| |
OK0NAG > SOLAR 11.08.11 23:03l 259 Lines 8514 Bytes #999 (0) @ EU
BID : B8LOK0NAG00N
Read: GUEST
Subj: Report of Solar Geophysical Activity (RSGA)
Path: IZ3LSV<IK2XDE<DB0RES<DK0WUE<IK6ZDE<OK0NAG
Sent: 110811/2201z @:OK0NAG.#BOH.CZE.EU [TCP/IP BBS Praha Strahov] bcm2.01e-zia
X-Info: Prijato od 127.0.0.1 za pomoci SMTP gatewaye
X-barracuda-connect: sunkl.asu.cas.cz[147.231.106.1]
X-barracuda-apparent-source-ip: 147.231.106.1
Date: 11 Aug 2011 22:01:33 +0000
X-barracuda-spam-score: 1.34
X-asg-debug-id: 1313099255-03b348676d505260001-dKRjYV
To: solar@eu
X-originalarrivaltime: 11 Aug 2011 22:01:28.0676 (UTC) FILETIME=[38A51240:01CC5872]
From: ok0nag <ok0nag>
X-barracuda-bbl-ip: nil
X-barracuda-spam-status: No, SCORE=1.34 using global scores of TAG_LEVEL=1000.0 QUARANTINE_LEVEL=1000.0 KILL_LEVEL=9.0 tests=HTML_MESSAGE, MIME_BASE64_TEXT, MIME_QP_LONG_LINE
X-spam-flag: NO
X-spam-score: -0.245
X-barracuda-envelope-from: solar@sunkl.asu.cas.cz
X-barracuda-spam-report: Code version 3.2, rules version 3.2.2.71491Rule breakdown below pts rule name description---- ---------------------- --------------------------------------------------0.00 HTML_MESSAGE BODY: HTML included in message0.52 MIME_BASE64_TEXT RAW: Mes
sage text disguised using base64 encoding0.82 MIME_QP_LONG_LINE RAW: Quoted-printable line longer than 76 chars
X-barracuda-url: http://147.231.105.98:8000/cgi-mod/mark.cgi
Subject: Report of Solar Geophysical Activity (RSGA)
X-asg-orig-subj: Report of Solar Geophysical Activity (RSGA)
X-barracuda-start-time: 1313099255
----boundary_94185_71001dca-b4b3-4781-b1a0-1de724e8a8b2
Content-Type: text/plain; charset=us-ascii
Content-Transfer-Encoding: quoted-printable
:Product: Report of Solar-Geophysical Activity
:Issued: 2011 Aug 11 2200 UTC
# Prepared jointly by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA,
# Space Weather Prediction Center and the U.S. Air Force.
#
Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity
SDF Number 223 Issued at 2200Z on 11 Aug 2011
IA. Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 10/2100Z
to 11/2100Z: Solar activity was low. Region 1263 (N17, L=301)
produced a C6 x-ray flare from beyond the west limb. New regions
1269 (S22E17) and 1270 (S23E54) were numbered today; both are small
and magnetically simple. A CME was observed on the west limb,
evident in SOHO/LASCO C2 imagery at 11/1036Z. Material movement and
subsequent darkening was observed in STEREO-A EUV imagery beginning
at approximately 11/1005Z. This CME is not expected to be
geoeffective.
IB. Solar Activity Forecast: Solar activity is expected to be very
low to low. There is a chance for a C class x-ray event throughout
the period.
IIA. Geophysical Activity Summary 10/2100Z to 11/2100Z:
The geomagnetic field was quiet. Solar wind speed at the ACE
spacecraft continued to decline and ended the period near 400 km/s.
The Phi angle briefly switched to negative between 11/10Z and
11/12Z. The Bz component of the interplanetary magnetic field
remained around zero. A shock was observed in the STEREO-A beacon
data at roughly 11/0600Z. This is most likely the arrival of the 09
August CME from Region 1263. The greater than 2 MeV electron flux at
geosynchronous orbit was at high levels throughout the period.
IIB. Geophysical Activity Forecast: The geomagnetic field is
expected to be predominantly quiet for the next three days (12-14
August).
III. Event Probabilities 12 Aug-14 Aug
Class M 05/05/05
Class X 01/01/01
Proton 01/01/01
PCAF Green
IV. Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
Observed 11 Aug 084
Predicted 12 Aug-14 Aug 085/085/090
90 Day Mean 11 Aug 096
V. Geomagnetic A Indices
Observed Afr/Ap 10 Aug 008/007
Estimated Afr/Ap 11 Aug 005/004
Predicted Afr/Ap 12 Aug-14 Aug 005/005-005/005-005/005
VI. Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 12 Aug-14 Aug
A. Middle Latitudes
Active 15/05/05
Minor storm 05/05/05
Major-severe storm 01/01/01
B. High Latitudes
Active 20/10/20
Minor storm 10/05/10
Major-severe storm 05/01/05
Thank you for using the Product Subscription Service. If you would like
to remove a product subscription or update the personal information in
your account, go to: https://pss.swpc.noaa.gov. Please do not use the from
address for correspondence, as it is not monitored. For comments or help,
please contact us: pss.help@noaa.gov.
----boundary_94185_71001dca-b4b3-4781-b1a0-1de724e8a8b2
Content-Type: text/html
Content-Transfer-Encoding: base64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----boundary_94185_71001dca-b4b3-4781-b1a0-1de724e8a8b2--
Read previous mail | Read next mail
| |
