| |
OK0NAG > SOLAR 20.08.11 23:03l 247 Lines 8106 Bytes #999 (0) @ EU
BID : K8LOK0NAG00K
Read: GUEST
Subj: Report of Solar Geophysical Activity (RSGA)
Path: IZ3LSV<IK6ZDE<OK0NAG
Sent: 110820/2201z @:OK0NAG.#BOH.CZE.EU [TCP/IP BBS Praha Strahov] bcm2.01e-zia
X-Info: Prijato od 127.0.0.1 za pomoci SMTP gatewaye
X-barracuda-connect: sunkl.asu.cas.cz[147.231.106.1]
X-barracuda-apparent-source-ip: 147.231.106.1
Date: 20 Aug 2011 22:01:33 +0000
X-barracuda-spam-score: 1.34
X-asg-debug-id: 1313876783-03b348676d5b2170001-dKRjYV
To: solar@eu
X-originalarrivaltime: 20 Aug 2011 22:01:29.0962 (UTC) FILETIME=[B7210CA0:01CC5F84]
From: ok0nag <ok0nag>
X-barracuda-bbl-ip: nil
X-barracuda-spam-status: No, SCORE=1.34 using global scores of TAG_LEVEL=1000.0 QUARANTINE_LEVEL=1000.0 KILL_LEVEL=9.0 tests=HTML_MESSAGE, MIME_BASE64_TEXT, MIME_QP_LONG_LINE
X-spam-flag: NO
X-spam-score: -0.24
X-barracuda-envelope-from: solar@sunkl.asu.cas.cz
X-barracuda-spam-report: Code version 3.2, rules version 3.2.2.72345Rule breakdown below pts rule name description---- ---------------------- --------------------------------------------------0.00 HTML_MESSAGE BODY: HTML included in message0.52 MIME_BASE64_TEXT RAW: Mes
sage text disguised using base64 encoding0.82 MIME_QP_LONG_LINE RAW: Quoted-printable line longer than 76 chars
X-barracuda-url: http://147.231.105.98:8000/cgi-mod/mark.cgi
Subject: Report of Solar Geophysical Activity (RSGA)
X-asg-orig-subj: Report of Solar Geophysical Activity (RSGA)
X-barracuda-start-time: 1313876783
----boundary_231221_18b837a7-03cf-4c73-8907-a0daf6c91132
Content-Type: text/plain; charset=us-ascii
Content-Transfer-Encoding: quoted-printable
:Product: Report of Solar-Geophysical Activity
:Issued: 2011 Aug 20 2200 UTC
# Prepared jointly by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA,
# Space Weather Prediction Center and the U.S. Air Force.
#
Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity
SDF Number 232 Issued at 2200Z on 20 Aug 2011
IA. Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 19/2100Z
to 20/2100Z: Solar activity was very low. There were occasional
B-class flares from Regions 1272 (S22E15) and 1271 (N16E10). Region
1271 decayed slightly to become a Dso type spot group with Beta
magnetic configuration. Region 1274 (N19E70) was numbered today; it
is currently small and magnetically simple.
IB. Solar Activity Forecast: Solar activity is expected to be very
low to low on Day 1 (21 Aug), becoming low with a slight chance for
moderate activity on Days 2 and 3 (22-23 Aug) with four active
regions expected to be on the disk at that time.
IIA. Geophysical Activity Summary 19/2100Z to 20/2100Z:
The geomagnetic field was quiet and the solar wind at the ACE
spacecraft was unremarkable.
IIB. Geophysical Activity Forecast: The geomagnetic field is
expected to be quiet to unsettled on Day 1 (21 Aug) rising to
unsettled with a chance for active conditions on Day 2 (22 Aug).
The increase in activity is expected due to a co-rotating
interaction region followed by two negative polarity coronal hole
high speed streams. Day 3 (23 Aug) is expected to return to quiet
to unsettled conditions as effects from the first coronal hole begin
to wane.
III. Event Probabilities 21 Aug-23 Aug
Class M 05/20/20
Class X 01/01/01
Proton 01/01/01
PCAF Green
IV. Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
Observed 20 Aug 101
Predicted 21 Aug-23 Aug 102/104/105
90 Day Mean 20 Aug 096
V. Geomagnetic A Indices
Observed Afr/Ap 19 Aug 001/002
Estimated Afr/Ap 20 Aug 003/003
Predicted Afr/Ap 21 Aug-23 Aug 007/008-010/012-007/008
VI. Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 21 Aug-23 Aug
A. Middle Latitudes
Active 15/25/15
Minor storm 05/10/05
Major-severe storm 01/05/01
B. High Latitudes
Active 30/40/30
Minor storm 15/20/15
Major-severe storm 05/10/05
Thank you for using the Product Subscription Service. If you would like
to remove a product subscription or update the personal information in
your account, go to: https://pss.swpc.noaa.gov. Please do not use the from
address for correspondence, as it is not monitored. For comments or help,
please contact us: pss.help@noaa.gov.
