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OK0NAG > SOLAR 13.09.11 12:45l 132 Lines 5186 Bytes #999 (0) @ EU
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Subject: GEOALERT SIDC
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:Issued: 2011 Sep 13 1141 UTC
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#--------------------------------------------------------------------#
# GEOALERT message from the SIDC (RWC-Belgium) #
#--------------------------------------------------------------------#
GEOALERT BRU256
UGEOA 30512 10913 1121/ 9930/
12132 21132 30132
99999
PLAIN
NOTE: the above forecasts are valid from 1230UT, 13 Sep 2011 until 15 Sep
2011
PREDICTIONS FOR 13 Sep 2011 10CM FLUX: 127 / AP: 022
PREDICTIONS FOR 14 Sep 2011 10CM FLUX: 130 / AP: 016
PREDICTIONS FOR 15 Sep 2011 10CM FLUX: 130 / AP: 005
COMMENT: Eleven sunspot groups are reported by Catania today. The
active region with the strongest flaring activity is currently Catania
sunspot group 72 (NOAA AR 1295). It produced a C9.9 flare peaking at
20:54 UT yesterday. The flare was accompanied by coronal dimmings and a
post-eruptive arcade, indicating the eruption of a CME (not detected by
SOHO/LASCO due to a data gap). Catania sunspot group 72 (NOAA AR 1295)
is expected to produce more C-class flares with a good chance for an
M-flare. Due to the active region position at the north-east solar limb,
possible eruptions are not expected to be geoeffective. The Earth is
currently inside a fast (around 580 km/s) solar wind flow with average
(around 5 nT) interplanetary magnetic field magnitude. Quiet geomagnetic
conditions are expected, possibly with isolated intervals of active
conditions.
TODAY'S ESTIMATED ISN : 096, BASED ON 15 STATIONS.
99999
UGEOI 30512 10913 1121/ 12///
10172 21240 3030/ 4//// 80912 90570
99999
NOTICEABLE EVENTS SUMMARY
DAY BEGIN MAX END LOC XRAY OP 10CM RADIO BURST TYPES Catania
NOAA NOTE
NONE
END
UGEOR 30512 10913 1121/ 13/06 13111
10059 2//// 3//// 4422/ 50040 60005 35929 02000
10061 2//// 3//// 4341/ 50380 60015 40723 01000
10062 2//// 3//// 4432/ 50050 60010 31614 01000
10065 2//// 3//// 410// 50010 60002 37520 00000
10067 2//// 3//// 4201/ 50010 60004 41517 00000
10069 2//// 3//// 410// 50010 60002 10724 00000
10070 2//// 3//// 4201/ 50020 60007 22115 02000
10071 2//// 3//// 4321/ 50030 60006 14709 03000
10072 2//// 3//// 4321/ 50040 60006 16623 28500
10073 2//// 3//// 410// 50010 60002 17517 01000
10074 2//// 3//// 4321/ 50020 60002 17827 01000
99999
USSPS 32404 12103 11232 67007 34429 21302 69031 10723 41307 70004
30314 21410 72003 15909 2/803 73001 46515 01202 74002 35921 01204
75002 40317 21403 76003 17922 2/801
USSPS 21305 12152 11722 86002 46714 0/202 87003 36121 0/202 80003
34929 2/801 83003 30515 0/207 89001 40517 0/202 82028 10622 51306
90001 23218 0/202 85002 15918 0/203 89003 17821 0/102
USSPS 81202 13007 13022 66003 37019 0/101 57013 35427 21404 60010
31015 21410 63002 22518 11304 64009 15308 31307 68012 17524 11306
59046 10823 41414 67001 41017 01204
USSPS 31405 13061 17142 59004 35929 24405 61038 40723 41315 62005
31614 35410 65001 37520 0/102 67001 41517 01204 69001 10724 0/102
70002 22115 01207 71003 14709 21306 72004 16623 21306 73001 17517
0/102 74002 17827 22302
UMAGF 30503 10913 1004/ 12061 1/050 23334 35544
UMAGF 31523 10913 ///// 1200/ 1/030 25333 34455
UCMEO 93001 10912 1713/ 10910 60312 81154 2361/ 077// 323// 40782
10909 62257 80518 42833 ///// 2212/ 99999 PLAIN
#--------------------------------------------------------------------#
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