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OK0NAG > SOLAR    25.04.11 23:07l 205 Lines 6703 Bytes #999 (0) @ EU
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Subj: Report of Solar Geophysical Activity (RSGA)
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Subject: Report of Solar Geophysical Activity (RSGA)
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:Product: Report of Solar-Geophysical Activity

:Issued: 2011 Apr 25 2200 UTC

# Prepared jointly by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA,

# Space Weather Prediction Center and the U.S. Air Force.

#

Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity

SDF Number 115 Issued at 2200Z on 25 Apr 2011

IA.  Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from  24/2100Z

to 25/2100Z:  Solar activity was very low.

IB.  Solar Activity Forecast:  Solar activity is forecast to be very

low to low with a slight chance for a M-class flare from Region 1195

(S16W12) for the next 3 days (26-28 April).

IIA.  Geophysical Activity Summary 24/2100Z to 25/2100Z:

The geomagnetic field was quiet to unsettled during the period.

IIB.  Geophysical Activity Forecast:  The geomagnetic field is

forecast to be mostly quiet on days 1 and 2 (26-27 April), and quiet

to unsettled with a chance for active conditions on day 3 (28 April)

due to recurrent coronal hole effects.

III.  Event Probabilities 26 Apr-28 Apr

Class M    10/05/05

Class X    01/01/01

Proton     01/01/01

PCAF       green

IV.  Penticton 10.7 cm Flux

Observed           25 Apr 112

Predicted   26 Apr-28 Apr  110/110/110

90 Day Mean        25 Apr 106

V.  Geomagnetic A Indices

Observed Afr/Ap 24 Apr  006/006

Estimated Afr/Ap 25 Apr  005/005

Predicted Afr/Ap 26 Apr-28 Apr  005/005-005/005-008/008

VI.  Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 26 Apr-28 Apr

A.  Middle Latitudes

Active                05/05/20

Minor storm           01/01/10

Major-severe storm    01/01/01

B.  High Latitudes

Active                10/10/30

Minor storm           01/01/10

Major-severe storm    01/01/01



Thank you for using the Product Subscription Service. If you would like 
to remove a product subscription or update the personal information in 
your account, go to: https://pss.swpc.noaa.gov. Please do not use the from 
address for correspondence, as it is not monitored. For comments or help, 
please contact us: pss.help@noaa.gov.
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