| |
OK0NAG > SOLAR 31.08.11 23:05l 239 Lines 7856 Bytes #999 (0) @ EU
BID : V8LOK0NAG00K
Read: GUEST
Subj: Report of Solar Geophysical Activity (RSGA)
Path: IZ3LSV<IK6ZDE<OK0NAG
Sent: 110831/2204z @:OK0NAG.#BOH.CZE.EU [TCP/IP BBS Praha Strahov] bcm2.01e-zia
X-Info: Prijato od 127.0.0.1 za pomoci SMTP gatewaye
X-barracuda-connect: sunkl.asu.cas.cz[147.231.106.1]
X-barracuda-apparent-source-ip: 147.231.106.1
Date: 31 Aug 2011 22:03:59 +0000
X-barracuda-spam-score: 1.34
X-asg-debug-id: 1314827244-03b348676d772c70001-dKRjYV
To: solar@eu
X-originalarrivaltime: 31 Aug 2011 22:04:00.0885 (UTC) FILETIME=[E3A15250:01CC6829]
From: ok0nag <ok0nag>
X-barracuda-bbl-ip: nil
X-barracuda-spam-status: No, SCORE=1.34 using global scores of TAG_LEVEL=1000.0 QUARANTINE_LEVEL=1000.0 KILL_LEVEL=9.0 tests=HTML_MESSAGE, MIME_BASE64_TEXT, MIME_QP_LONG_LINE
X-spam-flag: NO
X-spam-score: -0.234
X-barracuda-envelope-from: solar@sunkl.asu.cas.cz
X-barracuda-spam-report: Code version 3.2, rules version 3.2.2.73293Rule breakdown below pts rule name description---- ---------------------- --------------------------------------------------0.00 HTML_MESSAGE BODY: HTML included in message0.52 MIME_BASE64_TEXT RAW: Mes
sage text disguised using base64 encoding0.82 MIME_QP_LONG_LINE RAW: Quoted-printable line longer than 76 chars
X-barracuda-url: http://147.231.105.98:8000/cgi-mod/mark.cgi
Subject: Report of Solar Geophysical Activity (RSGA)
X-asg-orig-subj: Report of Solar Geophysical Activity (RSGA)
X-barracuda-start-time: 1314827244
----boundary_107371_f511964c-a3bd-43ce-bc69-8429f6c1970f
Content-Type: text/plain; charset=us-ascii
Content-Transfer-Encoding: quoted-printable
:Product: Report of Solar-Geophysical Activity
:Issued: 2011 Aug 31 2200 UTC
# Prepared jointly by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA,
# Space Weather Prediction Center and the U.S. Air Force.
#
Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity
SDF Number 243 Issued at 2200Z on 31 Aug 2011
IA. Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 30/2100Z
to 31/2100Z: Solar activity was low. Regions 1281 (S20E28) and 1283
(N12E61) each produced a single C-class flare, the largest of which
was a C5/1f at 30/2246Z from Region 1281. Regions 1281 and 1282
(N25w13) each showed intermediate and trailer spot growth during the
period. No significant changes were noted in Region 1283, though
analysis was hampered due to limb proximity. New Region 1285
(N29W48), a small Axx group, was numbered. There were no
Earth-directed CMEs observed during the period.
IB. Solar Activity Forecast: Solar activity is expected to be low
through the period (01 - 03 September) with a slight chance for an
M-class flare.
IIA. Geophysical Activity Summary 30/2100Z to 31/2100Z:
Geomagnetic field activity was at quiet levels.
IIB. Geophysical Activity Forecast: Geomagnetic field activity is
expected to be at quiet levels during days 1 - 2 (01 - 02
September). Activity is expected to increase to quiet to unsettled
levels on day 3 (03 September), with a chance for active levels, due
to a recurrent coronal hole high-speed stream.
III. Event Probabilities 01 Sep-03 Sep
Class M 15/15/15
Class X 01/01/01
Proton 01/01/01
PCAF Green
IV. Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
Observed 31 Aug 109
Predicted 01 Sep-03 Sep 110/110/105
90 Day Mean 31 Aug 097
V. Geomagnetic A Indices
Observed Afr/Ap 30 Aug 002/004
Estimated Afr/Ap 31 Aug 002/005
Predicted Afr/Ap 01 Sep-03 Sep 005/005-005/005-008/008
VI. Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 01 Sep-03 Sep
A. Middle Latitudes
Active 10/10/20
Minor storm 01/01/05
Major-severe storm 01/01/01
B. High Latitudes
Active 15/15/25
Minor storm 01/01/10
Major-severe storm 01/01/01
Thank you for using the Product Subscription Service. If you would like
to remove a product subscription or update the personal information in
your account, go to: https://pss.swpc.noaa.gov. Please do not use the from
address for correspondence, as it is not monitored. For comments or help,
please contact us: pss.help@noaa.gov.
----boundary_107371_f511964c-a3bd-43ce-bc69-8429f6c1970f
Content-Type: text/html
Content-Transfer-Encoding: base64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----boundary_107371_f511964c-a3bd-43ce-bc69-8429f6c1970f--
Read previous mail | Read next mail
| |
