| |
OK0NAG > SOLAR 22.08.11 00:08l 229 Lines 7563 Bytes #999 (0) @ EU
BID : L8LOK0NAG00S
Read: GUEST
Subj: Report of Solar Geophysical Activity (RSGA)
Path: IZ3LSV<IK6ZDE<OK0NAG
Sent: 110821/2204z @:OK0NAG.#BOH.CZE.EU [TCP/IP BBS Praha Strahov] bcm2.01e-zia
X-Info: Prijato od 127.0.0.1 za pomoci SMTP gatewaye
X-barracuda-connect: sunkl.asu.cas.cz[147.231.106.1]
X-barracuda-apparent-source-ip: 147.231.106.1
Date: 21 Aug 2011 22:03:55 +0000
X-barracuda-spam-score: 1.34
X-asg-debug-id: 1313963313-03b348676d5bcca0001-dKRjYV
To: solar@eu
X-originalarrivaltime: 21 Aug 2011 22:03:53.0447 (UTC) FILETIME=[3710DF70:01CC604E]
From: ok0nag <ok0nag>
X-barracuda-bbl-ip: nil
X-barracuda-spam-status: No, SCORE=1.34 using global scores of TAG_LEVEL=1000.0 QUARANTINE_LEVEL=1000.0 KILL_LEVEL=9.0 tests=HTML_MESSAGE, MIME_BASE64_TEXT, MIME_QP_LONG_LINE
X-spam-flag: NO
X-spam-score: -0.24
X-barracuda-envelope-from: solar@sunkl.asu.cas.cz
X-barracuda-spam-report: Code version 3.2, rules version 3.2.2.72440Rule breakdown below pts rule name description---- ---------------------- --------------------------------------------------0.00 HTML_MESSAGE BODY: HTML included in message0.52 MIME_BASE64_TEXT RAW: Mes
sage text disguised using base64 encoding0.82 MIME_QP_LONG_LINE RAW: Quoted-printable line longer than 76 chars
X-barracuda-url: http://147.231.105.98:8000/cgi-mod/mark.cgi
Subject: Report of Solar Geophysical Activity (RSGA)
X-asg-orig-subj: Report of Solar Geophysical Activity (RSGA)
X-barracuda-start-time: 1313963313
----boundary_243368_f44ddb36-c960-4d83-82c5-f4e4ef82c57a
Content-Type: text/plain; charset=us-ascii
Content-Transfer-Encoding: quoted-printable
:Product: Report of Solar-Geophysical Activity
:Issued: 2011 Aug 21 2200 UTC
# Prepared jointly by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA,
# Space Weather Prediction Center and the U.S. Air Force.
#
Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity
SDF Number 233 Issued at 2200Z on 21 Aug 2011
IA. Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 20/2100Z
to 21/2100Z: Solar activity was very low to low. Region 1271
(N16W01) produced a C2/Sf event at 20/2258Z. Region 1272 (S21E03)
produced several B-class/Sf events in the past 24 hours followed by
a C1/Sf at 21/1840Z. Regions 1271 and 1272 showed significant growth
in trailer areas. Region 1275 (N06E68) was numbered today.
IB. Solar Activity Forecast: Solar activity is expected to be low
with a slight chance for moderate activity.
IIA. Geophysical Activity Summary 20/2100Z to 21/2100Z:
The geomagnetic field was quiet to unsettled due to the arrival of a
favorably positioned negative polarity coronal hole.
IIB. Geophysical Activity Forecast: The geomagnetic field is
expected to be unsettled with a chance for active conditions at high
latitudes on Days 1 and 2 (22-23 Aug) with the arrival of a second
coronal hole high speed stream (HSS). Day 3 (24 Aug) is expected to
decrease to quiet conditions as effects from the HSS subside.
III. Event Probabilities 22 Aug-24 Aug
Class M 20/20/20
Class X 01/01/01
Proton 01/01/01
PCAF Green
IV. Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
Observed 21 Aug 101
Predicted 22 Aug-24 Aug 103/105/105
90 Day Mean 21 Aug 096
V. Geomagnetic A Indices
Observed Afr/Ap 20 Aug 004/005
Estimated Afr/Ap 21 Aug 005/005
Predicted Afr/Ap 22 Aug-24 Aug 010/012-008/010-005/005
VI. Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 22 Aug-24 Aug
A. Middle Latitudes
Active 25/20/15
Minor storm 10/05/01
Major-severe storm 05/01/01
B. High Latitudes
Active 40/40/15
Minor storm 20/15/05
Major-severe storm 10/05/01
Thank you for using the Product Subscription Service. If you would like
to remove a product subscription or update the personal information in
your account, go to: https://pss.swpc.noaa.gov. Please do not use the from
address for correspondence, as it is not monitored. For comments or help,
please contact us: pss.help@noaa.gov.
----boundary_243368_f44ddb36-c960-4d83-82c5-f4e4ef82c57a
Content-Type: text/html
Content-Transfer-Encoding: base64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----boundary_243368_f44ddb36-c960-4d83-82c5-f4e4ef82c57a--
Read previous mail | Read next mail
| |
