| |
OK0NAG > SOLAR 07.04.11 23:03l 247 Lines 8213 Bytes #999 (0) @ EU
BID : 74LOK0NAG011
Read: GUEST
Subj: Report of Solar Geophysical Activity (RSGA)
Path: IZ3LSV<IW0QNL<F6IQF<IK6ZDE<OK0NAG
Sent: 110407/2201z @:OK0NAG.#BOH.CZE.EU [TCP/IP BBS Praha Strahov] bcm2.01e-zia
X-Info: Prijato od 127.0.0.1 za pomoci SMTP gatewaye
X-barracuda-connect: sunkl.asu.cas.cz[147.231.106.1]
X-barracuda-apparent-source-ip: 147.231.106.1
Date: 7 Apr 2011 22:00:52 +0000
X-barracuda-spam-score: 1.34
X-asg-debug-id: 1302213512-03b3480d9b22e810001-dKRjYV
To: solar@eu
X-originalarrivaltime: 07 Apr 2011 22:03:57.0593 (UTC) FILETIME=[B15B8090:01CBF56F]
From: ok0nag <ok0nag>
X-barracuda-bbl-ip: nil
X-barracuda-spam-status: No, SCORE=1.34 using global scores of TAG_LEVEL=1000.0 QUARANTINE_LEVEL=1000.0 KILL_LEVEL=9.0 tests=HTML_MESSAGE, MIME_BASE64_TEXT, MIME_QP_LONG_LINE
X-spam-flag: NO
X-spam-score: -0.324
X-barracuda-envelope-from: solar@sunkl.asu.cas.cz
X-barracuda-spam-report: Code version 3.2, rules version 3.2.2.60199Rule breakdown below pts rule name description---- ---------------------- --------------------------------------------------0.00 HTML_MESSAGE BODY: HTML included in message0.52 MIME_BASE64_TEXT RAW: Mes
sage text disguised using base64 encoding0.82 MIME_QP_LONG_LINE RAW: Quoted-printable line longer than 76 chars
X-barracuda-url: http://147.231.105.98:8000/cgi-mod/mark.cgi
Subject: Report of Solar Geophysical Activity (RSGA)
X-asg-orig-subj: Report of Solar Geophysical Activity (RSGA)
X-barracuda-start-time: 1302213512
----boundary_839705_fa361cff-54e6-4040-9dd5-4651238d755b
Content-Type: text/plain; charset=us-ascii
Content-Transfer-Encoding: quoted-printable
:Product: Report of Solar-Geophysical Activity
:Issued: 2011 Apr 07 2200 UTC
# Prepared jointly by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA,
# Space Weather Prediction Center and the U.S. Air Force.
#
Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity
SDF Number 097 Issued at 2200Z on 07 Apr 2011
IA. Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 06/2100Z
to 07/2100Z: Solar activity was at low levels. Four C-class flares
were observed during the period from a region on the NE limb. New
Region 1187 (S19E62) was numbered today as an alpha group. A CME was
observed from the SE limb on SOHO/LASCO C3 imagery at 07/0754Z, with
a speed of approximately 548 km/s. The origin of the CME appears to
be an active filament channel in the SE quadrant. This CME is not
expected to be geoeffective. A second CME was observed from the SE
limb on SOHO/LASCO C3 imagery at 07/1042Z, with an approximate
speed of 824 km/s. The origin appears to be a flare from old Region
1176, which rotated off the west limb on 04 April. This CME is also
not expected to be geoeffective.
IB. Solar Activity Forecast: Solar activity is expected to be at
very low to low levels.
IIA. Geophysical Activity Summary 06/2100Z to 07/2100Z:
The geomagnetic field was at predominantly quiet levels. A single
unsettled activity period was observed between 07/0000Z - 07/0300Z.
IIB. Geophysical Activity Forecast: The geomagnetic field is
expected to be at quiet levels on days one and two (08-09 April).
Activity is expected to increase on day three (10 April) due to a
coronal hole high-speed stream.
III. Event Probabilities 08 Apr-10 Apr
Class M 05/05/05
Class X 01/01/01
Proton 01/01/01
PCAF green
IV. Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
Observed 07 Apr 112
Predicted 08 Apr-10 Apr 110/100/095
90 Day Mean 07 Apr 100
V. Geomagnetic A Indices
Observed Afr/Ap 06 Apr 016/026
Estimated Afr/Ap 07 Apr 005/012
Predicted Afr/Ap 08 Apr-10 Apr 005/005-005/005-010/010
VI. Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 08 Apr-10 Apr
A. Middle Latitudes
Active 15/10/35
Minor storm 01/01/05
Major-severe storm 01/01/01
B. High Latitudes
Active 20/15/40
Minor storm 01/01/15
Major-severe storm 01/01/05
Thank you for using the Product Subscription Service. If you would like
to remove a product subscription or update the personal information in
your account, go to: https://pss.swpc.noaa.gov. Please do not use the from
address for correspondence, as it is not monitored. For comments or help,
please contact us: pss.help@noaa.gov.
