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OK0NAG > SOLAR 10.02.11 13:40l 92 Lines 3208 Bytes #999 (0) @ EU
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_____________________________________________________________________
Solar-activity forecast for the period Feb 11 - 17, 2011
Activity level: very low to low
Radio flux (10.7 cm): a fluctuation in the range 80-88 f.u.
Flares: weak (2-12/day)
Relative sunspot number: in the range 25-45
Astronomical Institute, Solar Dept. Ondrejov, Czech Republic
e-mail: sunwatch(at)asu.cas.cz
(RWC Prague)
_____________________________________________________________________
Geomagnetic activity forecast for the period Feb 11 to Feb 17, 2011
quiet: Feb 11 and 12
quiet to unsettled: Feb 13 and 17
unsettled: Feb 14, 15 and 16
active: 0
minor storm: 0
major storm: 0
severe storm: 0
Geomagnetic activity summary:
geomagnetic field was quiet on Feb 3, 7, 8 and 9,
unsettled on Feb 5 and 6, active on Feb 4.
RWC Prague, Geophysical Institute Prague, Geomagnetic Dept,
Czech Republic
e-mail: geom(at)ig.cas.cz
_____________________________________________________________________
Geomagnetic activity forecast for the period of one solar rotation
Geomagnetic field during the following solar rotation should be:
active to disturbed: Mar 3 - 4
unsettled to active: Mar 5
quiet to unsettled: Feb 15 - 16, 21 - 22, 28, Mar 1, 6
mostly quiet: Feb 12 - 13, 20, 25, 27, Mar 2
quiet: Feb 11, 14, 17 - 19, 23 - 24, 26, Mar 7 - 9
Survey: quiet: Feb 3, 9
mostly quiet: Feb 2, 7 - 8
quiet to unsettled: -
quiet to active: Feb 6
quiet to minor storm: -
quiet to disturbed: -
mostly unsettled: -
unsettled to active: Feb 5
unsettled to minor storm: -
minor to major storm: Feb 4
active to disturbed: -
disturbed: -
Notices:
High probability of changes in solar wind which may caused
changes in magnetosphere and ionosphere is expected for
February 11, (13, 15) 16, (21,) 28 and March 1, 4 - 6.
Days in brackets refer to a lower probability of possible
activity enhancements depending on previous development
on the Sun. Present forecasts are unreliable.
F. K. Janda (OK1HH), Czech Propagation Interested Group
e-mail: ok1hh(at)rsys.cz
______________________________________________________________________
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