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OK0NAG > SOLAR 25.05.11 13:29l 117 Lines 4179 Bytes #999 (0) @ EU
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Date: Wed, 25 May 2011 12:27:26 GMT
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Subject: GEOALERT SIDC
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:Issued: 2011 May 25 1226 UTC
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#--------------------------------------------------------------------#
# GEOALERT message from the SIDC (RWC-Belgium) #
#--------------------------------------------------------------------#
GEOALERT BRU145
UGEOA 30512 10525 1209/ 9930/
10252 20252 30252
99999
PLAIN
NOTE: the above forecasts are valid from 1230UT, 25 May 2011 until 27 May
2011
PREDICTIONS FOR 25 May 2011 10CM FLUX: 082 / AP: 003
PREDICTIONS FOR 26 May 2011 10CM FLUX: 082 / AP: 001
PREDICTIONS FOR 27 May 2011 10CM FLUX: 082 / AP: 013
COMMENT: During the past 24h, 2 long duration B flares were observed.
The first one, a B2.1 flare peaking yesterday at 22h44, was associated
with a CME observed by SOHO/LASCO, starting around 22h12. The active
region of origin was NOAA AR 1220, which already turned over the west
limb. The second B flare (B1.9) peaked at 04h39 and originated from NOAA
AR 1218 (Cat 92) on the center of the disk. No clear CME was observed by
STEREO. The background X-ray flux has decreased to A level. The chance
for C-flares remains low.
The solar wind speed remains low at an average of ~380 km/s. A
recurrent coronal hole is crossing the central meridian. We expect the
corresponding fast wind to arrive on May 27. During the last rotation,
this coronal hole caused unsettled to active periods. We expect quiet
geomagnetic conditions for the first 2 days and possible unsettled to
active conditions on day 3.
TODAY'S ESTIMATED ISN : 016, BASED ON 14 STATIONS.
99999
UGEOI 30512 10525 1209/ 24///
1//// 20820 3010/ 4//// 8//// 9////
99999
NOTICEABLE EVENTS SUMMARY
DAY BEGIN MAX END LOC XRAY OP 10CM RADIO BURST TYPES Catania
NOAA NOTE
NONE
END
UGEOR 30512 10525 1209/ 25/06 25103
10089 2//// 3//// 472// 50040 60002 34014 00000
10091 2//// 3//// 410// 50010 60002 41219 00000
10092 2//// 3//// 410// 50010 60001 30811 00000
99999
USSPS 32404 24081 01122 85006 32915 2/801
USSPS 21305 24147 01132 92002 33218 2/801
USSPS 81202 25025 01122 82005 33915 2/801
USSPS 31405 25063 03542 89004 34014 2/902 91001 41219 0/102 92001
30811 0/101
UMAGF 30503 10525 1004/ 24064 1/011 21222 31212
UMAGF 31523 10525 ///// 2400/ 1/010 23212 33322
#--------------------------------------------------------------------#
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