| |
OK0NAG > SOLAR 18.07.11 23:12l 259 Lines 8636 Bytes #999 (0) @ EU
BID : I7LOK0NAG00Q
Read: GUEST
Subj: Report of Solar Geophysical Activity (RSGA)
Path: IZ3LSV<IK6ZDE<OK0NAG
Sent: 110718/2204z @:OK0NAG.#BOH.CZE.EU [TCP/IP BBS Praha Strahov] bcm2.01e-zia
X-Info: Prijato od 127.0.0.1 za pomoci SMTP gatewaye
X-barracuda-connect: sunkl.asu.cas.cz[147.231.106.1]
X-barracuda-apparent-source-ip: 147.231.106.1
Date: 18 Jul 2011 22:03:51 +0000
X-barracuda-spam-score: 1.34
X-asg-debug-id: 1311025999-03b348676d9e140001-dKRjYV
To: solar@eu
X-originalarrivaltime: 18 Jul 2011 22:03:51.0498 (UTC) FILETIME=[93DBFAA0:01CC4596]
From: ok0nag <ok0nag>
X-barracuda-bbl-ip: nil
X-barracuda-spam-status: No, SCORE=1.34 using global scores of TAG_LEVEL=1000.0 QUARANTINE_LEVEL=1000.0 KILL_LEVEL=9.0 tests=HTML_MESSAGE, MIME_BASE64_TEXT, MIME_QP_LONG_LINE
X-spam-flag: NO
X-spam-score: -0.259
X-barracuda-envelope-from: solar@sunkl.asu.cas.cz
X-barracuda-spam-report: Code version 3.2, rules version 3.2.2.69313Rule breakdown below pts rule name description---- ---------------------- --------------------------------------------------0.00 HTML_MESSAGE BODY: HTML included in message0.52 MIME_BASE64_TEXT RAW: Mes
sage text disguised using base64 encoding0.82 MIME_QP_LONG_LINE RAW: Quoted-printable line longer than 76 chars
X-barracuda-url: http://147.231.105.98:8000/cgi-mod/mark.cgi
Subject: Report of Solar Geophysical Activity (RSGA)
X-asg-orig-subj: Report of Solar Geophysical Activity (RSGA)
X-barracuda-start-time: 1311025999
----boundary_429448_79de5f5e-258a-4964-b510-d030bfaa8899
Content-Type: text/plain; charset=us-ascii
Content-Transfer-Encoding: quoted-printable
:Product: Report of Solar-Geophysical Activity
:Issued: 2011 Jul 18 2200 UTC
# Prepared jointly by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA,
# Space Weather Prediction Center and the U.S. Air Force.
#
Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity
SDF Number 199 Issued at 2200Z on 18 Jul 2011
IA. Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 17/2100Z
to 18/2100Z: Solar activity has been at low levels for the past 24
hours. Region 1254 (S22E11) produced the largest event of the
period, a C1/Sf flare at 18/1028Z. Two new regions were numbered
today: Region 1258 (N11W37) emerged on the disk and is magnetically
classified as a beta and Region 1259 (N26E69) rotated on the disk as
a Dao-beta group. Early in the period, two CME's were observed in
LASCO C2 and C3 imagery but neither appear to be Earth directed.
IB. Solar Activity Forecast: Solar activity is expected to be at
very low to low levels for the next two days (19-20 July). Activity
is expected to decrease to very low levels on day three (21 July) as
Region 1257 (N20W69) rotates off the west limb.
IIA. Geophysical Activity Summary 17/2100Z to 18/2100Z:
The geomagnetic field was at quiet to unsettled levels for the past
24 hours. Measurements by the ACE spacecraft indicated a solar
sector boundary crossing (from positive to negative) at around
18/0230Z. Following the crossing, coronal hole high-speed stream
characteristics were monitored, with solar wind speeds increasing
from 370 km/s to around 460 km/s.
IIB. Geophysical Activity Forecast: The geomagnetic field is
expected to be at quiet to unsettled levels on day one (19 July),
and at quiet to active levels on days two and three (20-21 July), as
another coronal hole high-speed stream becomes geoeffective.
III. Event Probabilities 19 Jul-21 Jul
Class M 10/10/10
Class X 01/01/01
Proton 01/01/01
PCAF green
IV. Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
Observed 18 Jul 102
Predicted 19 Jul-21 Jul 102/100/096
90 Day Mean 18 Jul 097
V. Geomagnetic A Indices
Observed Afr/Ap 17 Jul 003/005
Estimated Afr/Ap 18 Jul 006/008
Predicted Afr/Ap 19 Jul-21 Jul 010/010-012/012-012/012
VI. Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 19 Jul-21 Jul
A. Middle Latitudes
Active 25/30/30
Minor storm 01/05/05
Major-severe storm 01/01/01
B. High Latitudes
Active 30/35/35
Minor storm 01/10/10
Major-severe storm 01/01/01
Thank you for using the Product Subscription Service. If you would like
to remove a product subscription or update the personal information in
your account, go to: https://pss.swpc.noaa.gov. Please do not use the from
address for correspondence, as it is not monitored. For comments or help,
please contact us: pss.help@noaa.gov.
----boundary_429448_79de5f5e-258a-4964-b510-d030bfaa8899
Content-Type: text/html
Content-Transfer-Encoding: base64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----boundary_429448_79de5f5e-258a-4964-b510-d030bfaa8899--
Read previous mail | Read next mail
| |
