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OK0NAG > SOLAR    23.05.11 23:03l 203 Lines 6610 Bytes #999 (0) @ EU
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Subj: Report of Solar Geophysical Activity (RSGA)
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Subject: Report of Solar Geophysical Activity (RSGA)
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:Product: Report of Solar-Geophysical Activity

:Issued: 2011 May 23 2200 UTC

# Prepared jointly by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA,

# Space Weather Prediction Center and the U.S. Air Force.

#

Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity

SDF Number 143 Issued at 2200Z on 23 May 2011

IA.  Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from  22/2100Z

to 23/2100Z:  Solar activity was very low.  The three spotted regions

on the disk are small and magnetically simple.

IB.  Solar Activity Forecast:  Solar activity is expected to remain

very low for the next three days (23 - 25 May).

IIA.  Geophysical Activity Summary 22/2100Z to 23/2100Z:

The geomagnetic field was quiet.

IIB.  Geophysical Activity Forecast:  The geomagnetic field is

expected to be quiet on Days 1 and 2 (23-24 May), becoming quiet to

unsettled with the approach of a recurrent coronal hole high speed

stream on Day 3 (25 May).

III.  Event Probabilities 24 May-26 May

Class M    01/01/01

Class X    01/01/01

Proton     01/01/01

PCAF       green

IV.  Penticton 10.7 cm Flux

Observed           23 May 084

Predicted   24 May-26 May  085/085/085

90 Day Mean        23 May 108

V.  Geomagnetic A Indices

Observed Afr/Ap 22 May  003/004

Estimated Afr/Ap 23 May  005/005

Predicted Afr/Ap 24 May-26 May  005/005-005/005-008/008

VI.  Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 24 May-26 May

A.  Middle Latitudes

Active                10/10/20

Minor storm           05/05/05

Major-severe storm    01/01/01

B.  High Latitudes

Active                15/15/30

Minor storm           05/05/10

Major-severe storm    01/01/05



Thank you for using the Product Subscription Service. If you would like 
to remove a product subscription or update the personal information in 
your account, go to: https://pss.swpc.noaa.gov. Please do not use the from 
address for correspondence, as it is not monitored. For comments or help, 
please contact us: pss.help@noaa.gov.
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