----boundary_839705_fa361cff-54e6-4040-9dd5-4651238d755b
Content-Type: text/html
Content-Transfer-Encoding: base64
PCFET0NUWVBFIEhUTUwgUFVCTElDICItLy9XM0MvL0RURCBIVE1MIDQuMCBUcmFuc2l0aW9u
YWwvL0VOIj48SFRNTD48SEVBRD48TUVUQSBodHRwLWVxdWl2PUNvbnRlbnQtVHlwZSBjb250
ZW50PSJ0ZXh0L2h0bWw7IGNoYXJzZXQ9aXNvLTg4NTktMSI+PC9IRUFEPjxCT0RZPjxQUkU+
OlByb2R1Y3Q6IFJlcG9ydCBvZiBTb2xhci1HZW9waHlzaWNhbCBBY3Rpdml0eQ0KOklzc3Vl
ZDogMjAxMSBBcHIgMDcgMjIwMCBVVEMNCiMgUHJlcGFyZWQgam9pbnRseSBieSB0aGUgVS5T
LiBEZXB0LiBvZiBDb21tZXJjZSwgTk9BQSwNCiMgU3BhY2UgV2VhdGhlciBQcmVkaWN0aW9u
IENlbnRlciBhbmQgdGhlIFUuUy4gQWlyIEZvcmNlLg0KIw0KSm9pbnQgVVNBRi9OT0FBIFJl
cG9ydCBvZiBTb2xhciBhbmQgR2VvcGh5c2ljYWwgQWN0aXZpdHkNClNERiBOdW1iZXIgMDk3
IElzc3VlZCBhdCAyMjAwWiBvbiAwNyBBcHIgMjAxMQ0KSUEuICBBbmFseXNpcyBvZiBTb2xh
ciBBY3RpdmUgUmVnaW9ucyBhbmQgQWN0aXZpdHkgZnJvbSAgMDYvMjEwMFoNCnRvIDA3LzIx
MDBaOiAgU29sYXIgYWN0aXZpdHkgd2FzIGF0IGxvdyBsZXZlbHMuIEZvdXIgQy1jbGFzcyBm
bGFyZXMNCndlcmUgb2JzZXJ2ZWQgZHVyaW5nIHRoZSBwZXJpb2QgZnJvbSBhIHJlZ2lvbiBv
biB0aGUgTkUgbGltYi4gTmV3DQpSZWdpb24gMTE4NyAoUzE5RTYyKSB3YXMgbnVtYmVyZWQg
dG9kYXkgYXMgYW4gYWxwaGEgZ3JvdXAuIEEgQ01FIHdhcw0Kb2JzZXJ2ZWQgZnJvbSB0aGUg
U0UgbGltYiBvbiBTT0hPL0xBU0NPIEMzIGltYWdlcnkgYXQgMDcvMDc1NFosIHdpdGgNCmEg
c3BlZWQgb2YgYXBwcm94aW1hdGVseSA1NDgga20vcy4gVGhlIG9yaWdpbiBvZiB0aGUgQ01F
IGFwcGVhcnMgdG8NCmJlIGFuIGFjdGl2ZSBmaWxhbWVudCBjaGFubmVsIGluIHRoZSBTRSBx
dWFkcmFudC4gVGhpcyBDTUUgaXMgbm90DQpleHBlY3RlZCB0byBiZSBnZW9lZmZlY3RpdmUu
IEEgc2Vjb25kIENNRSB3YXMgb2JzZXJ2ZWQgIGZyb20gdGhlICBTRQ0KbGltYiBvbiBTT0hP
L0xBU0NPIEMzIGltYWdlcnkgYXQgMDcvMTA0MlosIHdpdGggYW4gYXBwcm94aW1hdGUNCnNw
ZWVkIG9mIDgyNCBrbS9zLiBUaGUgb3JpZ2luIGFwcGVhcnMgdG8gYmUgYSBmbGFyZSBmcm9t
IG9sZCBSZWdpb24NCjExNzYsIHdoaWNoIHJvdGF0ZWQgb2ZmIHRoZSB3ZXN0IGxpbWIgb24g
MDQgQXByaWwuIFRoaXMgQ01FIGlzIGFsc28NCm5vdCBleHBlY3RlZCB0byBiZSBnZW9lZmZl
Y3RpdmUuDQpJQi4gIFNvbGFyIEFjdGl2aXR5IEZvcmVjYXN0OiAgU29sYXIgYWN0aXZpdHkg
aXMgZXhwZWN0ZWQgdG8gYmUgYXQNCnZlcnkgbG93IHRvIGxvdyBsZXZlbHMuDQpJSUEuICBH
ZW9waHlzaWNhbCBBY3Rpdml0eSBTdW1tYXJ5IDA2LzIxMDBaIHRvIDA3LzIxMDBaOg0KVGhl
IGdlb21hZ25ldGljIGZpZWxkIHdhcyBhdCBwcmVkb21pbmFudGx5IHF1aWV0IGxldmVscy4g
