| |
OK0NAG > SOLAR 31.05.11 23:04l 269 Lines 8885 Bytes #999 (0) @ EU
BID : V5LOK0NAG00Z
Read: GUEST
Subj: Report of Solar Geophysical Activity (RSGA)
Path: IZ3LSV<DB0ERF<OK0NHD<OK0PHL<OK0PCC<OM0PBC<OK0PPL<OK0NAG
Sent: 110531/2202z @:OK0NAG.#BOH.CZE.EU [TCP/IP BBS Praha Strahov] bcm2.01e-zia
X-Info: Prijato od 127.0.0.1 za pomoci SMTP gatewaye
X-barracuda-connect: sunkl.asu.cas.cz[147.231.106.1]
X-barracuda-apparent-source-ip: 147.231.106.1
Date: 31 May 2011 22:02:38 +0000
X-barracuda-spam-score: 1.34
X-asg-debug-id: 1306878899-03b3480a1aae810001-dKRjYV
To: solar@eu
X-originalarrivaltime: 31 May 2011 22:06:50.0203 (UTC) FILETIME=[0A8C32B0:01CC1FDF]
From: ok0nag <ok0nag>
X-barracuda-bbl-ip: nil
X-barracuda-spam-status: No, SCORE=1.34 using global scores of TAG_LEVEL=1000.0 QUARANTINE_LEVEL=1000.0 KILL_LEVEL=9.0 tests=HTML_MESSAGE, MIME_BASE64_TEXT, MIME_QP_LONG_LINE
X-spam-flag: NO
X-spam-score: -0.289
X-barracuda-envelope-from: solar@sunkl.asu.cas.cz
X-barracuda-spam-report: Code version 3.2, rules version 3.2.2.65236Rule breakdown below pts rule name description---- ---------------------- --------------------------------------------------0.00 HTML_MESSAGE BODY: HTML included in message0.52 MIME_BASE64_TEXT RAW: Mes
sage text disguised using base64 encoding0.82 MIME_QP_LONG_LINE RAW: Quoted-printable line longer than 76 chars
X-barracuda-url: http://147.231.105.98:8000/cgi-mod/mark.cgi
Subject: Report of Solar Geophysical Activity (RSGA)
X-asg-orig-subj: Report of Solar Geophysical Activity (RSGA)
X-barracuda-start-time: 1306878899
----boundary_714564_9d0402c0-617a-4214-a297-750a7eabe2d5
Content-Type: text/plain; charset=us-ascii
Content-Transfer-Encoding: quoted-printable
:Product: Report of Solar-Geophysical Activity
:Issued: 2011 May 31 2200 UTC
# Prepared jointly by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA,
# Space Weather Prediction Center and the U.S. Air Force.
#
Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity
SDF Number 151 Issued at 2200Z on 31 May 2011
IA. Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 30/2100Z
to 31/2100Z: Solar activity has been low. Region 1226 (S22E27) and
Region 1227 (S18E39) each produced C1 x-ray events in the past 24
hours. Region 1226 was classified as a Dhc group with Beta magnetic
characteristics while Region 1227 was a Dsi group with more complex
Beta-Gamma characteristics. Region 1228 (N17E50) rapidly evolved
into a Cso type group as new trailing spots emerged. New Region
1230 (N19E58) was numbered today. This new region, and the remainng
regions, were generally quiescent, small and magnetically simple.
IB. Solar Activity Forecast: Solar activity is expected to be low,
with a slight chance for M-class events for the next three days (1 -
3 Jun).
IIA. Geophysical Activity Summary 30/2100Z to 31/2100Z:
The geomagnetic field ranged from quiet to active levels over the
past 24 hours. Heliospheric imagery from STEREO-B suggests the
increased activity was the result of a transient, weak CME. The
greater than 2 MeV electron flux at geosynchronous orbit reached
high levels during the period.
