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OK0NAG > SOLAR 16.04.08 23:03l 71 Lines 2698 Bytes #999 (0) @ EU
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Date: Wed, 16 Apr 2008 22:01:40 -0000
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Subject: Report of Solar Geophysical Activity (RSGA)
X-asg-orig-subj: Report of Solar Geophysical Activity (RSGA)
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:Product: Report of Solar-Geophysical Activity
:Issued: 2008 Apr 16 2200 UTC
# Prepared jointly by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA,
# Space Weather Prediction Center and the U.S. Air Force.
#
Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity
SDF Number 107 Issued at 2200Z on 16 Apr 2008
IA. Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 15/2100Z
to 16/2100Z: Solar activity was very low. Region 990 (N27W03)
produced a low level B-class flare at 0634Z. This region has decayed
to spotless plage.
IB. Solar Activity Forecast: Solar activity is expected to be very
low.
IIA. Geophysical Activity Summary 15/2100Z to 16/2100Z:
The geomagnetic field was mostly quiet to unsettled with an isolated
active period between 0600 - 0900Z. The greater than 2 MeV electron
flux at geosynchronous orbit reached high levels during the past 24
hours.
IIB. Geophysical Activity Forecast: The geomagnetic field is
expected to be quiet.
III. Event Probabilities 17 Apr-19 Apr
Class M 01/01/01
Class X 01/01/01
Proton 01/01/01
PCAF Green
IV. Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
Observed 16 Apr 070
Predicted 17 Apr-19 Apr 070/070/070
90 Day Mean 16 Apr 072
V. Geomagnetic A Indices
Observed Afr/Ap 15 Apr 003/005
Estimated Afr/Ap 16 Apr 008/010
Predicted Afr/Ap 17 Apr-19 Apr 005/008-005/005-005/005
VI. Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 17 Apr-19 Apr
A. Middle Latitudes
Active 10/10/10
Minor storm 05/05/05
Major-severe storm 01/01/01
B. High Latitudes
Active 15/15/15
Minor storm 05/05/05
Major-severe storm 01/01/01
Thank you for using the Product Subscription Service. If you would like
to remove a product subscription or update the personal information in
your account, go to: https://pss.swpc.noaa.gov. For problems, contact:
mailto:pss.help@noaa.gov.
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