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OK0NAG > SOLAR 15.02.11 17:30l 132 Lines 4800 Bytes #999 (0) @ EU
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Subject: GEOALERT SIDC
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:Issued: 2011 Feb 15 1526 UTC
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#--------------------------------------------------------------------#
# GEOALERT message from the SIDC (RWC-Belgium) #
#--------------------------------------------------------------------#
GEOALERT BRU046
UGEOA 30512 10215 1341/ 9930/
12152 21152 30152
99999
PLAIN
NOTE: the above forecasts are valid from 1230UT, 15 Feb 2011 until 17 Feb
2011
PREDICTIONS FOR 15 Feb 2011 10CM FLUX: 113 / AP: 004
PREDICTIONS FOR 16 Feb 2011 10CM FLUX: 112 / AP: 022
PREDICTIONS FOR 17 Feb 2011 10CM FLUX: 111 / AP: 024
COMMENT: Apart from several minor flares, NOAA AR 1158 has produced an
X2.2 flare peaking at 01:56 UT, associated with an Earth directed CME.
Furthermore, an M2.2 flare (from the same AR) peaking at 17:26 UT on
February 14 had also an associated Earth directed CME, it also generated
type III and II radio bursts. They are expected to arrive to the Earth
around February 17. Geomagnetic conditions have ranged from quiet to
active in the last 24h due to the arrival of a shock followed by strong
magnetic fields (~20nT). Possible drivers of this shock include several
eruptions between 9 and 10 February. The proton fluxes at ACE were
elevated also, but didn't reach critical levels. More active conditions,
with possible storm periods, are expected tomorrow and the day after,
due to the three CMEs which have been directed towards the Eath in the
last three days.
TODAY'S ESTIMATED ISN : 054, BASED ON 11 STATIONS.
99999
UGEOI 30512 10215 1341/ 14///
10107 21130 3019/ 4//// 80205 90630
99999
NOTICEABLE EVENTS SUMMARY
DAY BEGIN MAX END LOC XRAY OP 10CM RADIO BURST TYPES Catania
NOAA NOTE
14 1720 1726 1732 N56W18 M2.2 1N III/1,II/2
10 1158
END
UGEOR 30512 10215 1341/ 15/08 15104
10008 2//// 3//// 4421/ 50030 60003 44618 01000
10010 2//// 3//// 4553/ 50630 60038 31819 29533
10011 2//// 3//// 410// 50010 60001 41719 00000
10014 2//// 3//// 4412/ 50100 60012 14712 00000
99999
USSPS 32404 14089 07832 18007 43419 21406 20000 40519 0/101 21041
30421 57530 23000 15911 0/101
USSPS 21305 14171 11132 24001 40619 01202 21004 43818 21406 23050
30720 57536 26001 10403 0/102 25003 15812 01204 27000 10419 0/101
USSPS 31405 15080 09442 08003 44618 23403 10063 31819 57538 11001
41719 0/101 14010 14712 15412
UMAGF 30503 10215 1004/ 14062 1/033 21113 34621
UMAGF 31523 10215 ///// 1400/ 1/019 20011 31356
INDAA 10207
1/005 00800 20050 08012 00502 0/008
2/012 01600 50080 05002 00501 2/008
3/002 00500 20080 08005 00500 2/005
4/002 01201 60120 12002 00801 2/010
5/008 00800 80080 02012 03301 6/012
6/008 01601 20050 08005 01200 2/009
7/005 00200 80020 05002 00500 8/005
END
UCMEO 93001 10214 2035/ 10214 61836 82218 2571/ 093// 113// 20183
10214 61731 81740 30319 11158 1112/ 99999 PLAIN
#--------------------------------------------------------------------#
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