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OK0NAG > SOLAR 15.01.11 23:06l 199 Lines 6006 Bytes #999 (0) @ EU
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Subj: Report of Solar Geophysical Activity (RSGA)
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Date: 15 Jan 2011 22:04:33 +0000
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Subject: Report of Solar Geophysical Activity (RSGA)
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:Product: Report of Solar-Geophysical Activity
:Issued: 2011 Jan 15 2200 UTC
# Prepared jointly by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA,
# Space Weather Prediction Center and the U.S. Air Force.
#
Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity
SDF Number 015 Issued at 2200Z on 15 Jan 2011
IA. Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 14/2100Z
to 15/2100Z: Solar activity was low. New region 1147 (N24E80)
produced a C1 flare at 15/1419Z.
IB. Solar Activity Forecast: Solar activity is expected to be very
low to low for the next three days (16 - 18 January).
IIA. Geophysical Activity Summary 14/2100Z to 15/2100Z:
Geomagnetic field activity was mostly quiet. An isolated unsettled
period was observed at Boulder between 15/1200 - 1500Z.
IIB. Geophysical Activity Forecast: Geomagnetic field activity is
expected to be mostly quiet for the next three days (16 - 18
January).
III. Event Probabilities 16 Jan-18 Jan
Class M 01/01/01
Class X 01/01/01
Proton 01/01/01
PCAF green
IV. Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
Observed 15 Jan 080
Predicted 16 Jan-18 Jan 080/080/080
90 Day Mean 15 Jan 084
V. Geomagnetic A Indices
Observed Afr/Ap 14 Jan 006/007
Estimated Afr/Ap 15 Jan 007/007
Predicted Afr/Ap 16 Jan-18 Jan 005/005-005/005-005/005
VI. Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 16 Jan-18 Jan
A. Middle Latitudes
Active 10/05/05
Minor storm 01/01/01
Major-severe storm 01/01/01
B. High Latitudes
Active 15/10/10
Minor storm 01/01/01
Major-severe storm 01/01/01
Thank you for using the Product Subscription Service. If you would like
to remove a product subscription or update the personal information in
your account, go to: https://pss.swpc.noaa.gov. Please do not use the from
address for correspondence, as it is not monitored. For comments or help,
please contact us: pss.help@noaa.gov.
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