IIB. Geophysical Activity Forecast: The geomagnetic field is
expected to be unsettled to active on day 1 (01 Jun) , quiet to
unsettled on day 2 (02 Jun), and unsettled to active on day 3 (03
Jun). ENLIL model output indicates the passage of the 29 May CME
early on day 1. A brief return to generally quiet conditions on day
2 is followed by disturbed conditions on day 3 as a recurrent
coronal hole high speed stream begins to influence the
magnetosphere.
III. Event Probabilities 01 Jun-03 Jun
Class M 20/20/20
Class X 01/01/01
Proton 01/01/01
PCAF green
IV. Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
Observed 31 May 112
Predicted 01 Jun-03 Jun 115/115/110
90 Day Mean 31 May 108
V. Geomagnetic A Indices
Observed Afr/Ap 30 May 007/009
Estimated Afr/Ap 31 May 010/012
Predicted Afr/Ap 01 Jun-03 Jun 010/010-007/008-010/010
VI. Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 01 Jun-03 Jun
A. Middle Latitudes
Active 20/10/20
Minor storm 10/05/10
Major-severe storm 05/01/05
B. High Latitudes
Active 20/15/20
Minor storm 25/10/20
Major-severe storm 10/05/15
Thank you for using the Product Subscription Service. If you would like
to remove a product subscription or update the personal information in
your account, go to: https://pss.swpc.noaa.gov. Please do not use the from
address for correspondence, as it is not monitored. For comments or help,
please contact us: pss.help@noaa.gov.
----boundary_714564_9d0402c0-617a-4214-a297-750a7eabe2d5
Content-Type: text/html
Content-Transfer-Encoding: base64
PCFET0NUWVBFIEhUTUwgUFVCTElDICItLy9XM0MvL0RURCBIVE1MIDQuMCBUcmFuc2l0aW9u
YWwvL0VOIj48SFRNTD48SEVBRD48TUVUQSBodHRwLWVxdWl2PUNvbnRlbnQtVHlwZSBjb250
ZW50PSJ0ZXh0L2h0bWw7IGNoYXJzZXQ9aXNvLTg4NTktMSI+PC9IRUFEPjxCT0RZPjxQUkU+
OlByb2R1Y3Q6IFJlcG9ydCBvZiBTb2xhci1HZW9waHlzaWNhbCBBY3Rpdml0eQ0KOklzc3Vl
ZDogMjAxMSBNYXkgMzEgMjIwMCBVVEMNCiMgUHJlcGFyZWQgam9pbnRseSBieSB0aGUgVS5T
LiBEZXB0LiBvZiBDb21tZXJjZSwgTk9BQSwNCiMgU3BhY2UgV2VhdGhlciBQcmVkaWN0aW9u
