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OK0NAG > SOLAR 22.04.11 13:43l 114 Lines 4181 Bytes #999 (0) @ EU
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Subject: GEOALERT SIDC
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:Issued: 2011 Apr 22 1239 UTC
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#--------------------------------------------------------------------#
# GEOALERT message from the SIDC (RWC-Belgium) #
#--------------------------------------------------------------------#
GEOALERT BRU112
UGEOA 30512 10422 1230/ 9930/
11222 20222 30222
99999
PLAIN
NOTE: the above forecasts are valid from 1230UT, 22 Apr 2011 until 24 Apr
2011
PREDICTIONS FOR 22 Apr 2011 10CM FLUX: 113 / AP: 006
PREDICTIONS FOR 23 Apr 2011 10CM FLUX: 114 / AP: 001
PREDICTIONS FOR 24 Apr 2011 10CM FLUX: 115 / AP: 001
COMMENT: NOAA AR 1195 (Cat 58) is by far the most active region on the
solar disk and was the source of an M1.8 flare, peaking at 04h45 this
morning. In the last 24h this active region has alsoproduced 8 C-class
flares, the largest one being a C7.7 flare, occurring around 11h15
today. In SWAP and AIA data we see an outflow from this region around 7h
this morning. Due to missing coronographic data, we can not decide yet
if there was a CME associated to these events. We expect more C-flares
from AR 1195, an M-flare is also possible.
Geomagnetic conditions are expected to remain quiet.
TODAY'S ESTIMATED ISN : 055, BASED ON 13 STATIONS.
99999
UGEOI 30512 10422 1230/ 21///
10088 21130 3006/ 4//// 80205 90450
99999
NOTICEABLE EVENTS SUMMARY
DAY BEGIN MAX END LOC XRAY OP 10CM RADIO BURST TYPES Catania
NOAA NOTE
22 0435 0457 0514 S18E43 M1.8 SN 58
1195
END
UGEOR 30512 10422 1230/ 21/07 22105
10053 2//// 3//// 471// 50010 60001 44007 00000
10055 2//// 3//// 4522/ 50300 60019 42417 00000
10058 2//// 3//// 4422/ 50100 60014 25116 19300
10060 2//// 3//// 410// 50010 60001 26715 01000
10061 2//// 3//// 4411/ 50030 60003 27524 01000
99999
USSPS 32404 21075 07532 57001 44307 1/801 59028 42417 27512 61011
25216 34409 62004 27524 21302 63002 26715 0/101
USSPS 21305 21173 08142 64026 43017 54520 68013 24617 34410 69005
27125 01207 70001 33426 0/104
USSPS 81202 22011 10932 57014 24218 37325 59006 26527 11306 61001
33925 01203 52001 45208 0/103 54019 43117 44522
UMAGF 30503 10422 1004/ 21060 1/009 21111 31222
UMAGF 31523 10422 ///// 2100/ 1/006 21211 32222
#--------------------------------------------------------------------#
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