----boundary_231221_18b837a7-03cf-4c73-8907-a0daf6c91132
Content-Type: text/html
Content-Transfer-Encoding: base64
PCFET0NUWVBFIEhUTUwgUFVCTElDICItLy9XM0MvL0RURCBIVE1MIDQuMCBUcmFuc2l0aW9u
YWwvL0VOIj48SFRNTD48SEVBRD48TUVUQSBodHRwLWVxdWl2PUNvbnRlbnQtVHlwZSBjb250
ZW50PSJ0ZXh0L2h0bWw7IGNoYXJzZXQ9aXNvLTg4NTktMSI+PC9IRUFEPjxCT0RZPjxQUkU+
OlByb2R1Y3Q6IFJlcG9ydCBvZiBTb2xhci1HZW9waHlzaWNhbCBBY3Rpdml0eQ0KOklzc3Vl
ZDogMjAxMSBBdWcgMjAgMjIwMCBVVEMNCiMgUHJlcGFyZWQgam9pbnRseSBieSB0aGUgVS5T
LiBEZXB0LiBvZiBDb21tZXJjZSwgTk9BQSwNCiMgU3BhY2UgV2VhdGhlciBQcmVkaWN0aW9u
IENlbnRlciBhbmQgdGhlIFUuUy4gQWlyIEZvcmNlLg0KIw0KSm9pbnQgVVNBRi9OT0FBIFJl
cG9ydCBvZiBTb2xhciBhbmQgR2VvcGh5c2ljYWwgQWN0aXZpdHkNClNERiBOdW1iZXIgMjMy
IElzc3VlZCBhdCAyMjAwWiBvbiAyMCBBdWcgMjAxMQ0KSUEuICBBbmFseXNpcyBvZiBTb2xh
ciBBY3RpdmUgUmVnaW9ucyBhbmQgQWN0aXZpdHkgZnJvbSAgMTkvMjEwMFoNCnRvIDIwLzIx
MDBaOiAgU29sYXIgYWN0aXZpdHkgd2FzIHZlcnkgbG93LiAgVGhlcmUgd2VyZSBvY2Nhc2lv
bmFsDQpCLWNsYXNzIGZsYXJlcyBmcm9tIFJlZ2lvbnMgMTI3MiAoUzIyRTE1KSBhbmQgMTI3
MSAoTjE2RTEwKS4gIFJlZ2lvbg0KMTI3MSBkZWNheWVkIHNsaWdodGx5IHRvIGJlY29tZSBh
IERzbyB0eXBlIHNwb3QgZ3JvdXAgd2l0aCBCZXRhDQptYWduZXRpYyBjb25maWd1cmF0aW9u
LiAgUmVnaW9uIDEyNzQgKE4xOUU3MCkgd2FzIG51bWJlcmVkIHRvZGF5OyBpdA0KaXMgY3Vy
cmVudGx5IHNtYWxsIGFuZCBtYWduZXRpY2FsbHkgc2ltcGxlLg0KSUIuICBTb2xhciBBY3Rp
dml0eSBGb3JlY2FzdDogIFNvbGFyIGFjdGl2aXR5IGlzIGV4cGVjdGVkIHRvIGJlIHZlcnkN
CmxvdyB0byBsb3cgb24gRGF5IDEgKDIxIEF1ZyksIGJlY29taW5nIGxvdyB3aXRoIGEgc2xp
Z2h0IGNoYW5jZSBmb3INCm1vZGVyYXRlIGFjdGl2aXR5IG9uIERheXMgMiBhbmQgMyAoMjIt
MjMgQXVnKSB3aXRoIGZvdXIgYWN0aXZlDQpyZWdpb25zIGV4cGVjdGVkIHRvIGJlIG9uIHRo
ZSBkaXNrIGF0IHRoYXQgdGltZS4NCklJQS4gIEdlb3BoeXNpY2FsIEFjdGl2aXR5IFN1bW1h
cnkgMTkvMjEwMFogdG8gMjAvMjEwMFo6DQpUaGUgZ2VvbWFnbmV0aWMgZmllbGQgd2FzIHF1
aWV0IGFuZCB0aGUgc29sYXIgd2luZCBhdCB0aGUgQUNFDQpzcGFjZWNyYWZ0IHdhcyB1bnJl
bWFya2FibGUuDQpJSUIuICBHZW9waHlzaWNhbCBBY3Rpdml0eSBGb3JlY2FzdDogIFRoZSBn
ZW9tYWduZXRpYyBmaWVsZCBpcw0KZXhwZWN0ZWQgdG8gYmUgcXVpZXQgdG8gdW5zZXR0bGVk
IG9uIERheSAxICgyMSBBdWcpIHJpc2luZyB0bw0KdW5zZXR0bGVkIHdpdGggYSBjaGFuY2Ug
