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OK0NAG > SOLAR 18.02.11 15:25l 111 Lines 4219 Bytes #999 (0) @ EU
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Subject: GEOALERT SIDC
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:Issued: 2011 Feb 18 1321 UTC
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#--------------------------------------------------------------------#
# GEOALERT message from the SIDC (RWC-Belgium) #
#--------------------------------------------------------------------#
GEOALERT BRU049
UGEOA 30512 10218 1306/ 9930/
12182 21182 30182
99999
PLAIN
NOTE: the above forecasts are valid from 1230UT, 18 Feb 2011 until 20 Feb
2011
PREDICTIONS FOR 18 Feb 2011 10CM FLUX: 111 / AP: 027
PREDICTIONS FOR 19 Feb 2011 10CM FLUX: 110 / AP: 024
PREDICTIONS FOR 20 Feb 2011 10CM FLUX: 110 / AP: 017
COMMENT: <br>The two numbered active regions on the visible Sun, NOAA
AR 1158 and 1161, are capable of M flares. In fact, two of them have
been produced in the last hours. An M6.6 flare peaking at 10:11 UT and
an M1.0 peaking at 10:26 UT. Only SECCHI-EUVI beacon data are available
for this time (no SDO, SOHO nor SWAP data available yet). The first
flare was most likely related to AR 1158. There is not enough data to
discern the origin of the second one. AR 1161 is increasing in
complexity, while AR 1158 is getting simpler, but still capable of M-
and even X-flares.</br> An ICME arrived to the Earth. ACE measured a
shock at 00:40 UT followed by strong magnetic interplanetary magnetic
fields (~30 nT). Kp reached 4 and then 5. More geomagnetic effects can
be expected during the rest of the day, since it was possible that three
CMEs were interacting in their way to the Earth.
TODAY'S ESTIMATED ISN : 049, BASED ON 03 STATIONS.
99999
UGEOI 30512 10218 1306/ 17///
10066 21110 3002/ 4//// 80002 90440
99999
NOTICEABLE EVENTS SUMMARY
DAY BEGIN MAX END LOC XRAY OP 10CM RADIO BURST TYPES Catania
NOAA NOTE
18 0955 1011 1015 M6.6 III/2 10
1158
18 1023 1026 1037 M1.0
END
UGEOR 30512 10218 1306/ 17/08 18102
10010 2//// 3//// 4522/ 50280 60024 34419 16400
10014 2//// 3//// 4522/ 50160 60022 12112 28640
99999
USSPS 32404 17093 05522 21027 34319 37521 23014 12212 24514
USSPS 21305 17184 05022 25018 11613 34516 23030 34919 37514
UMAGF 30503 10218 1004/ 17064 1/012 21111 31133
UMAGF 31523 10218 ///// 1700/ 1/002 20011 31111
#--------------------------------------------------------------------#
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