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OK0NAG > SOLAR    26.04.11 23:04l 225 Lines 7370 Bytes #999 (0) @ EU
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Subj: Report of Solar Geophysical Activity (RSGA)
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Subject: Report of Solar Geophysical Activity (RSGA)
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:Product: Report of Solar-Geophysical Activity

:Issued: 2011 Apr 26 2200 UTC

# Prepared jointly by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA,

# Space Weather Prediction Center and the U.S. Air Force.

#

Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity

SDF Number 116 Issued at 2200Z on 26 Apr 2011

IA.  Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from  25/2100Z

to 26/2100Z:  Solar activity has been at been at very low levels for

the past 24 hours. Region 1195 (S17W25) has started to decay , with

a decrease in both sunspot number and areal coverage. Two new

Regions were numbered today, Region 1199 (N21W23) and Region 1200

(S17E42). Region 1199 emerged quickly on the disk and is already

classified as a C-type group.

IB.  Solar Activity Forecast:  Solar activity is expected to be at

very low to low levels for the next three days (27-29 April).

IIA.  Geophysical Activity Summary 25/2100Z to 26/2100Z:

The geomagnetic field has been at quiet levels for the past 24 hours.

Solar wind speed, as measured by the ACE spacecraft, has continued

to decrease from around 450 - 400 km/s.

IIB.  Geophysical Activity Forecast:  The geomagnetic field is

expected to be at mostly quiet levels for the next three days (27-29

April).

III.  Event Probabilities 27 Apr-29 Apr

Class M    10/05/05

Class X    01/01/01

Proton     01/01/01

PCAF       green

IV.  Penticton 10.7 cm Flux

Observed           26 Apr 109

Predicted   27 Apr-29 Apr  105/105/105

90 Day Mean        26 Apr 106

V.  Geomagnetic A Indices

Observed Afr/Ap 25 Apr  002/006

Estimated Afr/Ap 26 Apr  003/003

Predicted Afr/Ap 27 Apr-29 Apr  005/005-005/005-005/005

VI.  Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 27 Apr-29 Apr

A.  Middle Latitudes

Active                10/05/10

Minor storm           01/01/01

Major-severe storm    01/01/01

B.  High Latitudes

Active                15/05/10

Minor storm           01/01/01

Major-severe storm    01/01/01



Thank you for using the Product Subscription Service. If you would like 
to remove a product subscription or update the personal information in 
your account, go to: https://pss.swpc.noaa.gov. Please do not use the from 
address for correspondence, as it is not monitored. For comments or help, 
please contact us: pss.help@noaa.gov.
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