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OK0NAG > SOLAR 09.03.11 15:05l 123 Lines 4563 Bytes #999 (0) @ EU
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Subject: GEOALERT SIDC
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:Issued: 2011 Mar 09 1300 UTC
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#--------------------------------------------------------------------#
# GEOALERT message from the SIDC (RWC-Belgium) #
#--------------------------------------------------------------------#
GEOALERT BRU068
UGEOA 30512 10309 1238/ 9930/
11092 20092 37092
99999
PLAIN
NOTE: the above forecasts are valid from 1230UT, 09 Mar 2011 until 11 Mar
2011
PREDICTIONS FOR 09 Mar 2011 10CM FLUX: 157 / AP: 003
PREDICTIONS FOR 10 Mar 2011 10CM FLUX: 158 / AP: 012
PREDICTIONS FOR 11 Mar 2011 10CM FLUX: 158 / AP: 007
COMMENT: NOAA AR 11165 (Cat 18) produced three M-flares yesterday, the
largest one was a M5.3 flare peaking at 10h44. Associated with an M1.5
at 20h16, there was a CME observed by LASCO and STEREO. It was directed
towards the south, so we do not expect it to impact the Earth
significantly. Another M1,7 flare occurred this morning around 11h07,
with an associated weak type II radio burst observed in Humain. No data
is available yet to determine its location on disk. The greater than 10
MeV proton event is still ongoing, but decreasing in intensity.
Geomagnetic conditions are currently quiet, but are expected to rise to
unsettled to active levels on March 10 due to the arrival of a CME that
was observed on March 7 around 20h12.
TODAY'S ESTIMATED ISN : 080, BASED ON 04 STATIONS.
99999
UGEOI 30512 10309 1238/ 08///
10152 21551 3006/ 4//// 80306 91940
99999
NOTICEABLE EVENTS SUMMARY
DAY BEGIN MAX END LOC XRAY OP 10CM RADIO BURST TYPES Catania
NOAA NOTE
08 1035 1044 1055 S17W86 M5.3 1F 18
1165
08 1808 1828 1841 M4.4 VI/2
18 1165
08 1946 2016 2119 M1.4 VI/2
18 1165
END
UGEOR 30512 10309 1238/ 09/07 09104
10019 2//// 3//// 4552/ 50310 60011 47724 17300
10022 2//// 3//// 4552/ 50830 60045 40309 28500
10024 2//// 3//// 4422/ 50040 60006 37027 18300
10026 2//// 3//// 4532/ 50280 60015 12720 04100
99999
USSPS 32404 08109 09322 26058 46325 51511 27009 38517 21402 29046
10611 57620 30011 13919 21408 31002 36026 11302
USSPS 21305 08204 11542 30060 47024 57516 32085 10211 57640 35026
13322 37416 36005 36428 01203
USSPS 81202 09013 14122 27026 13121 27519 24075 10109 47559 28009
37626 11309 22096 48022 44514
USSPS 31405 09076 11732 19031 47724 55511 22083 40309 55545 24004
37027 24406 26028 12720 35515
UMAGF 30503 10309 1004/ 08060 1/009 22111 31221
UMAGF 31523 10309 ///// 0800/ 1/006 22221 31222
#--------------------------------------------------------------------#
# Solar Influences Data analysis Center - RWC Belgium #
# Royal Observatory of Belgium #
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