| |
OK0NAG > SOLAR 26.08.11 00:06l 287 Lines 9442 Bytes #999 (0) @ EU
BID : P8LOK0NAG00P
Read: GUEST
Subj: Report of Solar Geophysical Activity (RSGA)
Path: IZ3LSV<IK6ZDE<OK0NAG
Sent: 110825/2205z @:OK0NAG.#BOH.CZE.EU [TCP/IP BBS Praha Strahov] bcm2.01e-zia
X-Info: Prijato od 127.0.0.1 za pomoci SMTP gatewaye
X-barracuda-connect: sunkl.asu.cas.cz[147.231.106.1]
X-barracuda-apparent-source-ip: 147.231.106.1
Date: 25 Aug 2011 22:05:18 +0000
X-barracuda-spam-score: 1.34
X-asg-debug-id: 1314308965-03b348676d627a20001-dKRjYV
To: solar@eu
X-originalarrivaltime: 25 Aug 2011 22:05:19.0234 (UTC) FILETIME=[13D9EE20:01CC6373]
From: ok0nag <ok0nag>
X-barracuda-bbl-ip: nil
X-barracuda-spam-status: No, SCORE=1.34 using global scores of TAG_LEVEL=1000.0 QUARANTINE_LEVEL=1000.0 KILL_LEVEL=9.0 tests=HTML_MESSAGE, MIME_BASE64_TEXT, MIME_QP_LONG_LINE
X-spam-flag: NO
X-spam-score: -0.238
X-barracuda-envelope-from: solar@sunkl.asu.cas.cz
X-barracuda-spam-report: Code version 3.2, rules version 3.2.2.72824Rule breakdown below pts rule name description---- ---------------------- --------------------------------------------------0.00 HTML_MESSAGE BODY: HTML included in message0.52 MIME_BASE64_TEXT RAW: Mes
sage text disguised using base64 encoding0.82 MIME_QP_LONG_LINE RAW: Quoted-printable line longer than 76 chars
X-barracuda-url: http://147.231.105.98:8000/cgi-mod/mark.cgi
Subject: Report of Solar Geophysical Activity (RSGA)
X-asg-orig-subj: Report of Solar Geophysical Activity (RSGA)
X-barracuda-start-time: 1314308965
----boundary_17919_df049137-cd01-4aa1-bd06-2a0e25ce6926
Content-Type: text/plain; charset=us-ascii
Content-Transfer-Encoding: quoted-printable
:Product: Report of Solar-Geophysical Activity
:Issued: 2011 Aug 25 2200 UTC
# Prepared jointly by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA,
# Space Weather Prediction Center and the U.S. Air Force.
#
Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity
SDF Number 237 Issued at 2200Z on 25 Aug 2011
IA. Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 24/2100Z
to 25/2100Z: Solar activity was at very low levels. Region 1271
(N17W56) decayed in area and spot count, but developed a Delta
magnetic configuration in the large leader spot. The region produced
numerous low-level B-class events. Three new regions were numbered
during the period. In the western hemisphere, new Region 1278
(N16W40) emerged as a simple 4-spot bi-polar group. On the eastern
limb, new Region 1277 (N17E62) and new Region 1279 (N14E75) both
rotated onto the disk as large, uni-polar H-type groups. Region 1277
produced a B9 x-ray event at 25/0702Z while Region 1279 produced
another B9 x-ray event at 25/1652Z. The SOHO LASCO satellite
observed a slow-moving CME off the east limb, first observed in C2
imagery at 25/0856Z with an estimated plane-of-sky speed of 420
km/s. This CME does not appear to have an Earthward directed
component.
IB. Solar Activity Forecast: Solar activity is expected to be low
with a slight chance for an M-class event all three days (26 - 28
August).
IIA. Geophysical Activity Summary 24/2100Z to 25/2100Z:
The geomagnetic field was at quiet levels. Observations from the ACE
spacecraft indicated a steady decline in solar wind velocity during
the period from about 500 km/s to near 400 km/s. The Bz component
of the interplanetary magnetic field did not vary much beyond +/- 4
nT while the phi angle remained negative (toward) throughout the
period.
IIB. Geophysical Activity Forecast: The geomagnetic field is
expected to remain at quiet levels for days one and two (26 - 27
August). By day three (28 August), activity levels are expected to
increase to quiet to unsettled, with isolated active periods, due to
a geoeffective, recurrent coronal hole high speed stream.
III. Event Probabilities 26 Aug-28 Aug
Class M 10/10/10
Class X 01/01/01
Proton 01/01/01
PCAF Green
IV. Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
Observed 25 Aug 104
Predicted 26 Aug-28 Aug 110/115/115
90 Day Mean 25 Aug 097
V. Geomagnetic A Indices
Observed Afr/Ap 24 Aug 005/006
Estimated Afr/Ap 25 Aug 005/005
Predicted Afr/Ap 26 Aug-28 Aug 005/005-005/005-007/010
VI. Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 26 Aug-28 Aug
A. Middle Latitudes
Active 15/15/20
Minor storm 01/01/05
Major-severe storm 01/01/01
B. High Latitudes
Active 15/15/30
Minor storm 01/01/15
Major-severe storm 01/01/01
Thank you for using the Product Subscription Service. If you would like
to remove a product subscription or update the personal information in
your account, go to: https://pss.swpc.noaa.gov. Please do not use the from
address for correspondence, as it is not monitored. For comments or help,
please contact us: pss.help@noaa.gov.
----boundary_17919_df049137-cd01-4aa1-bd06-2a0e25ce6926
Content-Type: text/html
Content-Transfer-Encoding: base64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----boundary_17919_df049137-cd01-4aa1-bd06-2a0e25ce6926--
Read previous mail | Read next mail
| |