Zm9yIGFjdGl2ZSBjb25kaXRpb25zIG9uIERheSAyICgyMiBBdWcpLiANClRoZSBpbmNyZWFz
ZSBpbiBhY3Rpdml0eSBpcyBleHBlY3RlZCBkdWUgdG8gYSBjby1yb3RhdGluZw0KaW50ZXJh
Y3Rpb24gcmVnaW9uIGZvbGxvd2VkIGJ5IHR3byBuZWdhdGl2ZSBwb2xhcml0eSBjb3JvbmFs
IGhvbGUNCmhpZ2ggc3BlZWQgc3RyZWFtcy4gIERheSAzICgyMyBBdWcpIGlzIGV4cGVjdGVk
IHRvIHJldHVybiB0byBxdWlldA0KdG8gdW5zZXR0bGVkIGNvbmRpdGlvbnMgYXMgZWZmZWN0
cyBmcm9tIHRoZSBmaXJzdCBjb3JvbmFsIGhvbGUgYmVnaW4NCnRvIHdhbmUuDQpJSUkuICBF
dmVudCBQcm9iYWJpbGl0aWVzIDIxIEF1Zy0yMyBBdWcNCkNsYXNzIE0gICAgMDUvMjAvMjAN
CkNsYXNzIFggICAgMDEvMDEvMDENClByb3RvbiAgICAgMDEvMDEvMDENClBDQUYgICAgICAg
R3JlZW4NCklWLiAgUGVudGljdG9uIDEwLjcgY20gRmx1eA0KT2JzZXJ2ZWQgICAgICAgICAg
IDIwIEF1ZyAxMDENClByZWRpY3RlZCAgIDIxIEF1Zy0yMyBBdWcgIDEwMi8xMDQvMTA1DQo5
MCBEYXkgTWVhbiAgICAgICAgMjAgQXVnIDA5Ng0KVi4gIEdlb21hZ25ldGljIEEgSW5kaWNl
cw0KT2JzZXJ2ZWQgQWZyL0FwIDE5IEF1ZyAgMDAxLzAwMg0KRXN0aW1hdGVkIEFmci9BcCAy
MCBBdWcgIDAwMy8wMDMNClByZWRpY3RlZCBBZnIvQXAgMjEgQXVnLTIzIEF1ZyAgMDA3LzAw
OC0wMTAvMDEyLTAwNy8wMDgNClZJLiAgR2VvbWFnbmV0aWMgQWN0aXZpdHkgUHJvYmFiaWxp
dGllcyAyMSBBdWctMjMgQXVnDQpBLiAgTWlkZGxlIExhdGl0dWRlcw0KQWN0aXZlICAgICAg
ICAgICAgICAgIDE1LzI1LzE1DQpNaW5vciBzdG9ybSAgICAgICAgICAgMDUvMTAvMDUNCk1h
am9yLXNldmVyZSBzdG9ybSAgICAwMS8wNS8wMQ0KQi4gIEhpZ2ggTGF0aXR1ZGVzDQpBY3Rp
dmUgICAgICAgICAgICAgICAgMzAvNDAvMzANCk1pbm9yIHN0b3JtICAgICAgICAgICAxNS8y
MC8xNQ0KTWFqb3Itc2V2ZXJlIHN0b3JtICAgIDA1LzEwLzA1DQo8L1BSRT48QlI+PEhSPlRo
YW5rIHlvdSBmb3IgdXNpbmcgdGhlIFByb2R1Y3QgU3Vic2NyaXB0aW9uIFNlcnZpY2UuIElm
IHlvdSB3b3VsZCBsaWtlIHRvIHJlbW92ZSBhIHByb2R1Y3Qgc3Vic2NyaXB0aW9uIG9yIHVw
ZGF0ZSB0aGUgcGVyc29uYWwgaW5mb3JtYXRpb24gaW4geW91ciBhY2NvdW50LCBnbyB0byB0
aGUgPGEgaHJlZj0iaHR0cHM6Ly9wc3Muc3dwYy5ub2FhLmdvdiI+UHJvZHVjdCBTdWJzY3Jp
cHRpb24gU2l0ZS48L2E+IFBsZWFzZSBkbyBub3QgdXNlIHRoZSBmcm9tIGFkZHJlc3MgZm9y
IGNvcnJlc3BvbmRlbmNlLCBhcyBpdCBpcyBub3QgbW9uaXRvcmVkLiBGb3IgY29tbWVudHMg
b3IgaGVscCwgcGxlYXNlIGNvbnRhY3QgPGEgaHJlZj0ibWFpbHRvOnBzcy5oZWxwQG5vYWEu
Z292Ij5TV1BDIEhlbHAuPC9hPjwvQk9EWT48L0hUTUw+
----boundary_231221_18b837a7-03cf-4c73-8907-a0daf6c91132--
Read previous mail | Read next mail
| |
