| |
OK0NAG > SOLAR 12.03.11 23:05l 255 Lines 8416 Bytes #999 (0) @ EU
BID : C3LOK0NAG00N
Read: GUEST
Subj: Report of Solar Geophysical Activity (RSGA)
Path: IZ3LSV<IK2XDE<IR2UBX<IW2OHX<HB9ON<IW0QNL<OK0PTU<OK0POW<OK0NAG
Sent: 110312/2203z @:OK0NAG.#BOH.CZE.EU [TCP/IP BBS Praha Strahov] bcm2.01e-zia
X-Info: Prijato od 127.0.0.1 za pomoci SMTP gatewaye
X-barracuda-connect: sunkl.asu.cas.cz[147.231.106.1]
X-barracuda-apparent-source-ip: 147.231.106.1
Date: 12 Mar 2011 22:02:54 +0000
X-barracuda-spam-score: 1.34
X-asg-debug-id: 1299967038-01a3c008ac66400001-dKRjYV
To: solar@eu
X-originalarrivaltime: 12 Mar 2011 22:05:26.0421 (UTC) FILETIME=[97901450:01CBE101]
From: ok0nag <ok0nag>
X-barracuda-bbl-ip: nil
X-barracuda-spam-status: No, SCORE=1.34 using global scores of TAG_LEVEL=1000.0 QUARANTINE_LEVEL=1000.0 KILL_LEVEL=9.0 tests=HTML_MESSAGE, MIME_BASE64_TEXT, MIME_QP_LONG_LINE
X-spam-flag: NO
X-spam-score: -0.345
X-barracuda-envelope-from: solar@sunkl.asu.cas.cz
X-barracuda-spam-report: Code version 3.2, rules version 3.2.2.57769Rule breakdown below pts rule name description---- ---------------------- --------------------------------------------------0.00 HTML_MESSAGE BODY: HTML included in message0.52 MIME_BASE64_TEXT RAW: Mes
sage text disguised using base64 encoding0.82 MIME_QP_LONG_LINE RAW: Quoted-printable line longer than 76 chars
X-barracuda-url: http://147.231.105.99:8000/cgi-mod/mark.cgi
Subject: Report of Solar Geophysical Activity (RSGA)
X-asg-orig-subj: Report of Solar Geophysical Activity (RSGA)
X-barracuda-start-time: 1299967038
----boundary_430965_9ba846ff-6605-4ac0-8f0f-7c099c0c36ba
Content-Type: text/plain; charset=us-ascii
Content-Transfer-Encoding: quoted-printable
:Product: Report of Solar-Geophysical Activity
:Issued: 2011 Mar 12 2200 UTC
# Prepared jointly by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA,
# Space Weather Prediction Center and the U.S. Air Force.
#
Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity
SDF Number 071 Issued at 2200Z on 12 Mar 2011
IA. Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 11/2100Z
to 12/2100Z: Solar activity was moderate. Region 1166 (N08W52)
produced an M1/2n flare at 12/0443 and a C9/1F at 12/1527Z. Both
flares were accompanied by a Type II radio emissions and waves in
SDO/AIA 193 imagery. Region 1166 maintained its complex
Beta-Gamma-Delta magnetic characteristics and ended the period as an
Ekc type spot group. Regions 1169 (N19W22) and 1172 (N12E54) were
stable.
IB. Solar Activity Forecast: Solar activity is expected to be
moderate for the next three days (13-15 March).
IIA. Geophysical Activity Summary 11/2100Z to 12/2100Z:
Geomagnetic field activity ranged from quiet to minor storm levels.
A solar sector boundary crossing was observed at the ACE spacecraft
late on 11 March; the phi angle shifting to the positive sector at
approximately 11/2200Z. Solar wind speed at ACE rose steadily,
ending the period near 550 km/s as the coronal hole high speed
stream became geoeffective. The initially southward Bz component of
the interplanetary magnetic field turned mostly northward after
11/0000Z.
IIB. Geophysical Activity Forecast: The geomagnetic field is
expected to be quiet to active for the next three days under the
continued effects of the coronal hole high speed stream. There is a
slight chance for minor storm conditions at high latitudes.
III. Event Probabilities 13 Mar-15 Mar
Class M 50/50/50
Class X 05/05/05
Proton 01/01/01
PCAF green
IV. Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
Observed 12 Mar 121
Predicted 13 Mar-15 Mar 120/120/120
90 Day Mean 12 Mar 093
V. Geomagnetic A Indices
Observed Afr/Ap 11 Mar 018/040
Estimated Afr/Ap 12 Mar 010/025
Predicted Afr/Ap 13 Mar-15 Mar 012/018-010/012-010/010
VI. Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 13 Mar-15 Mar
A. Middle Latitudes
Active 20/15/15
Minor storm 15/10/10
Major-severe storm 05/05/05
B. High Latitudes
Active 20/20/35
Minor storm 15/15/10
Major-severe storm 10/10/01
Thank you for using the Product Subscription Service. If you would like
to remove a product subscription or update the personal information in
your account, go to: https://pss.swpc.noaa.gov. Please do not use the from
address for correspondence, as it is not monitored. For comments or help,
please contact us: pss.help@noaa.gov.
----boundary_430965_9ba846ff-6605-4ac0-8f0f-7c099c0c36ba
Content-Type: text/html
Content-Transfer-Encoding: base64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----boundary_430965_9ba846ff-6605-4ac0-8f0f-7c099c0c36ba--
Read previous mail | Read next mail
| |
