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OK0NAG > SOLAR 28.05.11 12:35l 116 Lines 4387 Bytes #999 (0) @ EU
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Date: Sat, 28 May 2011 11:32:23 GMT
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Subject: GEOALERT SIDC
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:Issued: 2011 May 28 1131 UTC
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#--------------------------------------------------------------------#
# GEOALERT message from the SIDC (RWC-Belgium) #
#--------------------------------------------------------------------#
GEOALERT BRU148
UGEOA 30512 10528 1115/ 9930/
11282 21282 30282
99999
PLAIN
NOTE: the above forecasts are valid from 1230UT, 28 May 2011 until 30 May
2011
PREDICTIONS FOR 28 May 2011 10CM FLUX: 090 / AP: 035
PREDICTIONS FOR 29 May 2011 10CM FLUX: 093 / AP: 013
PREDICTIONS FOR 30 May 2011 10CM FLUX: 096 / AP: 007
COMMENT: Solar activity picked up significantly now NOAA AR 1225 and
1226 are turning over the east limb of the Sun. This last region was
responsible for 5 C-class flares yesterday and produced 8 more C-class
flares today. The strongest of these was a a C8.3 flare peaking at 03h15
this morning. A CME was detected by STEREO A and B yesterday around
18h09, possibly linked to the C5.6 flare from AR 1226. We expect more
C-class flares, also an M flare is possible.
We are currently experiencing a geomagnetic storm with local Dourbes
and planetary K indices reaching up to 5 and 6 respectively. These
geomagnetic storm conditions are caused by the arrival of a high wind
stream from a recurrent coronal hole and possibly also the arrival of a
CME that occurred on May 25th. The solar wind speed is ~500 km/s and the
southward component of the magnetic field reached a value of -10 nT. In
the coming hours more active periods are expected.
TODAY'S ESTIMATED ISN : 050, BASED ON 10 STATIONS.
99999
UGEOI 30512 10528 1115/ 27///
10074 20900 3014/ 4//// 80104 90200
99999
NOTICEABLE EVENTS SUMMARY
DAY BEGIN MAX END LOC XRAY OP 10CM RADIO BURST TYPES Catania
NOAA NOTE
NONE
END
UGEOR 30512 10528 1115/ 27/07 28104
10089 2//// 3//// 472// 50020 60001 36614 00000
10093 2//// 3//// 4321/ 50080 60017 21013 04000
10094 2//// 3//// 472// 50020 60001 16717 15000
10095 2//// 3//// 4422/ 50080 60015 40423 15000
99999
USSPS 32404 27068 05632 85002 36815 2/801 91006 21016 21408 92003
40521 21406 93002 16417 1/801
USSPS 21305 27145 06442 92003 37317 2/801 02004 40921 31407 00003
20616 01204 01002 16119 2/801 03002 28018 0/101
USSPS 81202 28025 07112 90007 15618 2/801 92021 27919 31405 89002
20116 01204 82006 37817 2/801 91015 41520 31410
UMAGF 30503 10528 1004/ 27063 1/029 22233 33443
UMAGF 31523 10528 ///// 2700/ 1/014 22222 33434
#--------------------------------------------------------------------#
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# Royal Observatory of Belgium #
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