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OK0NAG > SOLAR 17.01.11 23:04l 209 Lines 6328 Bytes #999 (0) @ EU
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Subj: Report of Solar Geophysical Activity (RSGA)
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Subject: Report of Solar Geophysical Activity (RSGA)
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:Product: Report of Solar-Geophysical Activity
:Issued: 2011 Jan 17 2200 UTC
# Prepared jointly by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA,
# Space Weather Prediction Center and the U.S. Air Force.
#
Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity
SDF Number 017 Issued at 2200Z on 17 Jan 2011
IA. Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 16/2100Z
to 17/2100Z: Solar activity remained at very low levels. Occasional
B-class flares were observed during the period. The largest of these
was a B4 flare at 17/0634Z from Region 1147 (N25E52). Region 1147
was classified as a Cso-beta group with 12 spots. Region 1148
(S28W32) was numbered today as a Bxo-beta group with 4 spots.
IB. Solar Activity Forecast: Solar activity is expected to be very
low, with a chance for an isolated C-class flare.
IIA. Geophysical Activity Summary 16/2100Z to 17/2100Z:
The geomagnetic field was quiet.
IIB. Geophysical Activity Forecast: The geomagnetic field is
expected to be at quiet levels for the next three days (18-20
January).
III. Event Probabilities 18 Jan-20 Jan
Class M 01/01/01
Class X 01/01/01
Proton 01/01/01
PCAF green
IV. Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
Observed 17 Jan 082
Predicted 18 Jan-20 Jan 082/082/084
90 Day Mean 17 Jan 084
V. Geomagnetic A Indices
Observed Afr/Ap 16 Jan 003/003
Estimated Afr/Ap 17 Jan 006/006
Predicted Afr/Ap 18 Jan-20 Jan 005/005-005/005-005/005
VI. Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 18 Jan-20 Jan
A. Middle Latitudes
Active 05/05/05
Minor storm 01/01/01
Major-severe storm 01/01/01
B. High Latitudes
Active 10/10/10
Minor storm 01/01/01
Major-severe storm 01/01/01
Thank you for using the Product Subscription Service. If you would like
to remove a product subscription or update the personal information in
your account, go to: https://pss.swpc.noaa.gov. Please do not use the from
address for correspondence, as it is not monitored. For comments or help,
please contact us: pss.help@noaa.gov.
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