IENlbnRlciBhbmQgdGhlIFUuUy4gQWlyIEZvcmNlLg0KIw0KSm9pbnQgVVNBRi9OT0FBIFJl
cG9ydCBvZiBTb2xhciBhbmQgR2VvcGh5c2ljYWwgQWN0aXZpdHkNClNERiBOdW1iZXIgMTUx
IElzc3VlZCBhdCAyMjAwWiBvbiAzMSBNYXkgMjAxMQ0KSUEuICBBbmFseXNpcyBvZiBTb2xh
ciBBY3RpdmUgUmVnaW9ucyBhbmQgQWN0aXZpdHkgZnJvbSAgMzAvMjEwMFoNCnRvIDMxLzIx
MDBaOiAgU29sYXIgYWN0aXZpdHkgaGFzIGJlZW4gbG93LiAgUmVnaW9uIDEyMjYgKFMyMkUy
NykgYW5kDQpSZWdpb24gMTIyNyAoUzE4RTM5KSBlYWNoIHByb2R1Y2VkIEMxIHgtcmF5IGV2
ZW50cyBpbiB0aGUgcGFzdCAyNA0KaG91cnMuICBSZWdpb24gMTIyNiB3YXMgY2xhc3NpZmll
ZCBhcyBhIERoYyBncm91cCB3aXRoIEJldGEgbWFnbmV0aWMNCmNoYXJhY3RlcmlzdGljcyB3
aGlsZSBSZWdpb24gMTIyNyB3YXMgYSBEc2kgZ3JvdXAgd2l0aCBtb3JlIGNvbXBsZXgNCkJl
dGEtR2FtbWEgY2hhcmFjdGVyaXN0aWNzLiAgUmVnaW9uIDEyMjggKE4xN0U1MCkgcmFwaWRs
eSBldm9sdmVkDQppbnRvIGEgQ3NvIHR5cGUgZ3JvdXAgYXMgbmV3IHRyYWlsaW5nIHNwb3Rz
IGVtZXJnZWQuICBOZXcgUmVnaW9uDQoxMjMwIChOMTlFNTgpIHdhcyBudW1iZXJlZCB0b2Rh
eS4gIFRoaXMgbmV3IHJlZ2lvbiwgYW5kIHRoZSByZW1haW5uZw0KcmVnaW9ucywgd2VyZSBn
ZW5lcmFsbHkgcXVpZXNjZW50LCBzbWFsbCBhbmQgbWFnbmV0aWNhbGx5IHNpbXBsZS4NCklC
LiAgU29sYXIgQWN0aXZpdHkgRm9yZWNhc3Q6ICBTb2xhciBhY3Rpdml0eSBpcyBleHBlY3Rl
ZCB0byBiZSBsb3csDQp3aXRoIGEgc2xpZ2h0IGNoYW5jZSBmb3IgTS1jbGFzcyBldmVudHMg
Zm9yIHRoZSBuZXh0IHRocmVlIGRheXMgKDEgLQ0KMyBKdW4pLg0KSUlBLiAgR2VvcGh5c2lj
YWwgQWN0aXZpdHkgU3VtbWFyeSAzMC8yMTAwWiB0byAzMS8yMTAwWjoNClRoZSBnZW9tYWdu
ZXRpYyBmaWVsZCByYW5nZWQgZnJvbSBxdWlldCB0byBhY3RpdmUgbGV2ZWxzIG92ZXIgdGhl
DQpwYXN0IDI0IGhvdXJzLiAgIEhlbGlvc3BoZXJpYyBpbWFnZXJ5IGZyb20gU1RFUkVPLUIg
c3VnZ2VzdHMgdGhlDQppbmNyZWFzZWQgYWN0aXZpdHkgd2FzIHRoZSByZXN1bHQgb2YgYSB0
cmFuc2llbnQsIHdlYWsgQ01FLiBUaGUNCmdyZWF0ZXIgdGhhbiAyIE1lViBlbGVjdHJvbiBm
bHV4IGF0IGdlb3N5bmNocm9ub3VzIG9yYml0IHJlYWNoZWQNCmhpZ2ggbGV2ZWxzIGR1cmlu
ZyB0aGUgcGVyaW9kLg0KSUlCLiAgR2VvcGh5c2ljYWwgQWN0aXZpdHkgRm9yZWNhc3Q6ICBU
aGUgZ2VvbWFnbmV0aWMgZmllbGQgaXMNCmV4cGVjdGVkIHRvIGJlIHVuc2V0dGxlZCB0byBh
Y3RpdmUgb24gZGF5IDEgKDAxIEp1bikgLCBxdWlldCB0bw0KdW5zZXR0bGVkIG9uIGRheSAy
ICgwMiBKdW4pLCBhbmQgdW5zZXR0bGVkIHRvIGFjdGl2ZSBvbiBkYXkgMyAoMDMNCkp1biku