QSBzaW5nbGUNCnVuc2V0dGxlZCBhY3Rpdml0eSBwZXJpb2Qgd2FzIG9ic2VydmVkIGJldHdl
ZW4gMDcvMDAwMFogLSAwNy8wMzAwWi4NCklJQi4gIEdlb3BoeXNpY2FsIEFjdGl2aXR5IEZv
cmVjYXN0OiAgVGhlIGdlb21hZ25ldGljIGZpZWxkIGlzDQpleHBlY3RlZCB0byBiZSBhdCBx
dWlldCBsZXZlbHMgb24gZGF5cyBvbmUgYW5kIHR3byAoMDgtMDkgQXByaWwpLg0KQWN0aXZp
dHkgaXMgZXhwZWN0ZWQgdG8gaW5jcmVhc2Ugb24gZGF5IHRocmVlICgxMCBBcHJpbCkgZHVl
IHRvIGENCmNvcm9uYWwgaG9sZSBoaWdoLXNwZWVkIHN0cmVhbS4NCklJSS4gIEV2ZW50IFBy
b2JhYmlsaXRpZXMgMDggQXByLTEwIEFwcg0KQ2xhc3MgTSAgICAwNS8wNS8wNQ0KQ2xhc3Mg
WCAgICAwMS8wMS8wMQ0KUHJvdG9uICAgICAwMS8wMS8wMQ0KUENBRiAgICAgICBncmVlbg0K
SVYuICBQZW50aWN0b24gMTAuNyBjbSBGbHV4DQpPYnNlcnZlZCAgICAgICAgICAgMDcgQXBy
IDExMg0KUHJlZGljdGVkICAgMDggQXByLTEwIEFwciAgMTEwLzEwMC8wOTUNCjkwIERheSBN
ZWFuICAgICAgICAwNyBBcHIgMTAwDQpWLiAgR2VvbWFnbmV0aWMgQSBJbmRpY2VzDQpPYnNl
cnZlZCBBZnIvQXAgMDYgQXByICAwMTYvMDI2DQpFc3RpbWF0ZWQgQWZyL0FwIDA3IEFwciAg
MDA1LzAxMg0KUHJlZGljdGVkIEFmci9BcCAwOCBBcHItMTAgQXByICAwMDUvMDA1LTAwNS8w
MDUtMDEwLzAxMA0KVkkuICBHZW9tYWduZXRpYyBBY3Rpdml0eSBQcm9iYWJpbGl0aWVzIDA4
IEFwci0xMCBBcHINCkEuICBNaWRkbGUgTGF0aXR1ZGVzDQpBY3RpdmUgICAgICAgICAgICAg
ICAgMTUvMTAvMzUNCk1pbm9yIHN0b3JtICAgICAgICAgICAwMS8wMS8wNQ0KTWFqb3Itc2V2
ZXJlIHN0b3JtICAgIDAxLzAxLzAxDQpCLiAgSGlnaCBMYXRpdHVkZXMNCkFjdGl2ZSAgICAg
ICAgICAgICAgICAyMC8xNS80MA0KTWlub3Igc3Rvcm0gICAgICAgICAgIDAxLzAxLzE1DQpN
YWpvci1zZXZlcmUgc3Rvcm0gICAgMDEvMDEvMDU8L1BSRT48QlI+PEhSPlRoYW5rIHlvdSBm
b3IgdXNpbmcgdGhlIFByb2R1Y3QgU3Vic2NyaXB0aW9uIFNlcnZpY2UuIElmIHlvdSB3b3Vs
ZCBsaWtlIHRvIHJlbW92ZSBhIHByb2R1Y3Qgc3Vic2NyaXB0aW9uIG9yIHVwZGF0ZSB0aGUg
cGVyc29uYWwgaW5mb3JtYXRpb24gaW4geW91ciBhY2NvdW50LCBnbyB0byB0aGUgPGEgaHJl
Zj0iaHR0cHM6Ly9wc3Muc3dwYy5ub2FhLmdvdiI+UHJvZHVjdCBTdWJzY3JpcHRpb24gU2l0
ZS48L2E+IFBsZWFzZSBkbyBub3QgdXNlIHRoZSBmcm9tIGFkZHJlc3MgZm9yIGNvcnJlc3Bv
bmRlbmNlLCBhcyBpdCBpcyBub3QgbW9uaXRvcmVkLiBGb3IgY29tbWVudHMgb3IgaGVscCwg
cGxlYXNlIGNvbnRhY3QgPGEgaHJlZj0ibWFpbHRvOnBzcy5oZWxwQG5vYWEuZ292Ij5TV1BD
IEhlbHAuPC9hPjwvQk9EWT48L0hUTUw+
----boundary_839705_fa361cff-54e6-4040-9dd5-4651238d755b--
Read previous mail | Read next mail
| |
