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OK0NAG > SOLAR 11.05.11 13:58l 122 Lines 4759 Bytes #999 (0) @ EU
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Subject: GEOALERT SIDC
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:Issued: 2011 May 11 1250 UTC
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#--------------------------------------------------------------------#
# GEOALERT message from the SIDC (RWC-Belgium) #
#--------------------------------------------------------------------#
GEOALERT BRU131
UGEOA 30512 10511 1222/ 9930/
10112 20112 30112
99999
PLAIN
NOTE: the above forecasts are valid from 1230UT, 11 May 2011 until 13 May
2011
PREDICTIONS FOR 11 May 2011 10CM FLUX: 100 / AP: 012
PREDICTIONS FOR 12 May 2011 10CM FLUX: 100 / AP: 012
PREDICTIONS FOR 13 May 2011 10CM FLUX: 105 / AP: 007
COMMENT: Solar activity is expected to be mostly quiet with small
chances of C-class flares from NOAA ARs 1207, 1208 and 1210. A filament
eruption occurred in the vicinity of ARs 1205 and 1204 on May 11th,
associated with a B8.1 peaking at 0243 UT. The event was linked to a
type II burst, a CME observed by the STEREO spacecraft and to a slight
increase in the >10 Mev proton flux at Earth. Due to its source location
on the disk, the CME is likely not to give any significant geomagnetic
disturbances in the next few days, and if any, not before May 15th.
Geomagnetic activity is expected to be unsettled within the next 24
hours, with risks of isolated periods of active conditions due to the
crossing of a boundary sector.
TODAY'S ESTIMATED ISN : 044, BASED ON 15 STATIONS.
99999
UGEOI 30512 10511 1222/ 10///
10121 20980 3014/ 4//// 80308 90260
99999
NOTICEABLE EVENTS SUMMARY
DAY BEGIN MAX END LOC XRAY OP 10CM RADIO BURST TYPES Catania
NOAA NOTE
NONE
END
UGEOR 30512 10511 1222/ 11/08 11106
10069 2//// 3//// 472// 50020 60002 47117 00000
10078 2//// 3//// 4321/ 50050 60011 41118 03000
10079 2//// 3//// 4422/ 50070 60015 11613 03000
10080 2//// 3//// 4201/ 50010 60002 44020 02000
10082 2//// 3//// 410// 50010 60001 25613 00000
10083 2//// 3//// 410// 50010 60001 10113 00000
99999
USSPS 32404 10072 10332 68006 47219 2/801 70004 46217 21302 76003
13213 21407 78007 10319 24316 80001 27213 0/101 81001 42721 11304
82001 40722 01202
USSPS 21305 10153 06932 74003 47518 2/801 76002 46516 2/801 86004
40220 21308 83006 12612 21405 87001 43121 01204
USSPS 81202 10055 08022 75010 13312 21409 76006 10521 24416 72001
42721 0/102 70005 46026 2/802 65006 46927 2/801
USSPS 81202 11010 08422 65006 47818 2/801 70006 47117 2/801 72001
43721 01202 75005 12212 21408 76005 40719 14311 79001 26013 0/101
USSPS 31405 11083 09242 69002 47117 2/902 78005 41118 21311 79007
11613 25415 80001 44020 01202 82001 25613 0/101 83001 10113 0/101
UMAGF 30503 10510 1004/ 09063 1/006 21112 30011
UMAGF 30503 10511 1004/ 10066 1/024 22233 33333
UMAGF 31523 10511 ///// 1000/ 1/014 22123 34433
UCMEO 93001 10510 1730/ 10509 62057 80130 3311/ 200// 333// 41252
10509 62025 82045 18917 ///// 1112/ 99999 PLAIN
#--------------------------------------------------------------------#
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