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OK0NAG > SOLAR 16.03.11 15:09l 114 Lines 4206 Bytes #999 (0) @ EU
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Subject: GEOALERT SIDC
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:Issued: 2011 Mar 16 1304 UTC
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#--------------------------------------------------------------------#
# GEOALERT message from the SIDC (RWC-Belgium) #
#--------------------------------------------------------------------#
GEOALERT BRU075
UGEOA 30512 10316 1219/ 9930/
11162 20162 38162
99999
PLAIN
NOTE: the above forecasts are valid from 1230UT, 16 Mar 2011 until 18 Mar
2011
PREDICTIONS FOR 16 Mar 2011 10CM FLUX: 100 / AP: 003
PREDICTIONS FOR 17 Mar 2011 10CM FLUX: 100 / AP: 003
PREDICTIONS FOR 18 Mar 2011 10CM FLUX: 103 / AP: 002
COMMENT: The flaring activity of Catania sunspot group 26 (NOAA AR
1169) decreased. Only B-class and weak C-class flares were observed in
this group during the past 24 hours. However, this active region
maintains beta-gamma configuration of its photospheric magnetic field,
so an M-flare is still not excluded (although unlikely). Due to the
position of the Catania sunspot group 26 close to the west solar limb,
a
strong CME originating in it may lead to an energetic particle event at
the Earth. Another sunspot group (Catania number 29, no NOAA number yet)
emerged from below the photosphere yesterday. It already produced a C1.4
flare peaking at 09:04 UT today. More C-class flares can be expected
from this active region. The Earth is currently inside a slow (around
360 km/s) solar wind flow with average (5-6 nT) interplanetary magnetic
field magnitude. We expect quiet geomagnetic conditions.
TODAY'S ESTIMATED ISN : 022, BASED ON 11 STATIONS.
99999
UGEOI 30512 10316 1219/ 15///
10056 21020 3002/ 4//// 80204 90170
99999
NOTICEABLE EVENTS SUMMARY
DAY BEGIN MAX END LOC XRAY OP 10CM RADIO BURST TYPES Catania
NOAA NOTE
NONE
END
UGEOR 30512 10316 1219/ 16/09 16102
10026 2//// 3//// 4421/ 50080 60002 46919 17100
10029 2//// 3//// 472// 50020 60001 24428 17100
99999
USSPS 32404 15088 04422 29003 47812 21402 30022 45618 24411 33000
12209 0/101
USSPS 21305 15154 02922 35033 45316 34408 38001 11812 0/101
USSPS 81202 16010 04532 29001 11411 0/101 31002 25227 01202 27034
47518 24412
USSPS 31405 16095 02322 26008 46919 23402 29002 24428 2/901
UMAGF 30503 10316 1004/ 15067 1/004 21101 30000
UMAGF 31523 10316 ///// 1500/ 1/002 20011 31100
#--------------------------------------------------------------------#
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