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OK0NAG > SOLAR 17.06.11 13:11l 107 Lines 4066 Bytes #999 (0) @ EU
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Subject: GEOALERT SIDC
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:Issued: 2011 Jun 17 1207 UTC
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#--------------------------------------------------------------------#
# GEOALERT message from the SIDC (RWC-Belgium) #
#--------------------------------------------------------------------#
GEOALERT BRU168
UGEOA 30512 10617 1128/ 9930/
11172 20172 30172
99999
PLAIN
NOTE: the above forecasts are valid from 1230UT, 17 Jun 2011 until 19 Jun
2011
PREDICTIONS FOR 17 Jun 2011 10CM FLUX: 103 / AP: 005
PREDICTIONS FOR 18 Jun 2011 10CM FLUX: 103 / AP: 004
PREDICTIONS FOR 19 Jun 2011 10CM FLUX: 103 / AP: 006
COMMENT: Solar activity is low. Only minor B flares occurred over the
last 24 hours. Still, the 3 active regions now on the solar disk can
still produce occasional C flares, with a minor chance of a stronger M
flare from active region NOAA 11236. The May 14 CME hit the Earth around
2:40UT on June 17. However, only the shock was briefly felt by the
magnetosphere and the solar wind speed quickly decreased from a peak of
550km/s back to 450km/s in just 6 hours. This caused only temporary
unsettled geomagnetic conditions during a few hours. The Earth
magnetosphere is now mostly quiet and is expected to remain so until
June 19, when a small coronal hole may start to disturb it slightly.
TODAY'S ESTIMATED ISN : 040, BASED ON 12 STATIONS.
99999
UGEOI 30512 10617 1128/ 16///
10070 21031 3007/ 4//// 80103 90470
99999
NOTICEABLE EVENTS SUMMARY
DAY BEGIN MAX END LOC XRAY OP 10CM RADIO BURST TYPES Catania
NOAA NOTE
NONE
END
UGEOR 30512 10617 1128/ 17/06 17102
10007 2//// 3//// 4422/ 50110 60022 33815 03000
10010 2//// 3//// 4522/ 50280 60026 14018 04100
99999
USSPS 32404 16063 05522 03004 32416 24421 06024 15816 21514
USSPS 21305 16165 06732 11008 33016 34429 13039 14717 41518
USSPS 32404 17048 05032 03010 33716 24416 06020 14317 21414
USSPS 81202 17015 05012 00540 14716 41416 02302 33415 21414
USSPS 31405 17063 06842 07011 33815 24422 10028 14018 24526
UMAGF 30503 10616 1004/ 15064 1/011 22222 31211
UMAGF 30503 10617 1004/ 16060 1/015 21223 31033
UMAGF 31523 10617 ///// 1600/ 1/007 21212 32410
#--------------------------------------------------------------------#
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# Royal Observatory of Belgium #
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