| |
OK0NAG > SOLAR 22.02.11 00:06l 242 Lines 7998 Bytes #999 (0) @ EU
BID : L2LOK0NAG00X
Read: GUEST
Subj: Report of Solar Geophysical Activity (RSGA)
Path: IZ3LSV<IW0QNL<OK0PTU<OK0NAG
Sent: 110221/2205z @:OK0NAG.#BOH.CZE.EU [TCP/IP BBS Praha Strahov] bcm2.01e-zia
X-Info: Prijato od 127.0.0.1 za pomoci SMTP gatewaye
X-barracuda-connect: sunkl.asu.cas.cz[147.231.106.1]
X-barracuda-apparent-source-ip: 147.231.106.1
Date: 21 Feb 2011 22:05:19 +0000
X-barracuda-spam-score: 1.34
X-asg-debug-id: 1298325607-01a3c030b0199e0001-dKRjYV
To: solar@eu
X-originalarrivaltime: 21 Feb 2011 22:07:26.0656 (UTC) FILETIME=[B9613C00:01CBD213]
From: ok0nag <ok0nag>
X-barracuda-bbl-ip: nil
X-barracuda-spam-status: No, SCORE=1.34 using global scores of TAG_LEVEL=1000.0 QUARANTINE_LEVEL=1000.0 KILL_LEVEL=9.0 tests=HTML_MESSAGE, MIME_BASE64_TEXT, MIME_QP_LONG_LINE
X-spam-flag: NO
X-spam-score: -0.359
X-barracuda-envelope-from: solar@sunkl.asu.cas.cz
X-barracuda-spam-report: Code version 3.2, rules version 3.2.2.56013Rule breakdown below pts rule name description---- ---------------------- --------------------------------------------------0.00 HTML_MESSAGE BODY: HTML included in message0.52 MIME_BASE64_TEXT RAW: Mes
sage text disguised using base64 encoding0.82 MIME_QP_LONG_LINE RAW: Quoted-printable line longer than 76 chars
X-barracuda-url: http://147.231.105.99:8000/cgi-mod/mark.cgi
Subject: Report of Solar Geophysical Activity (RSGA)
X-asg-orig-subj: Report of Solar Geophysical Activity (RSGA)
X-barracuda-brts-evidence: e21468b2b43d64d31ffe9b78b2080fcd-2718-htm
X-barracuda-start-time: 1298325607
----boundary_124048_c5963129-a064-42f3-8f2f-2923109728e4
Content-Type: text/plain; charset=us-ascii
Content-Transfer-Encoding: quoted-printable
:Product: Report of Solar-Geophysical Activity
:Issued: 2011 Feb 21 2200 UTC
# Prepared jointly by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA,
# Space Weather Prediction Center and the U.S. Air Force.
#
Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity
SDF Number 052 Issued at 2200Z on 21 Feb 2011
IA. Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 20/2100Z
to 21/2100Z: Solar activity has been low. Region 1161 (N11W42)
produced multiple C-class events and remains an E-type sunspot group
with a beta-gamma magnetic classification, while Region 1162
(N17W46) remained stable and quiet. The period's largest x-ray event
a C7 at 21/1012Z came from Region 1158 which has rotated off the
visible disk.
IB. Solar Activity Forecast: Solar activity is expected to be low
to moderate with a slight chance for an X-class event from Region
1161 for the next three days (22-24 February).
IIA. Geophysical Activity Summary 20/2100Z to 21/2100Z:
The geomagnetic field has been quiet to unsettled during the past 24
hours. Solar wind data from the ACE spacecraft indicated a slight
drop in velocity to around 380 km/s and sustained negative Bz of
-4nT during the period. The greater than 2 MeV electron flux at
geosynchronous orbit reached high levels during the period.
IIB. Geophysical Activity Forecast: The geomagnetic field is
expected to be quiet to unsettled with a slight chance for isolated
active periods during the next three days (22-24 February).
III. Event Probabilities 22 Feb-24 Feb
Class M 50/50/50
Class X 10/10/10
Proton 05/05/05
PCAF Green
IV. Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
Observed 21 Feb 097
Predicted 22 Feb-24 Feb 098/098/095
90 Day Mean 21 Feb 086
V. Geomagnetic A Indices
Observed Afr/Ap 20 Feb 006/007
Estimated Afr/Ap 21 Feb 007/008
Predicted Afr/Ap 22 Feb-24 Feb 007/008-007/008-007/008
VI. Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 22 Feb-24 Feb
A. Middle Latitudes
Active 10/10/10
Minor storm 05/05/05
Major-severe storm 01/01/01
B. High Latitudes
Active 15/15/15
Minor storm 10/10/10
Major-severe storm 01/01/01
Thank you for using the Product Subscription Service. If you would like
to remove a product subscription or update the personal information in
your account, go to: https://pss.swpc.noaa.gov. Please do not use the from
address for correspondence, as it is not monitored. For comments or help,
please contact us: pss.help@noaa.gov.
----boundary_124048_c5963129-a064-42f3-8f2f-2923109728e4
Content-Type: text/html
Content-Transfer-Encoding: base64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----boundary_124048_c5963129-a064-42f3-8f2f-2923109728e4--
Read previous mail | Read next mail
| |
