| |
OK0NAG > SOLAR 20.07.11 23:03l 234 Lines 7655 Bytes #999 (0) @ EU
BID : K7LOK0NAG00L
Read: GUEST
Subj: Report of Solar Geophysical Activity (RSGA)
Path: IZ3LSV<IK6ZDE<OK0NAG
Sent: 110720/2202z @:OK0NAG.#BOH.CZE.EU [TCP/IP BBS Praha Strahov] bcm2.01e-zia
X-Info: Prijato od 127.0.0.1 za pomoci SMTP gatewaye
X-barracuda-connect: sunkl.asu.cas.cz[147.231.106.1]
X-barracuda-apparent-source-ip: 147.231.106.1
Date: 20 Jul 2011 22:02:13 +0000
X-barracuda-spam-score: 1.34
X-asg-debug-id: 1311198680-03b348676de47c0001-dKRjYV
To: solar@eu
X-originalarrivaltime: 20 Jul 2011 22:02:07.0291 (UTC) FILETIME=[AA92C0B0:01CC4728]
From: ok0nag <ok0nag>
X-barracuda-bbl-ip: nil
X-barracuda-spam-status: No, SCORE=1.34 using global scores of TAG_LEVEL=1000.0 QUARANTINE_LEVEL=1000.0 KILL_LEVEL=9.0 tests=HTML_MESSAGE, MIME_BASE64_TEXT, MIME_QP_LONG_LINE
X-spam-flag: NO
X-spam-score: -0.258
X-barracuda-envelope-from: solar@sunkl.asu.cas.cz
X-barracuda-spam-report: Code version 3.2, rules version 3.2.2.69503Rule breakdown below pts rule name description---- ---------------------- --------------------------------------------------0.00 HTML_MESSAGE BODY: HTML included in message0.52 MIME_BASE64_TEXT RAW: Mes
sage text disguised using base64 encoding0.82 MIME_QP_LONG_LINE RAW: Quoted-printable line longer than 76 chars
X-barracuda-url: http://147.231.105.98:8000/cgi-mod/mark.cgi
Subject: Report of Solar Geophysical Activity (RSGA)
X-asg-orig-subj: Report of Solar Geophysical Activity (RSGA)
X-barracuda-start-time: 1311198680
----boundary_471462_df2640a4-a970-4ee5-aedd-cf48f96bce12
Content-Type: text/plain; charset=us-ascii
Content-Transfer-Encoding: quoted-printable
:Product: Report of Solar-Geophysical Activity
:Issued: 2011 Jul 20 2200 UTC
# Prepared jointly by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA,
# Space Weather Prediction Center and the U.S. Air Force.
#
Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity
SDF Number 201 Issued at 2200Z on 20 Jul 2011
IA. Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 19/2100Z
to 20/2100Z: Solar activity was very low. There were five numbered
active regions today, but most remained quiet and stable. Regions
1254 (S22W17) and 1259 (N25E42) were classified as Cso Beta groups.
Only 1254 produced any x-ray events during the period, the largest a
B8 flare at 20/1551Z.
IB. Solar Activity Forecast: Solar activity is expected to be very
low to low with the chance for a C-class event for the next 3 days
(21-23 July).
IIA. Geophysical Activity Summary 19/2100Z to 20/2100Z:
The geomagnetic field was mostly unsettled to active during the
period. The greater than 2 MeV electron flux at geosynchronous orbit
reached high levels during the period.
IIB. Geophysical Activity Forecast: The geomagnetic field is
expected to be mostly unsettled to active for the next 3 days (21-23
July), with an isolated minor storm possible at high latitudes. This
activity is forecast as the result of high speed stream effects from
a currently geoeffective coronal hole.
III. Event Probabilities 21 Jul-23 Jul
Class M 01/01/01
Class X 01/01/01
Proton 01/01/01
PCAF green
IV. Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
Observed 20 Jul 100
Predicted 21 Jul-23 Jul 100/100/100
90 Day Mean 20 Jul 097
V. Geomagnetic A Indices
Observed Afr/Ap 19 Jul 010/018
Estimated Afr/Ap 20 Jul 016/018
Predicted Afr/Ap 21 Jul-23 Jul 018/015-014/012-007/008
VI. Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 21 Jul-23 Jul
A. Middle Latitudes
Active 40/40/30
Minor storm 30/30/10
Major-severe storm 01/01/01
B. High Latitudes
Active 50/50/40
Minor storm 40/40/20
Major-severe storm 10/05/01
Thank you for using the Product Subscription Service. If you would like
to remove a product subscription or update the personal information in
your account, go to: https://pss.swpc.noaa.gov. Please do not use the from
address for correspondence, as it is not monitored. For comments or help,
please contact us: pss.help@noaa.gov.
----boundary_471462_df2640a4-a970-4ee5-aedd-cf48f96bce12
Content-Type: text/html
Content-Transfer-Encoding: base64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----boundary_471462_df2640a4-a970-4ee5-aedd-cf48f96bce12--
Read previous mail | Read next mail
| |
