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OK0NAG > SOLAR 07.09.11 13:40l 118 Lines 4657 Bytes #999 (0) @ EU
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Subject: GEOALERT SIDC
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:Issued: 2011 Sep 07 1236 UTC
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#--------------------------------------------------------------------#
# GEOALERT message from the SIDC (RWC-Belgium) #
#--------------------------------------------------------------------#
GEOALERT BRU250
UGEOA 30512 10907 1139/ 9930/
12072 20072 38072
99999
PLAIN
NOTE: the above forecasts are valid from 1230UT, 07 Sep 2011 until 09 Sep
2011
PREDICTIONS FOR 07 Sep 2011 10CM FLUX: 110 / AP: 012
PREDICTIONS FOR 08 Sep 2011 10CM FLUX: 109 / AP: 012
PREDICTIONS FOR 09 Sep 2011 10CM FLUX: 108 / AP: 023
COMMENT: Solar activity is at high levels. A class X2.1 solar X-ray
flare occurred on 2011/09/06 with peak time 22:20 UT. It was produced by
NOAA AR 11283, which has now become a beta-gamma-delta region. The flare
was accompanied by a class II radio burst and > 10MeV proton levels
rising till just below the threshold level. More M flares or even X
flares are possible from this region, with risks for proton events.
SOHO/LASCO C2 observed a halo CME on September 6 at 02:24 UT,
associated with the M5.3 flare of 01:50 UT. Another halo CME occurred on
September 6 at 22:36 UT and was caused by the X2.1 flare of 22:20 UT.
Since the bulk of the ejecta of both CMEs is directed north of the
ecliptic plane, they may cause a glancing blow. Arrival of the CMEs is
not expected before September 9, 12:00 UT. Geomagnetic conditions are
quiet so far, and are expected to remain such for the next 48 hours.
TODAY'S ESTIMATED ISN : 050, BASED ON 15 STATIONS.
99999
UGEOI 30512 10907 1139/ 06///
1//// 21122 3007/ 4//// 8//// 9////
99999
NOTICEABLE EVENTS SUMMARY
DAY BEGIN MAX END LOC XRAY OP 10CM RADIO BURST TYPES Catania
NOAA NOTE
06 2212 2220 2224 N14W18 X2.1 2B 740 II/2,III/3
54 1283
END
UGEOR 30512 10907 1139/ 07/06 07105
10053 2//// 3//// 4201/ 50010 60003 35418 00000
10054 2//// 3//// 4552/ 50250 60027 41914 17410
10059 2//// 3//// 4321/ 50060 60005 21929 03000
10060 2//// 3//// 410// 50010 60001 40721 00000
10061 2//// 3//// 475// 50120 60004 17023 04000
99999
USSPS 32404 06088 08032 59002 34117 21302 65017 40815 34522 67008
23730 21304 68000 13019 0/101 69012 18623 2/801
USSPS 21305 06165 07342 71002 34517 01202 76038 41314 44527 80011
23130 21303 82019 18425 4/801
USSPS 31405 07065 09042 53001 35418 01203 54025 41914 54527 59006
21929 21305 60001 40721 0/101 61012 17023 5/804
UMAGF 30503 10906 1004/ 05065 1/012 21112 33212
UMAGF 30503 10907 1004/ 06063 1/011 22121 31131
UMAGF 31523 10907 ///// 0600/ 1/007 21232 32221
UCMEO 93001 10906 1800/ 10906 60224 81018 3371/ 376// 223// 40458
10906 60145 80227 40714 11283 1112/ 99999 PLAIN
#--------------------------------------------------------------------#
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