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OK0NAG > SOLAR    11.08.11 14:50l 100 Lines 3602 Bytes #999 (0) @ EU
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Subject: GEOALERT SIDC
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:Issued: 2011 Aug 11 1247 UTC
:Product: documentation at http://www.sidc.be/products/xut
#--------------------------------------------------------------------#

# GEOALERT message from the SIDC (RWC-Belgium)                       #

#--------------------------------------------------------------------#


GEOALERT BRU223
UGEOA 30512 10811 1233/ 9930/
10112 21112 30112
99999
PLAIN
NOTE: the above forecasts are valid from 1230UT, 11 Aug 2011 until 13 Aug 
2011
PREDICTIONS FOR 11 Aug 2011  10CM FLUX: 090 / AP: 015
PREDICTIONS FOR 12 Aug 2011  10CM FLUX: 090 / AP: 014
PREDICTIONS FOR 13 Aug 2011  10CM FLUX: 090 / AP: 007
COMMENT: The CME/shock originating from the Aug 9 X7 flare did not
arrive yet. If it is still to come in the coming hours, its speed and
strength will be smaller than previously anticipated. Hence we now
forecast at most active geomagnetic conditions (Kp=4). Meanwhile NOAA
1263 has rotated behind the limb where it released another large flare,

from Earth visible as C6.2 event. Proton fluxes did not react to this
event. In the coming days we expect flaring activity to drop below
C-class level.



TODAY'S ESTIMATED ISN  : 025, BASED ON 16 STATIONS.
99999
UGEOI 30512 10811 1233/ 10///
1//// 20900 3008/ 4//// 8//// 9////
99999

NOTICEABLE EVENTS SUMMARY
DAY BEGIN MAX  END  LOC    XRAY OP  10CM RADIO BURST TYPES     Catania 
NOAA NOTE
NONE
END

USSPS 32404 10063 03132 34012 47917 21403 40003 42919 11408 
USSPS 21305 10165 03832 56003 17222 0/101 55001 41318 0/102 54001 
43519 01205 
USSPS 81202 11018 03622 35001 43519 21402 38002 23023 21402 39002 
16822 21302 
UMAGF 30503 10811 1004/ 10062 1/010 22211 32112 
UMAGF 31523 10811 ///// 1000/ 1/008 23222 32222 
 
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