ICBFTkxJTCBtb2RlbCBvdXRwdXQgaW5kaWNhdGVzIHRoZSBwYXNzYWdlIG9mIHRoZSAyOSBN
YXkgQ01FDQplYXJseSBvbiBkYXkgMS4gIEEgYnJpZWYgcmV0dXJuIHRvIGdlbmVyYWxseSBx
dWlldCBjb25kaXRpb25zIG9uIGRheQ0KMiBpcyBmb2xsb3dlZCBieSBkaXN0dXJiZWQgY29u
ZGl0aW9ucyBvbiBkYXkgMyBhcyBhIHJlY3VycmVudA0KY29yb25hbCBob2xlIGhpZ2ggc3Bl
ZWQgc3RyZWFtIGJlZ2lucyB0byBpbmZsdWVuY2UgdGhlDQptYWduZXRvc3BoZXJlLg0KSUlJ
LiAgRXZlbnQgUHJvYmFiaWxpdGllcyAwMSBKdW4tMDMgSnVuDQpDbGFzcyBNICAgIDIwLzIw
LzIwDQpDbGFzcyBYICAgIDAxLzAxLzAxDQpQcm90b24gICAgIDAxLzAxLzAxDQpQQ0FGICAg
ICAgIGdyZWVuDQpJVi4gIFBlbnRpY3RvbiAxMC43IGNtIEZsdXgNCk9ic2VydmVkICAgICAg
ICAgICAzMSBNYXkgMTEyDQpQcmVkaWN0ZWQgICAwMSBKdW4tMDMgSnVuICAxMTUvMTE1LzEx
MA0KOTAgRGF5IE1lYW4gICAgICAgIDMxIE1heSAxMDgNClYuICBHZW9tYWduZXRpYyBBIElu
ZGljZXMNCk9ic2VydmVkIEFmci9BcCAzMCBNYXkgIDAwNy8wMDkNCkVzdGltYXRlZCBBZnIv
QXAgMzEgTWF5ICAwMTAvMDEyDQpQcmVkaWN0ZWQgQWZyL0FwIDAxIEp1bi0wMyBKdW4gIDAx
MC8wMTAtMDA3LzAwOC0wMTAvMDEwDQpWSS4gIEdlb21hZ25ldGljIEFjdGl2aXR5IFByb2Jh
YmlsaXRpZXMgMDEgSnVuLTAzIEp1bg0KQS4gIE1pZGRsZSBMYXRpdHVkZXMNCkFjdGl2ZSAg
ICAgICAgICAgICAgICAyMC8xMC8yMA0KTWlub3Igc3Rvcm0gICAgICAgICAgIDEwLzA1LzEw
DQpNYWpvci1zZXZlcmUgc3Rvcm0gICAgMDUvMDEvMDUNCkIuICBIaWdoIExhdGl0dWRlcw0K
QWN0aXZlICAgICAgICAgICAgICAgIDIwLzE1LzIwDQpNaW5vciBzdG9ybSAgICAgICAgICAg
MjUvMTAvMjANCk1ham9yLXNldmVyZSBzdG9ybSAgICAxMC8wNS8xNQ0KPC9QUkU+PEJSPjxI
Uj5UaGFuayB5b3UgZm9yIHVzaW5nIHRoZSBQcm9kdWN0IFN1YnNjcmlwdGlvbiBTZXJ2aWNl
LiBJZiB5b3Ugd291bGQgbGlrZSB0byByZW1vdmUgYSBwcm9kdWN0IHN1YnNjcmlwdGlvbiBv
ciB1cGRhdGUgdGhlIHBlcnNvbmFsIGluZm9ybWF0aW9uIGluIHlvdXIgYWNjb3VudCwgZ28g
dG8gdGhlIDxhIGhyZWY9Imh0dHBzOi8vcHNzLnN3cGMubm9hYS5nb3YiPlByb2R1Y3QgU3Vi
c2NyaXB0aW9uIFNpdGUuPC9hPiBQbGVhc2UgZG8gbm90IHVzZSB0aGUgZnJvbSBhZGRyZXNz
IGZvciBjb3JyZXNwb25kZW5jZSwgYXMgaXQgaXMgbm90IG1vbml0b3JlZC4gRm9yIGNvbW1l
bnRzIG9yIGhlbHAsIHBsZWFzZSBjb250YWN0IDxhIGhyZWY9Im1haWx0bzpwc3MuaGVscEBu
b2FhLmdvdiI+U1dQQyBIZWxwLjwvYT48L0JPRFk+PC9IVE1MPg=----boundary_714564_9d0402c0-617a-4214-a297-750a7eabe2d5--
Read previous mail | Read next mail
| |
