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OK0NAG > SOLAR 06.09.11 14:40l 125 Lines 5030 Bytes #999 (0) @ EU
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Subject: GEOALERT SIDC
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:Issued: 2011 Sep 06 1235 UTC
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#--------------------------------------------------------------------#
# GEOALERT message from the SIDC (RWC-Belgium) #
#--------------------------------------------------------------------#
GEOALERT BRU249
UGEOA 30512 10906 1153/ 9930/
12062 20062 38062
99999
PLAIN
NOTE: the above forecasts are valid from 1230UT, 06 Sep 2011 until 08 Sep
2011
PREDICTIONS FOR 06 Sep 2011 10CM FLUX: 119 / AP: 010
PREDICTIONS FOR 07 Sep 2011 10CM FLUX: 119 / AP: 010
PREDICTIONS FOR 08 Sep 2011 10CM FLUX: 119 / AP: 012
COMMENT: Solar activity is still at active levels. An M5.3 flare was
released today by NOAA AR 11283 with peak time 01:50 UT, which caused a
type II radio burst and rising proton levels (staying well below the
threshold though). From the west limb, NOAA AR 11282 produced a C9.2
flare with peak time 06:23 UT. More M flares are possible, especially
from NOAA AR 11283 and 11282 with risks for proton events.
The M5.3 flare was accompanied by a CME which was observed by LASCO as
well as COR2 A and B. Since this CME is not Earth-directed, we expect at
most minor geomagnetic effects, and not before 12 UT on September 9.
Geomagnetic conditions are quiet and expected to remain so for the next
48 hours.
TODAY'S ESTIMATED ISN : 058, BASED ON 10 STATIONS.
99999
UGEOI 30512 10906 1153/ 05///
10117 21190 3010/ 4//// 80106 90440
99999
NOTICEABLE EVENTS SUMMARY
DAY BEGIN MAX END LOC XRAY OP 10CM RADIO BURST TYPES Catania
NOAA NOTE
04 1121 1145 1150 M3.2 VI/1
1286
05 0408 0428 0432 M1.6
1286
05 0727 0758 0806 M1.2
1286
06 0135 0150 0205 N14W07 M5.3 1B V/1,II/2
54 1283
END
UGEOR 30512 10906 1153/ 05/07 06106
10050 2//// 3//// 4522/ 50030 60002 46924 17301
10051 2//// 3//// 410// 50010 60001 46718 00000
10053 2//// 3//// 4321/ 50050 60005 32818 00000
10054 2//// 3//// 4532/ 50280 60039 10714 17301
10059 2//// 3//// 4321/ 50060 60008 24729 03000
10060 2//// 3//// 410// 50010 60002 14419 01000
99999
USSPS 32404 04063 10632 53002 45619 2/801 59007 31419 21405 61009
45525 21307 62012 48217 31402 65017 12113 34427 67011 16432 21404
USSPS 21305 04193 10322 81001 15319 0/101 76025 11413 34427 80006
25530 31304 71005 32220 11306 79002 46523 0/101 66005 46416 31304
USSPS 32404 05059 09322 53001 47018 01202 59003 32819 21302 61004
47822 2/801 65016 10715 24522 67008 24831 21304 68001 14519 1/802
USSPS 21305 05181 08022 81001 13921 0/101 80009 24530 31304 71003
33521 1/801 76023 40113 34523 79006 48720 3/801
USSPS 81202 05023 11622 54028 10913 57536 58003 14817 01205 57009
25032 21307 53006 32618 21304 48002 46619 0/101 55011 46524 21303
USSPS 81202 06003 08632 58001 13419 01203 57011 23632 21306 53003
33920 2/801 54023 40504 34525 48006 48523 2/801
UMAGF 31523 10906 ///// 0500/ 1/010 22112 32342
#--------------------------------------------------------------------#
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