| |
OK0NAG > SOLAR 24.06.11 00:02l 260 Lines 8548 Bytes #999 (0) @ EU
BID : N6LOK0NAG00P
Read: GUEST
Subj: Report of Solar Geophysical Activity (RSGA)
Path: IZ3LSV<IK2XDE<IK6ZDE<OK0NAG
Sent: 110623/2201z @:OK0NAG.#BOH.CZE.EU [TCP/IP BBS Praha Strahov] bcm2.01e-zia
X-Info: Prijato od 127.0.0.1 za pomoci SMTP gatewaye
X-barracuda-connect: sunkl.asu.cas.cz[147.231.106.1]
X-barracuda-apparent-source-ip: 147.231.106.1
Date: 23 Jun 2011 22:00:54 +0000
X-barracuda-spam-score: 1.34
X-asg-debug-id: 1308865981-03b34826e03f810001-dKRjYV
To: solar@eu
X-originalarrivaltime: 23 Jun 2011 22:00:49.0266 (UTC) FILETIME=[02E9D520:01CC31F1]
From: ok0nag <ok0nag>
X-barracuda-bbl-ip: nil
X-barracuda-spam-status: No, SCORE=1.34 using global scores of TAG_LEVEL=1000.0 QUARANTINE_LEVEL=1000.0 KILL_LEVEL=9.0 tests=HTML_MESSAGE, MIME_BASE64_TEXT, MIME_QP_LONG_LINE
X-spam-flag: NO
X-spam-score: -0.273
X-barracuda-envelope-from: solar@sunkl.asu.cas.cz
X-barracuda-spam-report: Code version 3.2, rules version 3.2.2.66928Rule breakdown below pts rule name description---- ---------------------- --------------------------------------------------0.00 HTML_MESSAGE BODY: HTML included in message0.52 MIME_BASE64_TEXT RAW: Mes
sage text disguised using base64 encoding0.82 MIME_QP_LONG_LINE RAW: Quoted-printable line longer than 76 chars
X-barracuda-url: http://147.231.105.98:8000/cgi-mod/mark.cgi
Subject: Report of Solar Geophysical Activity (RSGA)
X-asg-orig-subj: Report of Solar Geophysical Activity (RSGA)
X-barracuda-start-time: 1308865981
----boundary_25268_ce666516-d658-411d-80bd-d4eead645bfe
Content-Type: text/plain; charset=us-ascii
Content-Transfer-Encoding: quoted-printable
:Product: Report of Solar-Geophysical Activity
:Issued: 2011 Jun 23 2200 UTC
# Prepared jointly by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA,
# Space Weather Prediction Center and the U.S. Air Force.
#
Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity
SDF Number 174 Issued at 2200Z on 23 Jun 2011
IA. Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 22/2100Z
to 23/2100Z: Solar activity was very low. There were three B class
flares in the past 24 hours. Region 1240 (S18E02) produced a B2 at
0213Z and appeared to be slowly growing. Region 1236 (N16W46) was
unchanged but produced a B5 at 1240Z and a B4 at 1407Z. Region 1239
(N16W27) was slowly decaying.
IB. Solar Activity Forecast: Solar activity is expected to be very
low with a chance for an isolated C-class flare.
IIA. Geophysical Activity Summary 22/2100Z to 23/2100Z:
The geomagnetic field has been unsettled to active for the past 24
hours. ACE solar wind data showed elevated velocities around 600 to
700 km/s consistent with a high speed stream from a favorably
positioned coronal hole. A sudden impulse was observed at 0258Z and
measured 22 nT at the Boulder magnetometer. The greater than 2 MeV
electron flux at geosynchronous orbit reached high levels during the
period.
IIB. Geophysical Activity Forecast: The geomagnetic field is
expected to be active with a chance for minor storm periods at
mid-latitudes and isolated major storm periods at high latitudes for
tomorrow (24 June). This activity is expected as a response to the
arrival of the halo CME observed on 21 June. Conditions are
expected to decrease to unsettled to active levels for the second
day (25 June), and quiet to unsettled levels for the third day (26
June).
III. Event Probabilities 24 Jun-26 Jun
Class M 01/01/01
Class X 01/01/01
Proton 01/01/01
PCAF Green
IV. Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
Observed 23 Jun 096
Predicted 24 Jun-26 Jun 095/095/090
90 Day Mean 23 Jun 103
V. Geomagnetic A Indices
Observed Afr/Ap 22 Jun 007/012
Estimated Afr/Ap 23 Jun 018/025
Predicted Afr/Ap 24 Jun-26 Jun 025/030-012/018-007/012
VI. Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 24 Jun-26 Jun
A. Middle Latitudes
Active 30/15/05
Minor storm 30/10/01
Major-severe storm 20/05/01
B. High Latitudes
Active 25/20/05
Minor storm 35/15/01
Major-severe storm 30/10/01
Thank you for using the Product Subscription Service. If you would like
to remove a product subscription or update the personal information in
your account, go to: https://pss.swpc.noaa.gov. Please do not use the from
address for correspondence, as it is not monitored. For comments or help,
please contact us: pss.help@noaa.gov.
----boundary_25268_ce666516-d658-411d-80bd-d4eead645bfe
Content-Type: text/html
Content-Transfer-Encoding: base64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----boundary_25268_ce666516-d658-411d-80bd-d4eead645bfe--
Read previous mail | Read next mail
| |
