMAGF 30503 10916 1004/ 15061 1/010 21221 32201
UMAGF 30503 10917 1004/ 16065 1/007 21110 31112
UMAGF 31523 10917 ///// 1600/ 1/003 20111 31112
#--------------------------------------------------------------------#
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