| |
OK0NAG > SOLAR 29.07.11 23:04l 243 Lines 7939 Bytes #999 (0) @ EU
BID : T7LOK0NAG00J
Read: GUEST
Subj: Report of Solar Geophysical Activity (RSGA)
Path: IZ3LSV<IK2XDE<IK6ZDE<OK0NAG
Sent: 110729/2203z @:OK0NAG.#BOH.CZE.EU [TCP/IP BBS Praha Strahov] bcm2.01e-zia
X-Info: Prijato od 127.0.0.1 za pomoci SMTP gatewaye
X-barracuda-connect: sunkl.asu.cas.cz[147.231.106.1]
X-barracuda-apparent-source-ip: 147.231.106.1
Date: 29 Jul 2011 22:02:49 +0000
X-barracuda-spam-score: 1.34
X-asg-debug-id: 1311976253-03b348676d337e00001-dKRjYV
To: solar@eu
X-originalarrivaltime: 29 Jul 2011 22:02:53.0582 (UTC) FILETIME=[43E1F2E0:01CC4E3B]
From: ok0nag <ok0nag>
X-barracuda-bbl-ip: nil
X-barracuda-spam-status: No, SCORE=1.34 using global scores of TAG_LEVEL=1000.0 QUARANTINE_LEVEL=1000.0 KILL_LEVEL=9.0 tests=HTML_MESSAGE, MIME_BASE64_TEXT, MIME_QP_LONG_LINE
X-spam-flag: NO
X-spam-score: -0.253
X-barracuda-envelope-from: solar@sunkl.asu.cas.cz
X-barracuda-spam-report: Code version 3.2, rules version 3.2.2.70343Rule breakdown below pts rule name description---- ---------------------- --------------------------------------------------0.00 HTML_MESSAGE BODY: HTML included in message0.52 MIME_BASE64_TEXT RAW: Mes
sage text disguised using base64 encoding0.82 MIME_QP_LONG_LINE RAW: Quoted-printable line longer than 76 chars
X-barracuda-url: http://147.231.105.98:8000/cgi-mod/mark.cgi
Subject: Report of Solar Geophysical Activity (RSGA)
X-asg-orig-subj: Report of Solar Geophysical Activity (RSGA)
X-barracuda-start-time: 1311976253
----boundary_43779_fa91f259-eacc-4649-bc70-303362b80563
Content-Type: text/plain; charset=us-ascii
Content-Transfer-Encoding: quoted-printable
:Product: Report of Solar-Geophysical Activity
:Issued: 2011 Jul 29 2200 UTC
# Prepared jointly by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA,
# Space Weather Prediction Center and the U.S. Air Force.
#
Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity
SDF Number 210 Issued at 2200Z on 29 Jul 2011
IA. Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 28/2100Z
to 29/2100Z: Solar activity was low. Region 1261 (N16E33) produced
the majority of the C-class flare events. The largest was a C6/1f
at 1640Z. Region 1261 appears to be in decay and is classified as
Dai spot group with a beta-gamma magnetic configuration. Region
1260 (N19E03) appears to show separation between the leader and
trailing spots and is classified as a Eai spot group with a
beta-gamma magnetic configuration. Region 1263 (N18E59) has been
largely quiet and stable as it rotated into view, only managing a
low level C-flare.
IB. Solar Activity Forecast: Solar activity is expected to continue
at low levels with a chance for M-class flares.
IIA. Geophysical Activity Summary 28/2100Z to 29/2100Z:
The geomagnetic field was mostly quiet. The greater than 2 MeV
electron flux at geosynchronous orbit reached high levels during the
period.
IIB. Geophysical Activity Forecast: The geomagnetic field is
expected to be mostly quiet on 30 July. Unsettled conditions with
possible active periods are expected on 31 July-01 August due to
effects from a coronal hole high speed stream.
III. Event Probabilities 30 Jul-01 Aug
Class M 40/40/40
Class X 05/05/05
Proton 05/05/05
PCAF green
IV. Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
Observed 29 Jul 112
Predicted 30 Jul-01 Aug 110/110/110
90 Day Mean 29 Jul 095
V. Geomagnetic A Indices
Observed Afr/Ap 28 Jul 003/003
Estimated Afr/Ap 29 Jul 004/005
Predicted Afr/Ap 30 Jul-01 Aug 005/005-012/012-012/012
VI. Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 30 Jul-01 Aug
A. Middle Latitudes
Active 05/35/35
Minor storm 01/15/15
Major-severe storm 01/05/05
B. High Latitudes
Active 05/40/40
Minor storm 01/20/20
Major-severe storm 01/10/10
Thank you for using the Product Subscription Service. If you would like
to remove a product subscription or update the personal information in
your account, go to: https://pss.swpc.noaa.gov. Please do not use the from
address for correspondence, as it is not monitored. For comments or help,
please contact us: pss.help@noaa.gov.
----boundary_43779_fa91f259-eacc-4649-bc70-303362b80563
Content-Type: text/html
Content-Transfer-Encoding: base64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----boundary_43779_fa91f259-eacc-4649-bc70-303362b80563--
Read previous mail | Read next mail
| |
