| |
OK0NAG > SOLAR 21.04.11 00:03l 261 Lines 8564 Bytes #999 (0) @ EU
BID : K4LOK0NAG00S
Read: GUEST
Subj: Report of Solar Geophysical Activity (RSGA)
Path: IZ3LSV<IW0QNL<F6IQF<IK6ZDE<OK0NAG
Sent: 110420/2202z @:OK0NAG.#BOH.CZE.EU [TCP/IP BBS Praha Strahov] bcm2.01e-zia
X-Info: Prijato od 127.0.0.1 za pomoci SMTP gatewaye
X-barracuda-connect: sunkl.asu.cas.cz[147.231.106.1]
X-barracuda-apparent-source-ip: 147.231.106.1
Date: 20 Apr 2011 22:02:15 +0000
X-barracuda-spam-score: 1.34
X-asg-debug-id: 1303336669-03b3480d9b415540001-dKRjYV
To: solar@eu
X-originalarrivaltime: 20 Apr 2011 22:05:37.0234 (UTC) FILETIME=[141E4320:01CBFFA7]
From: ok0nag <ok0nag>
X-barracuda-bbl-ip: nil
X-barracuda-spam-status: No, SCORE=1.34 using global scores of TAG_LEVEL=1000.0 QUARANTINE_LEVEL=1000.0 KILL_LEVEL=9.0 tests=HTML_MESSAGE, MIME_BASE64_TEXT, MIME_QP_LONG_LINE
X-spam-flag: NO
X-spam-score: -0.315
X-barracuda-envelope-from: solar@sunkl.asu.cas.cz
X-barracuda-spam-report: Code version 3.2, rules version 3.2.2.61444Rule breakdown below pts rule name description---- ---------------------- --------------------------------------------------0.00 HTML_MESSAGE BODY: HTML included in message0.52 MIME_BASE64_TEXT RAW: Mes
sage text disguised using base64 encoding0.82 MIME_QP_LONG_LINE RAW: Quoted-printable line longer than 76 chars
X-barracuda-url: http://147.231.105.98:8000/cgi-mod/mark.cgi
Subject: Report of Solar Geophysical Activity (RSGA)
X-asg-orig-subj: Report of Solar Geophysical Activity (RSGA)
X-barracuda-start-time: 1303336669
----boundary_86403_c30c5033-d0fe-4685-8945-33acbfde5824
Content-Type: text/plain; charset=us-ascii
Content-Transfer-Encoding: quoted-printable
:Product: Report of Solar-Geophysical Activity
:Issued: 2011 Apr 20 2200 UTC
# Prepared jointly by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA,
# Space Weather Prediction Center and the U.S. Air Force.
#
Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity
SDF Number 110 Issued at 2200Z on 20 Apr 2011
IA. Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 19/2100Z
to 20/2100Z: Solar activity has been at low levels for the past 24
hours. Regions 1195 (S17E55) and 1193 (N16W20) remain areas of
interest producing several B/C class events. The largest event was a
C4/Sf at 20/1939Z from Region 1195. Behind Region 1195, just
rotating onto the east limb, New Region 1196 (S27E69) is already
producing C-class events. Note: The Penticton 10.7 cm radio flux
appears to be flare enhanced.
IB. Solar Activity Forecast: Solar activity is expected to be at
low levels with a slight chance for M-class events for the next
three days (21-23 April).
IIA. Geophysical Activity Summary 19/2100Z to 20/2100Z:
The geomagnetic field has been unsettled to active with isolated
minor storm periods observed at high latitudes. The increase in
activity was due to the arrival of a coronal hole high-speed stream
(CH HSS). Observations at the ACE spacecraft, over the past 24
hours, have shown the solar wind speed increase from 350-550 km/s
and back down 500 km/s.
IIB. Geophysical Activity Forecast: The geomagnetic field is
expected to be at quiet to unsettled levels for the next 2 days
(21-22 April) as the effects of the CH HSS subside. Late on 21
April, a slow moving CME is expected to become geoeffective with
quiet to unsettled conditions lasting for 24 hours. On day three (23
April), quiet conditions are expected to prevail.
III. Event Probabilities 21 Apr-23 Apr
Class M 15/15/15
Class X 01/01/01
Proton 01/01/01
PCAF green
IV. Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
Observed 20 Apr 117
Predicted 21 Apr-23 Apr 115/115/115
90 Day Mean 20 Apr 104
V. Geomagnetic A Indices
Observed Afr/Ap 19 Apr 004/006
Estimated Afr/Ap 20 Apr 010/010
Predicted Afr/Ap 21 Apr-23 Apr 010/010-008/008-005/005
VI. Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 21 Apr-23 Apr
A. Middle Latitudes
Active 25/20/10
Minor storm 05/05/01
Major-severe storm 01/01/01
B. High Latitudes
Active 30/20/10
Minor storm 10/10/01
Major-severe storm 01/01/01
Thank you for using the Product Subscription Service. If you would like
to remove a product subscription or update the personal information in
your account, go to: https://pss.swpc.noaa.gov. Please do not use the from
address for correspondence, as it is not monitored. For comments or help,
please contact us: pss.help@noaa.gov.
----boundary_86403_c30c5033-d0fe-4685-8945-33acbfde5824
Content-Type: text/html
Content-Transfer-Encoding: base64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----boundary_86403_c30c5033-d0fe-4685-8945-33acbfde5824--
Read previous mail | Read next mail
| |
