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OK0NAG > SOLAR 29.08.11 00:04l 229 Lines 7426 Bytes #999 (0) @ EU
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Subj: Report of Solar Geophysical Activity (RSGA)
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Subject: Report of Solar Geophysical Activity (RSGA)
X-asg-orig-subj: Report of Solar Geophysical Activity (RSGA)
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:Product: Report of Solar-Geophysical Activity
:Issued: 2011 Aug 28 2200 UTC
# Prepared jointly by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA,
# Space Weather Prediction Center and the U.S. Air Force.
#
Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity
SDF Number 240 Issued at 2200Z on 28 Aug 2011
IA. Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 27/2100Z
to 28/2100Z: Solar activity was very low. New Region 1281 (S21E64)
produced occasional optical subflares during the period, two of
which were associated with B-class x-ray flares. No significant
activity was noted in the remaining spot groups. A weak Type II
radio sweep occurred at 28/0420Z, likely associated with a filament
disappearance from beyond the west limb. There were no
Earth-directed CMEs observed during the period.
IB. Solar Activity Forecast: Solar activity is expected to be very
low during the period (29 - 31 August) with a chance for an isolated
C-class flare.
IIA. Geophysical Activity Summary 27/2100Z to 28/2100Z:
The geomagnetic field was quiet.
IIB. Geophysical Activity Forecast: Geomagnetic field activity is
expected to be at quiet to unsettled levels on day 1 (29 August).
Quiet geomagnetic conditions are expected during days 2 - 3 (30 - 31
August).
III. Event Probabilities 29 Aug-31 Aug
Class M 01/01/01
Class X 01/01/01
Proton 01/01/01
PCAF Green
IV. Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
Observed 28 Aug 101
Predicted 29 Aug-31 Aug 100/098/095
90 Day Mean 28 Aug 097
V. Geomagnetic A Indices
Observed Afr/Ap 27 Aug 003/005
Estimated Afr/Ap 28 Aug 005/008
Predicted Afr/Ap 29 Aug-31 Aug 008/008-005/005-005/005
VI. Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 29 Aug-31 Aug
A. Middle Latitudes
Active 20/15/15
Minor storm 05/01/01
Major-severe storm 01/01/01
B. High Latitudes
Active 25/20/15
Minor storm 10/05/01
Major-severe storm 01/01/01
Thank you for using the Product Subscription Service. If you would like
to remove a product subscription or update the personal information in
your account, go to: https://pss.swpc.noaa.gov. Please do not use the from
address for correspondence, as it is not monitored. For comments or help,
please contact us: pss.help@noaa.gov.
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