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OK0NAG > SOLAR 12.04.11 18:55l 131 Lines 4805 Bytes #999 (0) @ EU
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Subject: GEOALERT SIDC
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:Issued: 2011 Apr 12 1712 UTC
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#--------------------------------------------------------------------#
# GEOALERT message from the SIDC (RWC-Belgium) #
#--------------------------------------------------------------------#
GEOALERT BRU102
UGEOA 30512 10412 1223/ 9930/
11122 21122 30122
99999
PLAIN
NOTE: the above forecasts are valid from 1230UT, 12 Apr 2011 until 14 Apr
2011
PREDICTIONS FOR 12 Apr 2011 10CM FLUX: 100 / AP: 021
PREDICTIONS FOR 13 Apr 2011 10CM FLUX: 100 / AP: 010
PREDICTIONS FOR 14 Apr 2011 10CM FLUX: 100 / AP: 007
COMMENT: There have been five C-class flares in the last 24h, from NOAA
AR 1190, the strongest one was a C3.1 flare at 6:07 UT. This region has
potential for more C- and, less likely, M-class flares. There was a
west-limb CME, seen first at 23:05 UT in LASCO-C2 and related to a large
prominence eruption occurring about 30 minutes earlier. Even though the
bulk of the eruption seems to be traveling towards the west, STEREO
images show that it has a component in the direction of the Earth.
Therefore, a hit at Earth can not be discarded, probably only a shock
will be seen. A minor storm (Kp=5) occurred between 6:00 and 9:00 UT due
to a long lasting Bz of -10nT, related to a fast solar wind stream from
the northern extension of the south polar coronal hole. A glancing blow
of a previous CME could also be present in the data, it's difficult to
say due to the low density values measured at ACE. Geomagnetic
conditions are expected to be unsettled to active for the next 24h
TODAY'S ESTIMATED ISN : ///
99999
UGEOI 30512 10412 1223/ 11///
10075 21060 3012/ 4//// 80104 90160
99999
NOTICEABLE EVENTS SUMMARY
DAY BEGIN MAX END LOC XRAY OP 10CM RADIO BURST TYPES Catania
NOAA NOTE
NONE
END
UGEOR 30512 10412 1223/ 12/07 12105
10046 2//// 3//// 4522/ 50070 60013 40923 03000
10048 2//// 3//// 4422/ 50040 60010 42417 03000
10051 2//// 3//// 4422/ 50080 60015 12112 07200
10052 2//// 3//// 4201/ 50010 60002 10910 00000
10053 2//// 3//// 472// 50040 60002 18209 00000
99999
USSPS 32404 11058 06832 50004 41218 24411 51007 10523 21511 53002
22219 01205 56001 13512 2/801
USSPS 21305 11171 09042 54015 41817 24318 57006 40323 14317 58002
21720 01204 61007 13013 14311
USSPS 81202 12020 09132 51007 12515 34320 49002 21220 01205 47007
40522 24316 46004 42416 21310
USSPS 31405 12076 09242 46007 40923 24513 48004 42417 24410 51008
12112 24415 52001 10910 01202 53004 18209 2/902
UMAGF 30503 10412 1004/ 11064 1/017 21123 33223
UMAGF 31523 10412 ///// 1100/ 1/012 23112 33432
INDAA 10404
1/033 01601 20120 08012 00500 5/013
2/012 01200 80120 02005 02002 4/012
3/025 01600 80600 60060 06705 9/044
4/024 00800 80050 02005 00500 5/008
5/008 00500 80160 33024 03304 6/022
6/020 01601 60120 08008 00200 5/011
7/005 00200 50020 10012 00500 9/006
END
#--------------------------------------------------------------------#
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