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OK0NAG > SOLAR 10.07.11 14:50l 119 Lines 4429 Bytes #999 (0) @ EU
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Subject: GEOALERT SIDC
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:Issued: 2011 Jul 10 1245 UTC
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#--------------------------------------------------------------------#
# GEOALERT message from the SIDC (RWC-Belgium) #
#--------------------------------------------------------------------#
GEOALERT BRU191
UGEOA 30512 10710 1218/ 9930/
11102 20102 30102
99999
PLAIN
NOTE: the above forecasts are valid from 1230UT, 10 Jul 2011 until 12 Jul
2011
PREDICTIONS FOR 10 Jul 2011 10CM FLUX: 086 / AP: 013
PREDICTIONS FOR 11 Jul 2011 10CM FLUX: 088 / AP: 008
PREDICTIONS FOR 12 Jul 2011 10CM FLUX: 090 / AP: 002
COMMENT: A C-class flare is still probable to occur on the Sun,
especially in the Catania sunspot group 25 (NOAA AR 1247), and in the
unnumbered active region close to the south-east limb that emerged last
night. An interplanetary sector boundary was crossed by ACE early
yesterday. It was followed by a fast solar wind stream from a
low-latitude coronal hole in the northern hemisphere. Due to the small
size of the coronal hole, the solar wind speed reached only 540 km/s.
NOAA reported three intervals of active (K = 4) geomagnetic conditions
due to the arrival of the fast stream and its interaction region with
the preceding slow solar wind. However, the K index at both Dourbes and
IZMIRAN reached only 3. Currently the Earth is inside a solar wind flow
with an intermediate speed (around 500 km/s) and a slightly elevated
(around 7 nT) interplanetary magnetic field magnitude. We expect quiet
geomagnetic conditions, with active conditions possible, but unlikely.
TODAY'S ESTIMATED ISN : 039, BASED ON 08 STATIONS.
99999
UGEOI 30512 10710 1218/ 09///
1//// 20860 3014/ 4//// 8//// 9////
99999
NOTICEABLE EVENTS SUMMARY
DAY BEGIN MAX END LOC XRAY OP 10CM RADIO BURST TYPES Catania
NOAA NOTE
NONE
END
UGEOR 30512 10710 1218/ 08/07 10105
10019 2//// 3//// 4311/ 50030 60006 46318 00000
10023 2//// 3//// 4321/ 50030 60004 15315 01000
10024 2//// 3//// 4201/ 50020 60006 43716 00000
10025 2//// 3//// 4311/ 50040 60007 21918 04000
10026 2//// 3//// 410// 50010 60001 16020 00000
99999
USSPS 32404 09057 03832 17003 14214 21302 18003 20818 21405 20000
45115 0/101
USSPS 21305 09158 04142 24002 13617 1/801 28001 23016 0/102 25004
20319 01208
USSPS 32404 10050 04732 17002 12915 21402 18005 30418 24412 21001
22216 11303
UMAGF 30503 10710 1004/ 09060 1/021 21213 32334
UMAGF 31523 10709 ///// 0800/ 1/008 21122 32323
UMAGF 31523 10710 ///// 0900/ 1/014 22423 32333
#--------------------------------------------------------------------#
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# Royal Observatory of Belgium #
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