| |
OK0NAG > SOLAR 23.03.11 00:04l 233 Lines 7564 Bytes #999 (0) @ EU
BID : M3LOK0NAG00Q
Read: GUEST
Subj: Report of Solar Geophysical Activity (RSGA)
Path: IZ3LSV<IW0QNL<OK0PTU<OK0POW<OK0NAG
Sent: 110322/2201z @:OK0NAG.#BOH.CZE.EU [TCP/IP BBS Praha Strahov] bcm2.01e-zia
X-Info: Prijato od 127.0.0.1 za pomoci SMTP gatewaye
X-barracuda-connect: sunkl.asu.cas.cz[147.231.106.1]
X-barracuda-apparent-source-ip: 147.231.106.1
Date: 22 Mar 2011 22:01:36 +0000
X-barracuda-spam-score: 1.34
X-asg-debug-id: 1300830962-01a3c0088c0b7f0001-dKRjYV
To: solar@eu
X-originalarrivaltime: 22 Mar 2011 22:04:21.0390 (UTC) FILETIME=[18EEA2E0:01CBE8DD]
From: ok0nag <ok0nag>
X-barracuda-bbl-ip: nil
X-barracuda-spam-status: No, SCORE=1.34 using global scores of TAG_LEVEL=1000.0 QUARANTINE_LEVEL=1000.0 KILL_LEVEL=9.0 tests=HTML_MESSAGE, MIME_BASE64_TEXT, MIME_QP_LONG_LINE
X-spam-flag: NO
X-spam-score: -0.338
X-barracuda-envelope-from: solar@sunkl.asu.cas.cz
X-barracuda-spam-report: Code version 3.2, rules version 3.2.2.58676Rule breakdown below pts rule name description---- ---------------------- --------------------------------------------------0.00 HTML_MESSAGE BODY: HTML included in message0.52 MIME_BASE64_TEXT RAW: Mes
sage text disguised using base64 encoding0.82 MIME_QP_LONG_LINE RAW: Quoted-printable line longer than 76 chars
X-barracuda-url: http://147.231.105.99:8000/cgi-mod/mark.cgi
Subject: Report of Solar Geophysical Activity (RSGA)
X-asg-orig-subj: Report of Solar Geophysical Activity (RSGA)
X-barracuda-start-time: 1300830962
----boundary_566113_c3c3901e-c20b-45b2-9a79-c5b4b201d4e8
Content-Type: text/plain; charset=us-ascii
Content-Transfer-Encoding: quoted-printable
:Product: Report of Solar-Geophysical Activity
:Issued: 2011 Mar 22 2200 UTC
# Prepared jointly by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA,
# Space Weather Prediction Center and the U.S. Air Force.
#
Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity
SDF Number 081 Issued at 2200Z on 22 Mar 2011
IA. Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 21/2100Z
to 22/2100Z: Solar activity remained at low levels. Isolated C-class
flares occurred, the largest of which was a C3 at 22/0337Z from
Region 1176 (S14E68). Region 1176 was a Dho-type spot group with a
beta magnetic configuration. No new regions were numbered.
IB. Solar Activity Forecast: Solar activity is expected to be low
during days 1 - 3 (23 - 25 March) with a chance for an M-class flare
from Region 1176.
IIA. Geophysical Activity Summary 21/2100Z to 22/2100Z:
Geomagnetic activity was at quiet to unsettled levels. The greater
than 10 MeV proton event at geosynchronous orbit that began at
21/1950Z reached a maximum flux of 14 pfu at 22/0130Z and ended at
22/0335Z.
IIB. Geophysical Activity Forecast: Geomagnetic activity is
expected to be at mostly quiet levels on day 1 (23 March). An
increase to quiet to unsettled levels is expected during days 2 - 3
(24 - 25 March) as a coronal hole high-speed stream disturbs the
field.
III. Event Probabilities 23 Mar-25 Mar
Class M 30/30/30
Class X 05/05/05
Proton 01/01/01
PCAF green
IV. Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
Observed 22 Mar 100
Predicted 23 Mar-25 Mar 105/110/115
90 Day Mean 22 Mar 095
V. Geomagnetic A Indices
Observed Afr/Ap 21 Mar 004/004
Estimated Afr/Ap 22 Mar 007/007
Predicted Afr/Ap 23 Mar-25 Mar 005/005-008/008-008/008
VI. Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 23 Mar-25 Mar
A. Middle Latitudes
Active 10/15/15
Minor storm 01/05/05
Major-severe storm 01/01/01
B. High Latitudes
Active 15/20/20
Minor storm 01/10/10
Major-severe storm 01/01/01
Thank you for using the Product Subscription Service. If you would like
to remove a product subscription or update the personal information in
your account, go to: https://pss.swpc.noaa.gov. Please do not use the from
address for correspondence, as it is not monitored. For comments or help,
please contact us: pss.help@noaa.gov.
----boundary_566113_c3c3901e-c20b-45b2-9a79-c5b4b201d4e8
Content-Type: text/html
Content-Transfer-Encoding: base64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----boundary_566113_c3c3901e-c20b-45b2-9a79-c5b4b201d4e8--
Read previous mail | Read next mail
| |
