| |
OK0NAG > SOLAR 04.08.11 13:31l 124 Lines 4738 Bytes #999 (0) @ EU
BID : 48LOK0NAG00G
Read: GUEST
Subj: GEOALERT SIDC
Path: IZ3LSV<IK6ZDE<OK0NAG
Sent: 110804/1229z @:OK0NAG.#BOH.CZE.EU [TCP/IP BBS Praha Strahov] bcm2.01e-zia
X-Info: Prijato od 127.0.0.1 za pomoci SMTP gatewaye
X-barracuda-connect: sunkl.asu.cas.cz[147.231.106.1]
X-barracuda-apparent-source-ip: 147.231.106.1
Date: Thu, 4 Aug 2011 12:28:32 GMT
Reply-to: sidctech@oma.be
X-barracuda-spam-score: 0.00
X-asg-debug-id: 1312460206-03b348676d3cf7f0001-dKRjYV
To: solar@eu
From: ok0nag <ok0nag>
X-barracuda-bbl-ip: nil
X-barracuda-spam-status: No, SCORE=0.00 using global scores of TAG_LEVEL=1000.0 QUARANTINE_LEVEL=1000.0 KILL_LEVEL=9.0 tests=
X-spam-flag: NO
X-spam-score: -0.571
X-barracuda-envelope-from: solar@sunkl.asu.cas.cz
X-barracuda-spam-report: Code version 3.2, rules version 3.2.2.70879Rule breakdown below pts rule name description---- ---------------------- --------------------------------------------------
X-barracuda-url: http://147.231.105.98:8000/cgi-mod/mark.cgi
Subject: GEOALERT SIDC
X-asg-orig-subj: GEOALERT SIDC
Precedence: special-delivery
X-authentication-warning: titus.oma.be: sidc set sender to sidctech@oma.be using -f
X-barracuda-start-time: 1312460206
:Issued: 2011 Aug 04 1227 UTC
:Product: documentation at http://www.sidc.be/products/xut
#--------------------------------------------------------------------#
# GEOALERT message from the SIDC (RWC-Belgium) #
#--------------------------------------------------------------------#
GEOALERT BRU216
UGEOA 30512 10804 1220/ 9930/
11042 22042 37042
99999
PLAIN
NOTE: the above forecasts are valid from 1230UT, 04 Aug 2011 until 06 Aug
2011
PREDICTIONS FOR 04 Aug 2011 10CM FLUX: 118 / AP: 012
PREDICTIONS FOR 05 Aug 2011 10CM FLUX: 118 / AP: 030
PREDICTIONS FOR 06 Aug 2011 10CM FLUX: 116 / AP: 010
COMMENT: A class M9.3 solar X-ray flare occurred on 2011/08/04 with
peak time 03:57 UT. The source region is NOAA AR 1261 located 40° to the
West of the central meridian. A CME is associated and is visible in
STEREO-A/COR2 images from 04:09UT - STEREO-B/COR2 images from 04:10UT.
A
first estimate from STEREO/COR2 images with a CACTus-like software gives
a speed above 1500 km/s. From SOHO/LASCO, the CME seems to be a full
halo. The proton flux measured by the geostationary satellite GOES
increased. The >MeV curve passed the storm level at 05:30UT. This
very fast increase of proton flux is flare-driven. This is the third CME
in a row (Aug 02, 03, 04). Each CME is faster then the previous one.
Energy might cumulate and might result in a geomagnetic storm at arrival.
The sunspots associated with the turbulent NOAA active regions are
becoming less dynamic and agitated. The probability for M-flaring
activity has decreased.
TODAY'S ESTIMATED ISN : 063, BASED ON 21 STATIONS.
99999
UGEOI 30512 10804 1220/ 03///
1//// 21202 3005/ 4//// 8//// 9////
99999
NOTICEABLE EVENTS SUMMARY
DAY BEGIN MAX END LOC XRAY OP 10CM RADIO BURST TYPES Catania
NOAA NOTE
03 1317 1348 1410 N16W30 M6.0 2B 180 IV/2,III/1,II/1
1261 Halo CME
04 0341 0357 0404 N19W36 M9.3 2B 720 III/3,II/2,V/3
1261 Halo CME
END
UGEOR 30512 10804 1220/ 27/06 04106
10041 2//// 3//// 4321/ 50020 60005 42817 00000
10043 2//// 3//// 4522/ 50110 60025 13918 00000
10044 2//// 3//// 4422/ 50120 60020 16817 28319
10045 2//// 3//// 410// 50010 60001 10716 00000
10046 2//// 3//// 410// 50010 60001 26923 00000
10047 2//// 3//// 410// 50010 60001 27232 00000
99999
USSPS 32404 03058 06632 32018 45218 21306 33023 42616 31415 34052
10517 44515
USSPS 21305 03186 08132 50001 15619 0/101 48026 40218 57421 46047
43415 31411 44019 46116 31308
USSPS 81202 04015 09222 29042 46519 41402 31048 43615 57425 33090
40517 47522 35004 15218 11303
UMAGF 30503 10804 1004/ 03065 1/007 21121 31200
UMAGF 31523 10804 ///// 0300/ 1/005 21111 32222
UCMEO 93001 10803 1800/ 10803 61348 91706 2131/ 212// 323// 41038
10803 61315 81421 42816 11261 1222/ 99999 PLAIN
#--------------------------------------------------------------------#
# Solar Influences Data analysis Center - RWC Belgium #
# Royal Observatory of Belgium #
# Fax : 32 (0) 2 373 0 224 #
# Tel.: 32 (0) 2 373 0 491 #
# #
# For more information, see http://sidc.be/products/xut. #
# Please do not reply directly to this message, but send comments #
# and suggestions to 'sidctech@oma.be'. If you are unable to use #
# that address, use 'rvdlinden@spd.aas.org' instead. #
# To unsubscribe, visit http://sidc.be/registration/unsub.php #
#--------------------------------------------------------------------#
Read previous mail | Read next mail
| |
